Webster
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 934 (#356) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 963 (#286) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.0 (#134) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.966 (#183) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.907 (#74) | NetEff +16.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.775 (#280) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.741 (#299) | AdjNet +8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.656 (#273) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 62.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Macalester | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Hanover | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Lyon | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | MUW | W | 80 - 57 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Babson | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Lynchburg | L | 55 - 68 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Knox | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Westminster (MO) | L | 49 - 54 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Eureka | W | 70 - 59 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Greenville | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Spalding | W | 70 - 57 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Principia | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Blackburn | W | 91 - 48 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Fontbonne | W | 119 - 61 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Lyon | W | 104 - 80 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | MUW | W | 99 - 46 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Greenville | W | 86 - 62 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Eureka | W | 80 - 66 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Spalding | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Principia | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Blackburn | W | 96 - 41 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Fontbonne | W | 102 - 52 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Eureka | W | 75 - 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Principia | L | 67 - 69 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethany Lancaster | - | 25 | 24.2 | 18.9 | 8.8 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 13.4 | 16.0 | 67 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 55.2 | 0 | 71.0 | 0.13 | 59.3 | 55.2 |
| Emily Wilson | - | 27 | 26.5 | 15.2 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 10.7 | 13.7 | 111 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 54.5 | 55.6 | 83.2 | 0.37 | 60.8 | 55.3 |
| Meghan Illingworth | - | 25 | 12.8 | 7.3 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 5.9 | 5.8 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 48.6 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.24 | 51.8 | 48.6 |
| Rylee Denbow | - | 26 | 13.1 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 21 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 41.9 | 32.9 | 68.8 | -0.23 | 52.0 | 49.7 |
| Claire Williams | - | 25 | 23.6 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 5.9 | 6.5 | 34 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 39.2 | 32.5 | 59.0 | 0.32 | 49.6 | 47.6 |
| Nysa Gilchrist | - | 27 | 27.5 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 81 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 63.8 | 0.22 | 40.3 | 36.4 |
| Julie Diveney | - | 17 | 13.1 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 25 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 45.2 | 37.9 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 60.9 | 60.3 |
| Emily Kerce | - | 27 | 10.1 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 19 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 30.8 | 25.0 | 71.0 | 0.24 | 41.9 | 38.0 |
| Kaimyla Nolen | - | 26 | 20.5 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 5.2 | 66 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 39.3 | 16.0 | 46.3 | 1.04 | 42.7 | 41.1 |
| Aleyna Sherman | - | 27 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 5.2 | 11 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 47.9 | 38.9 | 72.9 | -0.36 | 59.7 | 52.8 |
| Grace Hupp | - | 24 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 14 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 33.9 | 28.9 | 81.8 | -0.0 | 47.9 | 44.4 |
| Jena Stannard | - | 23 | 12.0 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 54 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 25.0 | 28.1 | 100.0 | 0.33 | 41.0 | 36.2 |
| Avery Forrester | - | 27 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 75.0 | 50.0 | - | 69.7 | 72.2 |
| Khamyri Jordan | - | 26 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 7 | 0.7 | 5.3 | 30.8 | 100.0 | 40.0 | -0.02 | 37.4 | 34.6 |
| Mattie Jones | - | 12 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.35 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
| Jayla Dixon | - | 26 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.4 | 27.8 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.08 | 27.8 | 27.8 |
| Amaya Johnson | - | 18 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 163 | 4.7 | 6.7 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.78 | 30.4 | 22.2 |
| Kaelyn Stager | - | 27 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Annie Sale | - | 25 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 5 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.07 | 11.3 | 12.5 |
| Becca Johnson | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Madison Stovall | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG