Webster
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 934 (#356) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#340) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1027 (#263) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.0 (#191) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.8 (#473) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.966 (#183) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.772 (#241) | NetEff +8.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.775 (#280) | AdjNet +10.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.741 (#299) | AdjNet +8.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.656 (#273) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 62.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.452 (#475) | AdjO 56.6 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.408 (#448) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.421 (#442) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 986 (#331) | RD 98 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 84 - 35 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Aurora | L | 47 - 81 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Illinois Col. | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Westminster (MO) | W | 65 - 45 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Augustana (IL) | L | 38 - 77 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Blackburn | W | 101 - 47 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | St. Mary's (IN) | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Centre | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Principia | W | 55 - 50 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Eureka | W | 93 - 46 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Greenville | W | 86 - 64 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | MUW | W | 85 - 70 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Blackburn | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Knox | L | 53 - 83 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Lyon | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Spalding | W | 45 - 41 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Principia | L | 55 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolan, Peyton | - | 1 | 18.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 77.8 | 77.8 |
| Illingworth, Meghan | - | 1 | 23.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 55.8 | 55.6 |
| Webb, Miya | - | 1 | 26.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | - | 48.1 | 40.0 |
| Kerce, Emily | - | 1 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 55.3 | 55.0 |
| Miya Webb | - | 16 | 25.2 | 10.8 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 10.9 | 7.2 | -90 | -4.5 | -18.0 | 32.8 | 25.0 | 75.9 | 1.34 | 43.5 | 37.6 |
| Meghan Illingworth | - | 11 | 20.1 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 7.1 | 24 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 48.8 | 0 | 70.0 | 5.41 | 53.0 | 48.8 |
| Akaela Caquelin | - | 16 | 22.0 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 8.7 | 7.1 | -10 | -0.5 | -3.1 | 38.8 | 31.8 | 61.5 | 0.7 | 49.4 | 48.6 |
| Claire Williams | - | 16 | 24.5 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 34 | 1.7 | 7.4 | 43.5 | 35.3 | 84.6 | 3.81 | 55.8 | 53.3 |
| Emily Kerce | - | 16 | 18.8 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 1.9 | -38 | -1.8 | -12.3 | 35.8 | 23.3 | 61.5 | -5.18 | 41.9 | 39.0 |
| Nolen, Kaimyla | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Grace Hupp | - | 16 | 12.1 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 19 | 0.9 | 9.4 | 36.8 | 30.8 | 76.2 | 3.06 | 49.3 | 44.7 |
| McCammon, Chassity | - | 1 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 25.6 | 25.0 |
| Kaimyla Nolen | - | 14 | 24.6 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 37 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 45.3 | 33.3 | 58.3 | -3.15 | 50.3 | 47.2 |
| Emma Smith | - | 16 | 15.9 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 3.4 | -46 | -2.3 | -18.9 | 44.8 | 36.4 | 44.0 | 2.75 | 51.4 | 51.7 |
| Peyton Dolan | - | 14 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 34.4 | 29.4 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 46.9 | 46.7 |
| Hupp, Grace | - | 1 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 53.2 | 50.0 |
| Williams, Claire | - | 1 | 23.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 51.5 | 50.0 |
| Jones, Daijah | - | 1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Daijah Jones | - | 16 | 11.8 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 2.9 | -41 | -2.0 | -19.7 | 38.6 | 0.0 | 61.3 | -1.15 | 44.6 | 38.6 |
| Addison Price | - | 7 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 5.8 | 41.7 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -0.08 | 46.2 | 45.8 |
| Havyn Green | - | 8 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | -24 | -2.4 | -97.1 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.01 | 47.2 | 41.7 |
| Payton Dolan | - | 1 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 3 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Chassity McCammon | - | 15 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 21 | 1.2 | 27.4 | 44.8 | 0 | 54.5 | 0.23 | 47.3 | 44.8 |
| Ford, Terryn | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jones, Mattie | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Terryn Ford | - | 7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.1 | 5.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 0.28 | 65.5 | 50.0 |
| Annie Sale | - | 4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.0 | 122.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.24 | 90.6 | 100.0 |
| Mattie Jones | - | 13 | 8.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -29 | -1.7 | -41.5 | 16.7 | 9.1 | 66.7 | 1.64 | 26.6 | 19.4 |
| Kaelyn Stager | - | 4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -9 | -2.2 | -106.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| MyLeia Campbell | - | 7 | 5.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Avery Forrester | - | 2 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -11.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Price, Addison | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG