Weber State
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1053 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1081 (#109) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1042 (#112) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +2.2 (#141) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +3.0 (#121) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.558 (#128) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.552 (#148) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.552 (#148) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.550 (#139) | AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.549 (#119) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 71.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.566 (#131) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.566 (#127) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1064 (#122) | RD 138 | GP 25 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-19 | @ | Alabama | L | 61 - 81 |
| 1999-12-01 | vs | Utah | W | 84 - 72 |
| 1999-12-04 | @ | Boise State | L | 46 - 71 |
| 1999-12-11 | @ | Brigham Young | L | 53 - 66 |
| 1999-12-18 | vs | Southern Utah | W | 69 - 59 |
| 1999-12-21 | vs | Utah State | W | 86 - 73 |
| 1999-12-28 | N | Stetson | W | 82 - 81 |
| 1999-12-29 | N | Georgia Southern | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2000-01-07 | vs | Portland State | W | 80 - 65 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | Sacramento State | W | 82 - 62 |
| 2000-01-13 | @ | Montana State | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Montana | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2000-01-21 | @ | Idaho State | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2000-01-22 | vs | Eastern Washington | L | 78 - 90 |
| 2000-01-28 | vs | Northern Arizona | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Cal State Northridge | W | 113 - 92 |
| 2000-02-03 | @ | Portland State | W | 92 - 79 |
| 2000-02-04 | @ | Eastern Washington | L | 83 - 95 |
| 2000-02-10 | vs | Montana | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | Sacramento State | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2000-02-24 | vs | Idaho State | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Montana State | W | 98 - 81 |
| 2000-03-02 | @ | Cal State Northridge | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2000-03-03 | @ | Northern Arizona | W | 84 - 73 |
| 2000-03-09 | N | Cal State Northridge | L | 68 - 73 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.