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Weber State

Also known as: Weber State Wildcats, Weber State
Program History

Model Outputs

1999-2000
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1053 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1081 (#109) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +114 elo More โ†’ 1042 (#112) HCA +114 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +2.2 (#141) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +3.0 (#121) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.558 (#128) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.8 More โ†’ 0.552 (#148) AdjNet +1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.8 More โ†’ 0.552 (#148) AdjNet +1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 71.7 More โ†’ 0.550 (#139) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 71.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 71.5 More โ†’ 0.549 (#119) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 71.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.566 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.566 (#127) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 25 More โ†’ 1064 (#122) RD 138 | GP 25

2000 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
1999-11-19 @ Alabama L 61 - 81
1999-12-01 vs Utah W 84 - 72
1999-12-04 @ Boise State L 46 - 71
1999-12-11 @ Brigham Young L 53 - 66
1999-12-18 vs Southern Utah W 69 - 59
1999-12-21 vs Utah State W 86 - 73
1999-12-28 N Stetson W 82 - 81
1999-12-29 N Georgia Southern W 68 - 60
2000-01-07 vs Portland State W 80 - 65
2000-01-08 vs Sacramento State W 82 - 62
2000-01-13 @ Montana State L 70 - 77
2000-01-15 @ Montana W 78 - 76
2000-01-21 @ Idaho State W 84 - 77
2000-01-22 vs Eastern Washington L 78 - 90
2000-01-28 vs Northern Arizona L 66 - 76
2000-01-29 vs Cal State Northridge W 113 - 92
2000-02-03 @ Portland State W 92 - 79
2000-02-04 @ Eastern Washington L 83 - 95
2000-02-10 vs Montana L 54 - 66
2000-02-12 @ Sacramento State W 88 - 72
2000-02-24 vs Idaho State W 73 - 71
2000-02-26 vs Montana State W 98 - 81
2000-03-02 @ Cal State Northridge L 62 - 76
2000-03-03 @ Northern Arizona W 84 - 73
2000-03-09 N Cal State Northridge L 68 - 73

2000 Roster

No roster data available for this season.