Weber State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 859 (#251) | Preseason prior 828 (returning production + recruiting): last season 950, returning -49, transfers -74, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 870 (#279) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 873 (#277) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -8.8 (#253) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.8 (#254) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.346 (#186) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.348 (#222) | AdjNet +0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.354 (#225) | AdjNet +1.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.319 (#277) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 61.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.321 (#277) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.311 (#259) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.312 (#259) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 879 (#262) | RD 215 | GP 1 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.255 (#268) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Westminster (UT) Griffins | W | 86 - 46 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Denver Pioneers | W | 64 - 51 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Houston Christian Huskies | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Northern New Mexico Eagles | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | Cal State Fullerton Titans | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hannah Robbins
|
G | 3 | 27.3 | 16.0 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 27 | 2 | 13.5 | 23.8 | 51.4 | 44.4 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 63.4 | 62.2 |
Grace Hintz
|
G | 3 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 9.3 | 12.0 | 39 | 2 | 19.5 | 28.2 | 50.0 | 57.1 | 87.5 | 0.06 | 61.9 | 57.1 |
Paris Lauro
|
F | 3 | 22.3 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 7.3 | 31 | 2 | 15.5 | 25.2 | 64.7 | 54.5 | 50.0 | -0.18 | 81.1 | 82.4 |
Siena Guttadauro
|
G | 3 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 33 | 2 | 16.5 | 30.7 | 41.7 | 29.4 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 52.4 | 52.1 |
Sydney White
|
G | 3 | 29.7 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 41 | 2 | 20.5 | 29.6 | 32.0 | 14.3 | 75.0 | -0.16 | 42.9 | 34.0 |
Draya Wacker
|
G | 3 | 22.3 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 21 | 2 | 10.5 | 20.1 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -2.91 | 56.9 | 52.8 |
Nicole Willardson
|
F | 3 | 23.7 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 37 | 2 | 18.5 | 29.3 | 41.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.57 | 50.5 | 45.8 |
Izabella Juarez
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.61 | 113.6 | 0 |
Dakota Nap
|
G | 3 | 21.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 25 | 2 | 12.5 | 23.6 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -1.41 | 102.5 | 100.0 |
Berkley Hart
|
G | 3 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 5 | 2 | 2.5 | 20.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Sidney Anderson
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Adria Lincoln
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Favour Onoh
|
C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Celestine Segretain
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
168 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Hannah RobbinsGrace HintzParis LauroSiena GuttadauroDraya WackerSydney White
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 34-55 | 61.8 | 68 | Hannah Robbins 24% (16 pts) | Sydney White 18% (12 pts) | Sydney White 24% (5 misses) | Draya Wacker 19% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 6-27 | 22.2 | 12 | Grace Hintz 83% (10 pts) | Paris Lauro 17% (2 pts) | Grace Hintz 33% (7 misses) | Sydney White 29% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-4 | 75.0 | 6 | Grace Hintz 33% (2 pts) | Hannah Robbins 33% (2 pts) | Hannah Robbins 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 4-4 | 100.0 | 8 | Hannah Robbins 50% (4 pts) | Grace Hintz 25% (2 pts) | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Siena Guttadauro 100% (2 pts) | - | Grace Hintz 50% (1 misses) | Hannah Robbins 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-16 | 37.5 | 18 | Hannah Robbins 50% (9 pts) | Siena Guttadauro 33% (6 pts) | Siena Guttadauro 40% (4 misses) | Hannah Robbins 20% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Grace Hintz 100% (6 pts) | - | Sydney White 40% (2 misses) | Draya Wacker 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 11-28 | 39.3 | 33 | Paris Lauro 36% (12 pts) | Hannah Robbins 27% (9 pts) | Siena Guttadauro 35% (6 misses) | Hannah Robbins 24% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Siena Guttadauro 67% (6 pts) | Draya Wacker 33% (3 pts) | Siena Guttadauro 40% (2 misses) | Draya Wacker 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-16 | 50.0 | 24 | Draya Wacker 25% (6 pts) | Hannah Robbins 25% (6 pts) | Grace Hintz 25% (2 misses) | Hannah Robbins 25% (2 misses) |