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Weber State

Also known as: Weber State Wildcats, Weber State
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

72.7
PPG
96.0
Opp
-23.3
Margin
41.1%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
59.6%
FT%
33.3
RPG
14.3
APG
10.7
TO
73.6
Est. poss./game
69.2
Adj PPG
83.6
Adj Opp PPG
#354
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 767 (returning production + recruiting): last season 934, returning -68, transfers -68, freshmen -30 More โ†’ 743 (#319) Preseason prior 767 (returning production + recruiting): last season 934, returning -68, transfers -68, freshmen -30
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +206 elo More โ†’ 856 (#328) HCA +206 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +205 elo More โ†’ 859 (#328) HCA +205 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -20.0 (#362) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ -19.9 (#362) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.124 (#326) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.3 More โ†’ 0.227 (#335) AdjNet -19.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.9 More โ†’ 0.220 (#335) AdjNet -19.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 83.6 More โ†’ 0.246 (#354) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 83.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 83.6 More โ†’ 0.248 (#354) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 83.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.201 (#354) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.201 (#354) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 187 | GP 3 More โ†’ 827 (#323) RD 187 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.252 (#322) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Oregon State Beavers L 61 - 102
2026-11-07 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 93 - 101
2026-11-10 @ Utah Utes L 64 - 85
2026-11-14 vs Lincoln (CA) Oaklanders - Preview
2026-11-18 @ Utah State Aggies - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Augustine Ekwe Augustine Ekwe C 3 30.3 12.7 4.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.3 7.3 -62 3 -20.7 -27.3 61.3 0 0.0 -2.21 56.5 61.3
Ardarius Grayson Ardarius Grayson G 3 23.7 12.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.7 8.3 -24 3 -8.0 -13.4 40.6 38.9 42.9 -0.95 51.3 51.6
Dylan Warlick Dylan Warlick F 3 29.0 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.7 0.3 2.3 8.7 7.0 -64 3 -21.3 -29.2 53.8 0.0 33.3 -1.69 52.4 53.8
Gavin Lowe Gavin Lowe G 3 28.0 10.0 4.0 5.7 2.3 0.0 3.3 10.7 8.0 -41 3 -13.7 -19.4 37.5 18.2 100.0 -0.83 44.4 40.6
Mason Abittan Mason Abittan G 3 20.0 9.7 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.0 5.0 -29 3 -9.7 -19.6 37.5 38.5 66.7 -0.67 51.9 47.9
Aaron Powell Aaron Powell G 3 14.0 7.7 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.0 6.3 1.3 -21 3 -7.0 -19.5 36.8 46.2 100.0 -0.34 56.6 52.6
Brock Felder Brock Felder F 3 11.0 4.0 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 2.0 5.7 -13 3 -4.3 -16.8 83.3 0 100.0 -1.31 87.2 83.3
Chamberlain Burgess Chamberlain Burgess F 3 16.3 3.0 4.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.0 5.3 2.7 -28 3 -9.3 -22.6 12.5 22.2 75.0 -0.71 25.3 18.8
Dyllan Thompson Dyllan Thompson G 3 22.0 2.7 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.7 -40 3 -13.3 -24.0 18.2 18.2 100.0 -1.05 33.7 27.3
Hunter Hansen Hunter Hansen G 1 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -5 1 -5.0 -75.0 0 0 100.0 -0.36 113.6 0
Declan Cutler Declan Cutler C 1 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -7 1 -7.0 -86.2 0.0 0 50.0 -1.63 17.4 0.0
Alvin Jackson III Alvin Jackson III G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Sir Marius Jones Sir Marius Jones G 2 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -11 2 -5.5 -60.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.54 0.0 0.0
Maximillian Russell Maximillian Russell G 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -5 1 -5.0 -75.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Weber State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Weber State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Damian Lillard 2008-12 NBA Portland Trail Blazers 12 29.4 20.6 3.1 4.3 11-13 29 pts, 2 reb, 6 ast 12 GP, 20.6 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 4.3 APG
Joel Bolomboy 2012-16 EuroLeague LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne 11 18.5 6.1 4.5 0.7 11-13 4 pts, 5 reb, 0 ast 5 GP, 7.4 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.8 APG
Dillon Jones 2020-24 G League Delaware Blue Coats 0 - - - - 11-13 13 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast Play-In 2 GP, 15.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 6.5 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-13 Joel Bolomboy EuroLeague LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Besiktas Istanbul 14 4 5 0 Box
2026-11-13 Dillon Jones G League Play-In Delaware Blue Coats vs Maine Celtics 23 13 3 2 Box
2026-11-13 Damian Lillard NBA Portland Trail Blazers @ Sacramento Kings 33 29 2 6 Box
2026-11-11 Damian Lillard NBA Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder 32 18 3 3 Box
2026-11-10 Damian Lillard NBA Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder 24 25 3 3 Box
2026-11-07 Dillon Jones G League Play-In Delaware Blue Coats vs Capital City Go-Go 34 17 6 11 Box
2026-11-05 Joel Bolomboy EuroLeague LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs FC Bayern Munich 25 8 2 2 Box
2026-10-30 Joel Bolomboy EuroLeague LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz 16 9 3 1 Box
2026-10-16 Dillon Jones NBA Preseason Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics 10 4 1 0 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

202 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Ekwe24% Ekwe53% Grayson50% Lowe100% Ekwe60% Powell33% Grayson50% Powell33% Thompson100% Grayson44%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Lowe31% Ekwe27% Ekwe40% Abittan60% Powell27% Lowe33% Thompson40% Abittan22% Grayson24% Grayson38%
Misses: who misses most here

Augustine EkweArdarius GraysonGavin LoweMason AbittanAaron PowellDyllan Thompson

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 34-47 72.3 68 Augustine Ekwe 24% (16 pts) Dylan Warlick 24% (16 pts) Gavin Lowe 31% (4 misses) Ardarius Grayson 15% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 15-41 36.6 30 Augustine Ekwe 53% (16 pts) Dylan Warlick 33% (10 pts) Augustine Ekwe 27% (7 misses) Dylan Warlick 15% (4 misses)
Mid-range left 4-9 44.4 8 Ardarius Grayson 50% (4 pts) Dylan Warlick 25% (2 pts) Augustine Ekwe 40% (2 misses) Chamberlain Burgess 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 1-6 16.7 2 Gavin Lowe 100% (2 pts) - Mason Abittan 60% (3 misses) Chamberlain Burgess 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 5-16 31.2 10 Augustine Ekwe 60% (6 pts) Gavin Lowe 40% (4 pts) Aaron Powell 27% (3 misses) Ardarius Grayson 27% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 3-9 33.3 9 Aaron Powell 33% (3 pts) Chamberlain Burgess 33% (3 pts) Gavin Lowe 33% (2 misses) Aaron Powell 17% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-7 28.6 6 Ardarius Grayson 50% (3 pts) Chamberlain Burgess 50% (3 pts) Dyllan Thompson 40% (2 misses) Aaron Powell 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 9-27 33.3 27 Aaron Powell 33% (9 pts) Ardarius Grayson 22% (6 pts) Mason Abittan 22% (4 misses) Dyllan Thompson 17% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-18 5.6 3 Dyllan Thompson 100% (3 pts) - Ardarius Grayson 24% (4 misses) Gavin Lowe 18% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 9-22 40.9 27 Ardarius Grayson 44% (12 pts) Aaron Powell 22% (6 pts) Ardarius Grayson 38% (5 misses) Aaron Powell 15% (2 misses)