Weber State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 743 (#319) | Preseason prior 767 (returning production + recruiting): last season 934, returning -68, transfers -68, freshmen -30 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 856 (#328) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 859 (#328) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -20.0 (#362) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -19.9 (#362) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.124 (#326) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.227 (#335) | AdjNet -19.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.220 (#335) | AdjNet -19.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.246 (#354) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 83.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.248 (#354) | AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 83.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.201 (#354) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.201 (#354) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 827 (#323) | RD 187 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.252 (#322) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Oregon State Beavers | L | 61 - 102 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Utah Valley Wolverines | L | 93 - 101 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Utah Utes | L | 64 - 85 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Lincoln (CA) Oaklanders | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Utah State Aggies | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Augustine Ekwe
|
C | 3 | 30.3 | 12.7 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 10.3 | 7.3 | -62 | 3 | -20.7 | -27.3 | 61.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.21 | 56.5 | 61.3 |
Ardarius Grayson
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.7 | 8.3 | -24 | 3 | -8.0 | -13.4 | 40.6 | 38.9 | 42.9 | -0.95 | 51.3 | 51.6 |
Dylan Warlick
|
F | 3 | 29.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 8.7 | 7.0 | -64 | 3 | -21.3 | -29.2 | 53.8 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -1.69 | 52.4 | 53.8 |
Gavin Lowe
|
G | 3 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 10.7 | 8.0 | -41 | 3 | -13.7 | -19.4 | 37.5 | 18.2 | 100.0 | -0.83 | 44.4 | 40.6 |
Mason Abittan
|
G | 3 | 20.0 | 9.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | -29 | 3 | -9.7 | -19.6 | 37.5 | 38.5 | 66.7 | -0.67 | 51.9 | 47.9 |
Aaron Powell
|
G | 3 | 14.0 | 7.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | -21 | 3 | -7.0 | -19.5 | 36.8 | 46.2 | 100.0 | -0.34 | 56.6 | 52.6 |
Brock Felder
|
F | 3 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.7 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -16.8 | 83.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.31 | 87.2 | 83.3 |
Chamberlain Burgess
|
F | 3 | 16.3 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 5.3 | 2.7 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -22.6 | 12.5 | 22.2 | 75.0 | -0.71 | 25.3 | 18.8 |
Dyllan Thompson
|
G | 3 | 22.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 2.7 | -40 | 3 | -13.3 | -24.0 | 18.2 | 18.2 | 100.0 | -1.05 | 33.7 | 27.3 |
Hunter Hansen
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -5 | 1 | -5.0 | -75.0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.36 | 113.6 | 0 |
Declan Cutler
|
C | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -7 | 1 | -7.0 | -86.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.63 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
Alvin Jackson III
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sir Marius Jones
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -11 | 2 | -5.5 | -60.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Maximillian Russell
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -5 | 1 | -5.0 | -75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Weber State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Weber State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard | 2008-12 | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | 12 | 29.4 | 20.6 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 11-13 29 pts, 2 reb, 6 ast | 12 GP, 20.6 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 4.3 APG |
| Joel Bolomboy | 2012-16 | EuroLeague | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | 11 | 18.5 | 6.1 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 11-13 4 pts, 5 reb, 0 ast | 5 GP, 7.4 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.8 APG |
| Dillon Jones | 2020-24 | G League | Delaware Blue Coats | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-13 13 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast Play-In | 2 GP, 15.0 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 6.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Joel Bolomboy | EuroLeague | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | vs Besiktas Istanbul | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Dillon Jones | G League Play-In | Delaware Blue Coats | vs Maine Celtics | 23 | 13 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Damian Lillard | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | @ Sacramento Kings | 33 | 29 | 2 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Damian Lillard | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 32 | 18 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Damian Lillard | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 24 | 25 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Dillon Jones | G League Play-In | Delaware Blue Coats | vs Capital City Go-Go | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Joel Bolomboy | EuroLeague | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | vs FC Bayern Munich | 25 | 8 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Joel Bolomboy | EuroLeague | LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne | vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-16 | Dillon Jones | NBA Preseason | Philadelphia 76ers | vs Boston Celtics | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
202 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Augustine EkweArdarius GraysonGavin LoweMason AbittanAaron PowellDyllan Thompson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 34-47 | 72.3 | 68 | Augustine Ekwe 24% (16 pts) | Dylan Warlick 24% (16 pts) | Gavin Lowe 31% (4 misses) | Ardarius Grayson 15% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 15-41 | 36.6 | 30 | Augustine Ekwe 53% (16 pts) | Dylan Warlick 33% (10 pts) | Augustine Ekwe 27% (7 misses) | Dylan Warlick 15% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-9 | 44.4 | 8 | Ardarius Grayson 50% (4 pts) | Dylan Warlick 25% (2 pts) | Augustine Ekwe 40% (2 misses) | Chamberlain Burgess 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-6 | 16.7 | 2 | Gavin Lowe 100% (2 pts) | - | Mason Abittan 60% (3 misses) | Chamberlain Burgess 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-16 | 31.2 | 10 | Augustine Ekwe 60% (6 pts) | Gavin Lowe 40% (4 pts) | Aaron Powell 27% (3 misses) | Ardarius Grayson 27% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-9 | 33.3 | 9 | Aaron Powell 33% (3 pts) | Chamberlain Burgess 33% (3 pts) | Gavin Lowe 33% (2 misses) | Aaron Powell 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Ardarius Grayson 50% (3 pts) | Chamberlain Burgess 50% (3 pts) | Dyllan Thompson 40% (2 misses) | Aaron Powell 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-27 | 33.3 | 27 | Aaron Powell 33% (9 pts) | Ardarius Grayson 22% (6 pts) | Mason Abittan 22% (4 misses) | Dyllan Thompson 17% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-18 | 5.6 | 3 | Dyllan Thompson 100% (3 pts) | - | Ardarius Grayson 24% (4 misses) | Gavin Lowe 18% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-22 | 40.9 | 27 | Ardarius Grayson 44% (12 pts) | Aaron Powell 22% (6 pts) | Ardarius Grayson 38% (5 misses) | Aaron Powell 15% (2 misses) |