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Wayne St. (MI)

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Wayne St. (MI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1204 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1257 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1067 (#110) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +21.4 (#39) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +14.7 (#151) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.679 (#296) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +17.1 More → 0.881 (#146) NetEff +17.1
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.2 More → 0.779 (#197) NetEff +10.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.2 More → 0.959 (#140) AdjNet +27.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.7 More → 0.963 (#145) AdjNet +27.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 59.3 More → 0.836 (#141) AdjO 77.2 | AdjD 59.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 59.7 More → 0.708 (#80) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 59.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.797 (#99) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.784 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 35 More → 1105 (#103) RD 120 | GP 35

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Lincoln (MO) - Incomplete score
2025-11-07 @ Texas Woman's - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 vs Westminster (UT) - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ UAH - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Malone - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Emporia St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Northwest Mo. St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Ashland - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ William Jewell - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Hillsdale - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Chadron St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Augustana (SD) - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 @ Northwood - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Neb.-Kearney - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 vs Hesston - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Sioux Falls - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Southwest Minn. St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Ferris St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-09 @ Tiffin - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 @ Minnesota St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ St. Cloud St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Toledo - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 vs Concordia-St. Paul - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Winona St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Findlay - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Saginaw Valley - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Augustana (SD) - Incomplete score
2026-01-09 vs Northern St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Jamestown - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Davenport - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs Wis.-Parkside - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Roosevelt - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ MSU Moorhead - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jillian Aschoff - 1 37.0 18.0 6.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 22.0 52 2.7 7.5 25.0 0.0 100.0 -1.67 63.6 25.0
McKenna Ferguson - 13 30.5 16.4 4.2 2.5 3.2 0.3 2.6 11.4 12.5 112 5.3 17.2 46.6 45.8 81.4 2.56 61.2 55.7
Myleigh Weers - 1 36.0 16.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 6.0 106 5.3 15.0 27.8 33.3 80.0 3.31 39.6 33.3
Taylor Thompson - 13 30.2 14.9 7.9 3.2 2.0 0.6 2.2 12.2 14.4 101 4.8 15.1 44.9 25.0 66.7 1.99 51.1 46.2
Gabi Lutchka - 13 30.8 14.8 6.2 2.2 1.7 0.5 1.3 11.0 13.0 97 4.6 19.2 48.3 35.0 78.6 0.74 59.5 55.6
Kylah vanDonkersgoed - 16 29.4 13.4 5.8 0.7 1.3 0.8 1.9 11.2 8.8 -35 -1.5 -6.0 42.8 26.9 72.4 2.7 52.1 47.8
Jordan Sears - 1 28.0 13.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 5.0 57 2.6 9.3 33.3 25.0 57.1 -0.3 43.1 37.5
Rachel Dahlen - 16 25.5 11.0 6.2 1.8 1.5 1.3 2.4 9.9 9.5 -39 -1.7 -7.8 44.3 15.4 69.4 -0.16 49.0 44.9
Tenleigh Smith - 16 28.6 7.9 5.0 3.4 0.9 0.2 1.6 8.2 7.6 -43 -1.9 -7.8 31.8 31.1 72.5 2.54 42.4 37.1
Kelsey Willems - 16 25.7 7.1 3.2 1.7 2.5 0.0 1.9 7.4 5.2 -50 -2.2 -9.0 33.6 32.9 78.6 0.12 45.5 43.3
Jaci Tubergen - 13 29.2 6.8 3.5 2.8 0.5 0.5 2.1 5.2 6.8 66 3.1 9.5 49.3 41.4 66.7 -0.53 59.8 58.2
Karrington Gordon - 13 22.1 6.8 3.9 1.6 1.2 0.8 2.1 6.9 5.4 76 3.6 14.1 38.9 14.3 55.6 2.77 43.2 40.6
Meg Rietz - 16 28.1 6.2 4.6 1.9 0.9 0.2 2.4 5.8 5.6 -119 -5.2 -22.2 38.7 34.6 72.0 -4.09 47.6 43.5
Saniya Simmons - 1 26.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 -1.0 82 4.6 22.1 37.5 0 0 -0.3 37.5 37.5
Emma Frost - 16 15.2 5.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.6 1.4 4.4 3.2 -94 -4.5 -35.3 37.1 29.6 69.2 -3.17 49.9 42.9
Lexi Boyke - 9 9.5 5.0 2.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.1 4.2 3.2 50 3.3 17.2 50.0 50.0 83.3 1.81 55.4 52.6
Lynnae Green - 1 24.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 -15 -1.4 -10.0 33.3 0 50.0 -3.42 36.3 33.3
Lily Fitzgerald - 15 15.9 4.5 2.5 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.5 4.0 3.1 -7 -0.3 -2.1 46.7 7.1 57.9 2.29 49.7 47.5
Tara Biocanin - 1 11.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.0 107 5.1 19.2 50.0 0 0 4.39 50.0 50.0
Paige Horne - 1 6.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 32 1.8 16.0 66.7 0 0 0.9 66.7 66.7
Ella Sharar - 15 10.6 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 3.1 1.5 -17 -0.9 -10.8 38.3 30.4 62.5 -1.65 49.0 45.7
Annabel Ayrault - 13 13.4 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 3.0 2.8 81 4.0 27.4 33.3 33.3 75.0 1.74 47.0 43.6
Katelyn Diegnau - 4 5.7 3.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.2 -16 -3.2 -249.4 50.0 100.0 50.0 - 56.4 56.2
Gosia Byczkowska - 1 33.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 -0.98 50.0 50.0
Emily Homan - 13 15.0 2.9 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 2.5 4.2 98 4.7 29.0 39.4 35.7 77.8 4.15 51.4 47.0
Cassie Allen - 15 14.4 2.6 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.0 1.1 3.2 1.2 -66 -3.1 -15.9 27.1 27.3 58.3 -0.87 36.6 33.3
Addy Johnson - 13 6.9 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.7 -57 -3.0 -39.6 40.7 38.5 77.8 -2.46 54.9 50.0
Jessica Black - 2 10.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 4.5 - - - 40.0 0 0.0 - 36.8 40.0
AJ Rickli - 11 4.3 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.0 -18 -1.1 -33.4 31.6 0 81.8 -1.09 44.0 31.6
Mackenzie Miller - 13 7.9 1.8 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.6 2.8 18 0.9 11.8 52.4 0 50.0 -0.58 52.7 52.4
Koko Sylvester - 13 7.1 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.5 1.5 21 1.1 15.9 40.0 0.0 60.0 -0.66 45.1 40.0
Sammie Allen - 9 7.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.3 -60 -4.0 -30.1 40.0 20.0 50.0 -1.42 46.0 45.0
DeMaya Asberry - 9 3.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 -12 -0.7 -21.4 33.3 0 0.0 -1.42 29.1 33.3
Nour Beydoun - 6 2.6 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 -7 -0.7 -16.9 0.0 0 50.0 -0.72 10.2 0.0
Emma Rowan - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 62 3.3 26.5 0 0 0 0.05 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG