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Wayne St. (MI)

Also known as: Wayne St. (MI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 975 (#249) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 972 (#218) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +10.5 (#79) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.624 (#270) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.1 More → 0.529 (#208) NetEff +1.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.867 (#178) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.5 More → 0.873 (#172) AdjNet +16.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.758 (#169) AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 68.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Emporia St. W 67 - 66
2024-11-08 @ Lincoln (MO) L 52 - 55
2024-11-10 @ Northwest Mo. St. W 75 - 64
2024-11-10 @ UIndy L 67 - 68
2024-11-15 vs Barclay W 99 - 39
2024-11-17 vs Findlay L 79 - 88
2024-11-18 vs Bellevue W 82 - 65
2024-11-20 vs Neb.-Kearney W 65 - 64
2024-11-23 vs Tiffin W 84 - 54
2024-11-26 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 56 - 76
2024-11-26 @ Lewis L 67 - 86
2024-11-30 vs Clarke W 106 - 46
2024-12-05 vs Davenport W 76 - 67
2024-12-06 vs Minnesota St. L 61 - 64
2024-12-07 vs Grand Valley St. L 63 - 65
2024-12-07 vs Winona St. W 68 - 63
2024-12-11 vs Mich.-Dearborn W 85 - 77
2024-12-13 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 79 - 85
2024-12-14 @ Minn. Duluth L 66 - 83
2024-12-19 @ Northwood W 74 - 66
2024-12-19 @ Sioux Falls W 66 - 61
2024-12-21 vs Augustana (SD) L 59 - 65
2024-12-21 vs Redeemer Ancas. (CAN) W 106 - 65
2025-01-02 @ Lake Superior St. L 71 - 75
2025-01-03 @ Bemidji St. L 68 - 76
2025-01-04 @ St. Cloud St. L 63 - 71
2025-01-04 @ Ferris St. L 81 - 91
2025-01-09 vs Wis.-Parkside W 65 - 61
2025-01-10 vs Northern St. W 84 - 61
2025-01-11 vs Mary W 83 - 58
2025-01-11 vs Purdue Northwest W 70 - 67
2025-01-16 @ Northern Mich. W 82 - 67
2025-01-17 vs Minot St. W 78 - 69
2025-01-18 @ Michigan Tech L 68 - 74
2025-01-23 vs Saginaw Valley W 88 - 84
2025-01-24 @ Minn.-Crookston W 78 - 76
2025-01-25 @ MSU Moorhead W 73 - 68
2025-01-27 vs Roosevelt L 63 - 67
2025-01-30 @ Purdue Northwest W 73 - 69
2025-01-30 vs Sioux Falls L 68 - 78
2025-02-01 @ Wis.-Parkside L 63 - 80
2025-02-01 @ Augustana (SD) W 54 - 48
2025-02-06 @ Minnesota St. L 53 - 83
2025-02-06 vs Michigan Tech W 74 - 62
2025-02-08 vs Concordia-St. Paul L 60 - 77
2025-02-08 vs Northern Mich. L 61 - 66
2025-02-11 vs Southwest Minn. St. W 69 - 67
2025-02-13 @ Saginaw Valley W 81 - 69
2025-02-14 vs St. Cloud St. L 53 - 65
2025-02-15 vs Bemidji St. W 78 - 73
2025-02-17 @ Roosevelt L 83 - 90
2025-02-20 @ Grand Valley St. W 67 - 66
2025-02-22 @ Minot St. L 80 - 84
2025-02-22 @ Davenport W 81 - 70
2025-02-26 @ Winona St. L 59 - 63
2025-02-27 vs Ferris St. W 83 - 75
2025-03-01 vs Lake Superior St. L 77 - 79
2025-03-05 @ Ferris St. L 65 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Erickson - 2 25.5 19.0 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 12.5 10.0 -89 -3.4 -9.3 44.0 35.7 100.0 0.28 63.7 54.0
Rob Lee, Jr. - 24 31.0 15.8 4.0 2.3 0.8 0.2 1.8 11.6 9.8 - - - 44.6 38.8 81.0 - 58.3 52.7
Tamario Adley - 22 29.3 14.0 6.0 3.2 1.9 0.2 2.1 8.5 14.6 - - - 53.2 29.2 80.5 - 64.4 56.9
Carmelo Harris - 27 29.9 14.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 1.5 10.7 8.1 35 1.1 5.3 43.8 39.5 86.5 1.3 59.0 54.5
Matt Noll - 29 27.2 13.0 4.4 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.5 9.4 9.8 -91 -2.4 -6.2 53.5 36.4 63.1 0.52 58.7 56.4
JJ Ferrin - 29 27.7 12.3 2.3 2.0 1.1 0.1 1.4 10.4 6.0 -50 -1.3 -3.3 41.6 37.3 79.1 1.06 55.6 53.5
Nathan Claerbaut - 2 22.5 11.5 7.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 1.0 8.5 12.5 -98 -3.8 -12.2 58.8 0 60.0 0.52 59.9 58.8
Cody McCullough - 27 22.6 10.9 6.8 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.5 7.3 12.4 -113 -5.9 -12.8 51.8 22.2 68.0 1.13 57.8 52.3
Carlos Paul III - 27 21.6 10.7 4.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.8 6.7 9.1 109 4.4 10.4 62.4 40.0 68.4 2.17 67.6 65.7
Jay Saunders - 29 28.6 10.0 3.4 2.9 1.8 0.6 1.9 8.3 8.5 -171 -6.3 -11.5 46.1 40.6 72.4 -0.13 54.4 51.5
Reece Hazelton - 2 29.5 10.0 6.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 8.0 8.5 -10 -0.4 -1.3 37.5 40.0 100.0 1.17 53.6 43.8
Jimmy Scholler - 2 26.0 8.5 7.5 6.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 4.5 20.5 -101 -4.0 -12.7 77.8 0 60.0 -0.44 75.9 77.8
Jordan Briggs - 27 23.7 8.1 1.9 2.6 0.6 0.1 1.4 6.3 5.6 - - - 38.2 32.3 81.2 - 52.8 44.1
Kai Smith - 29 20.5 7.6 2.4 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.9 6.2 5.3 2 0.1 0.4 44.2 33.3 88.9 0.69 55.9 51.9
Sean Stokes - 28 26.1 6.4 2.5 1.7 1.7 0.1 0.8 5.8 5.8 -37 -1.4 -2.7 39.5 27.4 80.6 1.6 50.6 46.6
Donovan Brown-Boyd - 2 10.0 5.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 3.5 3.0 -31 -2.4 -16.8 57.1 50.0 50.0 0.08 69.8 71.4
Ray Williams, Jr. - 27 29.6 5.4 6.6 1.2 0.9 0.1 0.8 5.7 7.7 - - - 34.4 19.0 57.1 - 41.3 38.0
Kelvin Tamakloe - 27 14.8 3.9 3.8 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.8 2.8 5.6 - - - 61.3 0.0 50.0 - 60.8 61.3
Deng Reng - 2 17.0 3.5 5.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.5 -121 -4.8 -16.7 16.7 0.0 100.0 0.11 42.7 16.7
Noah Erickson - 29 15.8 3.2 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 2.9 3.6 -8 -0.4 -0.9 42.9 27.7 60.0 -0.41 51.9 50.6
Kareem Aburashed - 15 8.9 2.5 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.4 0.5 2.1 3.4 - - - 38.7 33.3 77.8 - 52.9 48.4
Adam Ayrault - 27 8.4 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 2.5 1.8 - - - 36.8 32.0 100.0 - 48.9 48.5
Ryan Blum - 29 11.8 2.4 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 2.7 2.5 50 3.8 18.3 31.2 25.4 77.8 -0.04 43.2 40.9
Jon Brantley - 27 10.1 2.3 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.4 3.1 0.7 - - - 28.9 24.4 50.0 - 35.6 34.9
Landon Classen - 28 8.6 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 1.8 2.4 -17 -1.4 -11.7 46.0 37.1 75.0 -0.19 59.9 59.0
Kenny Turner - 1 9.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 -63 -21.0 -800.0 50.0 0 0.0 -1.32 41.0 50.0
Nassir Binion - 29 5.9 1.8 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.0 1.1 -38 -3.8 -66.8 29.8 23.1 71.4 -0.59 39.3 32.5
Aiden Sullivan - 28 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 -10 -5.0 -98.8 61.5 0 60.0 -1.24 62.5 61.5
Wade Voss - 28 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 -26 -2.4 -304.4 50.0 0 100.0 -1.29 51.7 50.0
Bryce Esman - 27 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 62.5 0.0 100.0 - 67.6 62.5
Evan Inselman - 28 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0 0.0 0.0 60.0 100.0 0 -1.81 80.0 80.0
KJ Oduor - 24 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 - - - 25.0 0 33.3 - 28.2 25.0
JaKobie Boose - 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Eli Lohr - 21 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chris Mutebi - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
PJ Chambers - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Darshan Thomas - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.96 0 0
Eldon Turner - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Owen Hardy - 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -60 -2.5 -18.7 0 0 0 0.1 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG