Wayne St. (MI)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1124 (#83) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1120 (#95) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1044 (#137) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.1 (#112) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.5 (#140) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.624 (#270) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.943 (#169) | NetEff +29.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.867 (#178) | AdjNet +16.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.873 (#172) | AdjNet +16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.758 (#169) | AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.663 (#94) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.737 (#111) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.725 (#113) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1085 (#140) | RD 73 | GP 44 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Mich.-Dearborn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Missouri Western | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Manhattan Chrst. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Northwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Augustana (SD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Hesston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Sioux Falls | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Southwest Minn. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Minnesota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Redeemer Ancas. (CAN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Augustana (SD) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Northern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Jamestown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Wis.-Parkside | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Minn.-Crookston | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Michigan Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Northern Mich. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Minot St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Minn. Duluth | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Bemidji St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Winona St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Concordia-St. Paul | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Moore | - | 1 | 25.0 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 58 | 3.1 | 18.6 | 57.1 | 80.0 | 50.0 | 0.54 | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Jordan Briggs | - | 19 | 30.4 | 17.7 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 12.3 | 10.8 | -59 | -3.1 | -13.5 | 44.2 | 32.4 | 86.5 | 2.57 | 59.8 | 51.7 |
| Carlos Paul III | - | 12 | 23.2 | 13.8 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 29 | 1.7 | 12.5 | 52.5 | 20.0 | 67.9 | 3.14 | 57.8 | 53.8 |
| Matt Noll | - | 23 | 32.5 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 11.1 | 10.2 | -48 | -2.2 | -8.7 | 45.5 | 37.0 | 73.3 | 0.25 | 53.5 | 48.8 |
| Andrew Stokes | - | 24 | 25.1 | 13.2 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 10.9 | -34 | -1.5 | -7.5 | 59.2 | 45.5 | 74.4 | 1.23 | 63.9 | 60.4 |
| JJ Ferrin | - | 22 | 30.3 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 10.2 | 4.8 | 14 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 40.4 | 36.1 | 82.6 | 1.64 | 53.8 | 52.0 |
| Aurrion Harris | - | 23 | 28.8 | 10.8 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 13.5 | -23 | -1.0 | -4.9 | 50.3 | 41.7 | 90.0 | 2.31 | 61.9 | 53.3 |
| Braylon Mannan | - | 9 | 22.9 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 7.6 | - | - | - | 57.6 | 30.0 | 68.8 | -0.97 | 63.6 | 60.2 |
| Jotham Nweke | - | 19 | 27.7 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 9.1 | -99 | -5.2 | -23.7 | 39.2 | 33.7 | 70.6 | -2.6 | 50.5 | 48.0 |
| Kai Smith | - | 24 | 25.1 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 6.1 | -75 | -3.3 | -17.3 | 43.8 | 40.9 | 75.0 | -0.51 | 57.8 | 53.1 |
| Joey Cabana | - | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 37.5 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brandon Claerbaut | - | 1 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -11.7 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.44 | 92.6 | 83.3 |
| Chang Hoth | - | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 1.64 | 41.0 | 31.2 |
| Darshan Thomas | - | 23 | 17.7 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 4.5 | -100 | -4.3 | -35.1 | 43.1 | 31.6 | 60.0 | -2.33 | 47.8 | 46.6 |
| Devin Belle | - | 19 | 20.3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 4.6 | -56 | -2.8 | -16.7 | 38.6 | 20.0 | 74.5 | -1.63 | 48.4 | 42.5 |
| JaKobie Boose | - | 18 | 15.8 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 5.8 | -105 | -5.5 | -54.3 | 57.1 | 45.5 | 73.0 | -2.08 | 63.8 | 60.1 |
| Benjamin Kerkhoff | - | 24 | 14.4 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 3.6 | -81 | -3.5 | -32.3 | 50.5 | 39.1 | 73.1 | -2.18 | 64.8 | 62.8 |
| Jalen Jenkins | - | 19 | 21.1 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 5.9 | -83 | -4.4 | -23.3 | 48.6 | 42.1 | 88.9 | -0.45 | 58.6 | 54.1 |
| Cooper Craggs | - | 19 | 11.8 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 3.8 | 4.1 | -92 | -4.6 | -50.2 | 41.1 | 31.2 | 70.0 | -1.97 | 51.3 | 47.9 |
| Adam Ayrault | - | 19 | 15.3 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 2.9 | -49 | -2.5 | -16.4 | 39.4 | 35.0 | 71.4 | 0.48 | 55.3 | 54.2 |
| Eldon Turner | - | 24 | 14.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 2.9 | -24 | -1.0 | -9.1 | 30.0 | 20.7 | 73.2 | 0.26 | 44.3 | 34.3 |
| Owen Hardy | - | 1 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | -23 | -1.2 | -6.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.46 | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Marshall Thorn | - | 19 | 13.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 21 | 1.1 | 10.9 | 58.5 | 0 | 38.1 | 0.89 | 55.7 | 58.5 |
| Jon Brantley | - | 6 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | -13 | -2.2 | -28.6 | 26.3 | 36.4 | 75.0 | 0.05 | 40.9 | 36.8 |
| Ahmad Artis | - | 5 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -21 | -3.5 | -155.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.85 | 61.1 | 62.5 |
| Wade Voss | - | 19 | 10.5 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 3.2 | -65 | -3.6 | -59.7 | 54.1 | 0.0 | 55.6 | -3.61 | 54.9 | 54.1 |
| Payson Nietert | - | 4 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 1.0 | 27.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Kelvin Tamakloe | - | 19 | 10.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.3 | -46 | -2.3 | -29.9 | 62.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.85 | 61.6 | 62.1 |
| Luke Westerdale | - | 3 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 38.7 | 25.0 |
| Bryce Esman | - | 6 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.7 | -15 | -2.5 | -130.9 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 76.5 | 70.0 |
| Evan Inselman | - | 4 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | -15 | -3.8 | -90.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Chase Kuiper | - | 8 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.2 | -41 | -5.1 | -142.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -3.68 | 48.9 | 42.9 |
| Roko Jurasovic | - | 11 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.1 | -6 | -0.5 | -12.6 | 36.4 | 0 | 44.4 | 1.31 | 40.1 | 36.4 |
| Eli Lohr | - | 3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Chris Mutebi | - | 9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 | -16 | -1.8 | -145.5 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.05 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Justin Asi | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -7 | -0.5 | -5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG