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Wayne St. (MI)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Wayne St. (MI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 975 (#249) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1052 (#162) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1044 (#137) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.9 (#79) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +11.5 (#140) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.624 (#270) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +29.4 More → 0.943 (#169) NetEff +29.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.867 (#178) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.5 More → 0.873 (#172) AdjNet +16.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.758 (#169) AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 68.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.663 (#94) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.737 (#111) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.725 (#113) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 73 | GP 44 More → 1084 (#139) RD 73 | GP 44

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Emporia St. W 80 - 76
2025-11-14 vs Mich.-Dearborn W 101 - 66
2025-11-15 @ Missouri Western L 67 - 88
2025-11-16 vs Ashland L 64 - 76
2025-11-17 vs Manhattan Chrst. W 95 - 58
2025-11-20 @ Newman W 87 - 84
2025-11-22 vs Northwood W 79 - 73
2025-11-25 vs Augustana (SD) L 86 - 94
2025-11-25 @ Findlay L 81 - 95
2025-11-29 @ Neb.-Kearney L 59 - 62
2025-12-01 vs Hesston W 97 - 50
2025-12-02 @ Purdue Northwest L 58 - 77
2025-12-03 vs Sioux Falls W 91 - 79
2025-12-06 @ Southwest Minn. St. L 71 - 75
2025-12-06 vs Ferris St. W 98 - 77
2025-12-10 @ Tiffin L 0 - 0
2025-12-11 @ Minnesota St. L 60 - 71
2025-12-13 vs Lewis L 83 - 86
2025-12-13 @ St. Cloud St. L 69 - 93
2025-12-18 vs Concordia-St. Paul W 79 - 65
2025-12-20 vs Winona St. W 65 - 64
2025-12-20 vs Redeemer Ancas. (CAN) W 103 - 46
2026-01-02 @ Saginaw Valley L 62 - 65
2026-01-03 @ Augustana (SD) W 76 - 73
2026-01-04 @ Lake Superior St. W 77 - 71
2026-01-08 @ Grand Valley St. L 72 - 81
2026-01-09 vs Northern St. W 86 - 79
2026-01-10 @ Davenport W 80 - 66
2026-01-10 vs Jamestown L 70 - 73
2026-01-15 vs Wis.-Parkside W 82 - 78
2026-01-17 vs Roosevelt W 78 - 67
2026-01-17 @ MSU Moorhead L 73 - 84
2026-01-21 vs Minn.-Crookston W 79 - 62
2026-01-22 @ Michigan Tech L 74 - 75
2026-01-23 @ Mary W 91 - 74
2026-01-24 @ Northern Mich. L 62 - 83
2026-01-24 @ Minot St. W 85 - 77
2026-01-29 vs Purdue Northwest L 60 - 73
2026-01-30 vs Minn. Duluth W 77 - 70
2026-01-31 @ Ferris St. W 75 - 73
2026-01-31 vs Bemidji St. W 76 - 67
2026-02-05 vs Davenport W 77 - 68
2026-02-05 @ Winona St. L 57 - 60
2026-02-07 vs Grand Valley St. W 70 - 68
2026-02-07 @ Concordia-St. Paul L 59 - 95

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bryce Moore - 1 25.0 22.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 11.0 58 3.1 18.6 57.1 80.0 50.0 -3.87 69.8 71.4
Jordan Briggs - 19 30.4 17.7 2.7 3.1 1.3 0.1 1.8 12.3 10.8 -59 -3.1 -13.5 44.2 32.4 86.5 1.5 59.8 51.7
Carlos Paul III - 12 23.2 13.8 4.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.4 9.8 8.5 29 1.7 12.5 52.5 20.0 67.9 0.65 57.8 53.8
Matt Noll - 23 32.5 13.7 4.7 2.3 1.2 0.8 1.4 11.1 10.2 -48 -2.2 -8.7 45.5 37.0 73.3 0.31 53.5 48.8
Andrew Stokes - 24 25.1 13.2 4.8 1.6 1.2 0.4 1.5 8.8 10.9 -34 -1.5 -7.5 59.2 45.5 74.4 4.69 63.9 60.4
JJ Ferrin - 22 30.3 11.5 1.7 1.7 1.2 0.2 1.4 10.2 4.8 14 0.6 2.8 40.4 36.1 82.6 -0.54 53.8 52.0
Aurrion Harris - 23 28.8 10.8 7.3 2.2 1.3 0.8 1.8 7.2 13.5 -23 -1.0 -4.9 50.3 41.7 90.0 2.15 61.9 53.3
Braylon Mannan - 9 22.9 10.3 3.4 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.1 6.6 7.6 - - - 57.6 30.0 68.8 - 63.6 60.2
Jotham Nweke - 19 27.7 9.9 6.2 0.9 1.6 0.9 1.5 9.0 9.1 -99 -5.2 -23.7 39.2 33.7 70.6 1.06 50.5 48.0
Kai Smith - 24 25.1 8.1 2.5 1.5 1.2 0.0 1.3 6.0 6.1 -75 -3.3 -17.3 43.8 40.9 75.0 0.13 57.8 53.1
Joey Cabana - 1 25.0 8.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 6.0 -9 -0.5 -2.5 37.5 40.0 0 -0.3 50.0 50.0
Brandon Claerbaut - 1 24.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 -35 -1.8 -11.7 66.7 50.0 100.0 1.96 92.6 83.3
Chang Hoth - 1 30.0 8.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 2 0.1 0.6 25.0 33.3 75.0 -1.4 41.0 31.2
Darshan Thomas - 23 17.7 7.7 3.9 0.8 0.3 0.6 1.3 7.6 4.5 -100 -4.3 -35.1 43.1 31.6 60.0 -4.33 47.8 46.6
Devin Belle - 19 20.3 7.5 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 6.7 4.6 -56 -2.8 -16.7 38.6 20.0 74.5 -1.34 48.4 42.5
JaKobie Boose - 18 15.8 7.1 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.2 4.7 5.8 -105 -5.5 -54.3 57.1 45.5 73.0 0.57 63.8 60.1
Benjamin Kerkhoff - 24 14.4 6.5 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 4.5 3.6 -81 -3.5 -32.3 50.5 39.1 73.1 -0.61 64.8 62.8
Jalen Jenkins - 19 21.1 5.1 2.7 2.3 0.8 0.2 1.3 3.9 5.9 -83 -4.4 -23.3 48.6 42.1 88.9 -0.13 58.6 54.1
Cooper Craggs - 19 11.8 4.4 2.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 3.8 4.1 -92 -4.6 -50.2 41.1 31.2 70.0 -0.74 51.3 47.9
Adam Ayrault - 19 15.3 4.3 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.6 3.7 2.9 -49 -2.5 -16.4 39.4 35.0 71.4 -0.19 55.3 54.2
Eldon Turner - 24 14.9 3.2 1.1 1.6 0.8 0.2 1.2 2.9 2.9 -24 -1.0 -9.1 30.0 20.7 73.2 -2.22 44.3 34.3
Owen Hardy - 1 26.0 3.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 13.0 -23 -1.2 -6.9 33.3 0 100.0 0.14 43.6 33.3
Marshall Thorn - 19 13.6 2.9 3.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 2.2 5.4 21 1.1 10.9 58.5 0 38.1 -2.16 55.7 58.5
Jon Brantley - 6 7.2 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.2 1.3 -13 -2.2 -28.6 26.3 36.4 75.0 -0.35 40.9 36.8
Ahmad Artis - 5 5.4 2.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.2 -21 -3.5 -155.1 50.0 100.0 50.0 -0.83 61.1 62.5
Wade Voss - 19 10.5 2.4 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.9 3.2 -65 -3.6 -59.7 54.1 0.0 55.6 -1.7 54.9 54.1
Payson Nietert - 4 5.1 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 4 1.0 27.0 50.0 50.0 0 -1.33 75.0 75.0
Kelvin Tamakloe - 19 10.2 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.5 3.3 -46 -2.3 -29.9 62.1 0 50.0 -1.47 61.6 62.1
Luke Westerdale - 3 4.9 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.0 1.7 - - - 16.7 25.0 75.0 - 38.7 25.0
Bryce Esman - 6 4.0 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.7 -15 -2.5 -130.9 60.0 100.0 100.0 -0.69 76.5 70.0
Evan Inselman - 4 5.7 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 -15 -3.8 -90.7 50.0 50.0 0 -0.87 62.5 62.5
Chase Kuiper - 8 5.5 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.9 2.2 -41 -5.1 -142.0 42.9 0.0 60.0 -1.05 48.9 42.9
Roko Jurasovic - 11 7.0 1.1 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1 -6 -0.5 -12.6 36.4 0 44.4 -0.85 40.1 36.4
Eli Lohr - 3 2.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 16.7 25.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Chris Mutebi - 9 4.0 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 -16 -1.8 -145.5 60.0 0.0 0 -1.04 60.0 60.0
Justin Asi - 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -7 -0.5 -5.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.26 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG