Washington Col.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1012 (#228) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1072 (#137) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.8 (#201) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.661 (#376) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.754 (#141) | NetEff +7.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.594 (#348) | AdjNet +3.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.577 (#354) | AdjNet +2.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.501 (#374) | AdjO 56.2 | AdjD 56.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Salisbury | W | 50 - 39 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Stevenson | L | 35 - 47 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Messiah | L | 38 - 52 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Salisbury | W | 56 - 44 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Gallaudet | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 37 - 61 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Swarthmore | W | 52 - 36 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Marymount (VA) | L | 42 - 46 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | W | 57 - 43 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Gettysburg | L | 47 - 66 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Ursinus | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Trinity Washington | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Bryn Mawr | W | 60 - 41 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Muhlenberg | W | 62 - 45 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | W | 54 - 47 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Trinity Washington | W | 69 - 20 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Haverford | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Bryn Mawr | W | 60 - 34 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | McDaniel | L | 43 - 51 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Dickinson | L | 51 - 55 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Swarthmore | W | 43 - 37 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Muhlenberg | L | 37 - 52 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Haverford | W | 59 - 41 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Ursinus | W | 56 - 50 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | McDaniel | W | 45 - 40 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Gettysburg | L | 39 - 58 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Boggs | - | 27 | 26.0 | 13.1 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 10.7 | 12.3 | -71 | -2.2 | -2.4 | 47.2 | 0.0 | 65.9 | -0.66 | 51.6 | 47.2 |
| Abby Meredith | - | 25 | 29.9 | 10.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 2.4 | -21 | -0.7 | -0.7 | 38.7 | 34.7 | 76.2 | 0.13 | 46.1 | 43.3 |
| Karry Kelliher | - | 27 | 32.9 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 10.9 | 6.5 | -28 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 32.4 | 21.2 | 62.5 | 0.04 | 39.7 | 34.8 |
| Kiersten Rose | - | 27 | 29.9 | 6.1 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 6.0 | 8.7 | -28 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 42.6 | 23.1 | 51.0 | 0.04 | 45.2 | 43.5 |
| Emma Robinson | - | 27 | 32.0 | 4.3 | 9.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 9.7 | -47 | -1.4 | -1.4 | 34.5 | 20.0 | 25.0 | -0.36 | 34.1 | 35.2 |
| Peyton Berger | - | 25 | 14.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 0.9 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 25.6 | 21.7 | 75.0 | 0.14 | 33.8 | 28.5 |
| Avery Thomas | - | 27 | 10.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 | -6 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 38.2 | 13.3 | 46.2 | 0.03 | 40.4 | 39.5 |
| Maggie Lawrence | - | 27 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | -7 | -0.2 | -0.7 | 41.8 | 0.0 | 77.8 | 0.04 | 44.9 | 41.8 |
| Taylor Shane | - | 27 | 10.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | -1.4 | -14 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 19.8 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.06 | 22.0 | 19.8 |
| Sarah Oleary | - | 26 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | -22 | -0.7 | -2.0 | 28.0 | 33.3 | 38.5 | -0.21 | 34.2 | 32.0 |
| Marcella Ortiz | - | 16 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Rachel Taylor | - | 18 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG