🐻⬇️🏀

WashU

Also known as: WashU
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1112 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1234 (#13) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +26.1 (#8) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.911 (#235) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.1 More → 0.915 (#70) NetEff +19.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +38.5 More → 0.989 (#118) AdjNet +38.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +38.6 More → 0.990 (#121) AdjNet +38.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 53.3 More → 0.900 (#123) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 53.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-15 @ Edgewood W 78 - 58
2024-11-16 vs St. Mary's (IN) W 99 - 40
2024-11-22 vs Lyon W 119 - 49
2024-11-23 vs Wis. Lutheran W 66 - 47
2024-11-30 vs Rose-Hulman W 105 - 54
2024-12-01 vs Ill. Wesleyan L 59 - 67
2024-12-07 @ Wis.-Platteville L 54 - 69
2024-12-10 @ Fontbonne W 93 - 35
2024-12-17 @ Greenville W 69 - 47
2024-12-29 @ Dickinson W 63 - 45
2024-12-30 vs Bridgewater St. W 64 - 50
2025-01-11 vs UChicago W 72 - 45
2025-01-17 vs CWRU L 57 - 64
2025-01-19 vs Carnegie Mellon L 67 - 86
2025-01-24 @ Rochester (NY) W 86 - 76
2025-01-26 @ Emory W 67 - 56
2025-01-31 vs Brandeis W 74 - 50
2025-02-02 vs NYU L 46 - 80
2025-02-07 @ Brandeis L 57 - 68
2025-02-09 @ NYU L 58 - 77
2025-02-14 @ CWRU W 62 - 61
2025-02-16 @ Carnegie Mellon L 70 - 76
2025-02-21 vs Rochester (NY) W 80 - 64
2025-02-23 vs Emory W 83 - 66
2025-03-01 @ UChicago L 55 - 65

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lexy Harris - 24 24.5 16.4 9.2 1.5 0.5 1.1 2.7 11.7 14.4 92 2.7 3.6 59.4 50.0 67.0 0.79 61.6 59.6
Jessica Brooks - 25 31.2 15.3 9.3 2.8 1.7 0.6 2.5 13.4 13.8 11 0.4 0.5 43.8 31.2 66.7 0.01 51.0 48.2
Jayden Nortier - 1 28.0 13.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 3.0 -71 -3.0 -6.1 41.7 40.0 100.0 -0.72 52.3 50.0
Vivian Guerrero - 1 25.0 12.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 13.0 8.0 -20 -0.8 -0.9 46.2 0 0 0.1 46.2 46.2
Kallie Norby - 1 25.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 2.0 -40 -1.5 -1.9 62.5 100.0 50.0 -0.31 67.6 68.8
Nailah Mcbeth - 1 18.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 39 1.1 2.0 66.7 0 50.0 0.45 64.4 66.7
Alyssa Hughes - 25 22.1 8.9 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.4 7.4 3.5 109 3.1 4.1 41.3 38.5 88.9 0.51 56.9 54.1
Sidney Rogers - 23 23.9 8.8 2.2 2.6 1.2 0.1 1.3 7.2 6.3 126 4.1 5.3 42.8 36.7 64.3 0.76 54.7 52.7
Jordan Carlquist - 1 23.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 -27 -1.0 -1.4 50.0 50.0 0 -0.09 66.7 66.7
Kenzie Senffner - 1 30.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 -21 -0.8 -1.0 40.0 50.0 0 -0.07 60.0 60.0
Catherine Goodwin - 25 18.4 3.9 1.9 2.6 0.6 0.1 2.0 4.7 2.4 104 3.0 4.5 35.9 14.8 45.5 0.81 38.7 37.6
Jordan Rich - 25 17.0 3.8 2.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 1.0 4.3 2.8 134 3.9 7.4 30.8 30.2 45.0 1.0 40.6 39.7
Ava Blagojevich - 25 12.0 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.5 3.1 2.5 4 0.1 0.3 35.1 29.3 75.0 -0.15 45.6 42.9
Jessie Carlquist - 1 13.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -49 -2.0 -4.5 50.0 50.0 0 -0.53 75.0 75.0
Hope Drake - 25 7.3 2.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 2.4 2.0 22 0.8 3.1 38.3 34.2 100.0 0.35 51.9 49.2
Kate Gunderson - 1 12.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 64 2.1 5.6 25.0 0.0 0 0.5 25.0 25.0
Brenna Loftus - 25 6.8 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 -16 -0.6 -2.9 48.1 0.0 69.2 -0.27 53.5 48.1
Emilee Travnicek - 25 3.2 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 -39 -1.7 -11.0 57.1 0.0 75.0 -0.52 59.3 57.1
Amelia Rosin - 25 4.8 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.2 22 0.9 2.5 40.0 9.1 33.3 -0.03 41.6 42.0
Tara Murphy - 24 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 71.4 100.0 0 - 78.6 78.6
Cecilia O'Grady - 25 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.8 -17 -1.1 -9.1 46.2 0 50.0 -0.23 46.8 46.2
Sydney Starks - 25 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 38 1.7 7.9 20.0 18.2 0.0 0.3 23.9 26.7
Sabrina DelBello - 15 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Morgan Blake - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kylee Lonigro - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 35 2.9 19.5 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
Clare Allison - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15 0.9 11.2 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
McKenna Reilly - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -14 -1.0 -4.5 0 0 0 -0.64 0 0
Ava Berg - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 30 0.9 1.4 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0
Payton Grenzer - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28 2.5 19.7 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0
Taylor Wollin - 1 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 49 1.4 2.7 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0
Allie Mizwicki - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sophia Guerrero - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24 1.3 4.9 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
Londyn Holewinski - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 48 2.7 23.9 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
Grace Vesperman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.56 0 0
Adrienne Kirch - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -1.2 -6.2 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
Moli Haak - 1 14.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -56 -2.2 -5.9 0.0 0 0 -0.56 0.0 0.0
Mady VandeStreek - 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -4.0 -9 -0.5 -1.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.13 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG