Wash. & Lee
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1155 (#21) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1244 (#10) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.4 (#31) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.949 (#203) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.895 (#82) | NetEff +16.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.969 (#150) | AdjNet +29.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.970 (#151) | AdjNet +29.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.835 (#157) | AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 58.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-11 | vs | Southern Va. | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Emory | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Oglethorpe | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Lynchburg | W | 66 - 47 |
| 2024-12-01 | vs | Marymount (VA) | W | 70 - 44 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 49 - 63 |
| 2024-12-15 | @ | Pacific (OR) | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Willamette | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Concordia-M'head | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Transylvania | W | 81 - 60 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Mary Washington | W | 66 - 44 |
| 2025-01-05 | vs | Va. Wesleyan | W | 87 - 40 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Hollins | W | 71 - 57 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Ferrum | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Shenandoah | W | 62 - 59 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Roanoke | W | 77 - 50 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Averett | W | 85 - 30 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Guilford | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 66 - 50 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Randolph-Macon | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Randolph | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Lynchburg | W | 91 - 57 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Shenandoah | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | East. Mennonite | W | 79 - 56 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Roanoke | W | 79 - 65 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Guilford | W | 87 - 54 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Ferrum | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Merchant Marine | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Baldwin Wallace | L | 71 - 75 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlee Sieben | - | 1 | 27.0 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 66.7 | 77.8 | -0.69 | 62.6 | 56.2 |
| Paige Breuer | - | 1 | 35.0 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 10.0 | 57 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 47.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.01 | 57.8 | 55.3 |
| Mary Schleusner | - | 29 | 31.3 | 21.4 | 18.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 19.5 | 23.6 | 75 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 44.7 | 19.2 | 62.4 | 0.68 | 48.5 | 45.6 |
| Ashley Fowler | - | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 61 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.07 | 52.8 | 45.5 |
| Makayla Anderson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 16 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.24 | 28.7 | 27.5 |
| Quinn Mcguinness | - | 2 | 27.5 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 146 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 31.8 | 30.0 | 85.7 | 0.76 | 45.9 | 38.6 |
| Peyton Kirchner | - | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -42 | -1.9 | -3.0 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.52 | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Sarah Zimmerman | - | 24 | 21.5 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 72 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 42.4 | 32.0 | 71.9 | 0.94 | 51.6 | 44.8 |
| Alicea Farmer | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -13 | -0.4 | -0.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.29 | 58.0 | 50.0 |
| Greta Tollefson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.39 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
| Taylor Safranski | - | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -35 | -1.5 | -1.1 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Elka Prechel | - | 29 | 27.4 | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.2 | 54 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 31.0 | 30.3 | 42.1 | 0.24 | 44.7 | 44.6 |
| Maci Wheeldon | - | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -56 | -8.0 | -6.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.22 | 50.9 | 50.0 |
| Zou Raine | - | 26 | 17.0 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 46 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 41.5 | 15.0 | 64.2 | 0.57 | 47.1 | 42.6 |
| Riley Bryant | - | 29 | 19.7 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 76 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 33.7 | 22.8 | 58.3 | 0.39 | 41.4 | 39.8 |
| Molly Musland | - | 1 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -80 | -6.7 | -5.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.72 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Brianna Shuttlewood | - | 29 | 17.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 34 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 34.9 | 28.6 | 60.0 | 0.18 | 43.8 | 43.4 |
| Megan Zimmerman | - | 25 | 10.8 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 34 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 47.4 | 33.3 | 58.3 | -0.01 | 56.6 | 55.9 |
| Icy Keneah | - | 28 | 11.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 107 | 3.2 | 7.0 | 29.9 | 9.7 | 72.4 | 1.22 | 36.2 | 31.2 |
| Reese Fritz | - | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -20 | -1.0 | -3.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Alexa Snesrud | - | 1 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 30.7 | 37.5 |
| Cat Pettegrove | - | 23 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 9 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 67.6 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.18 | 66.9 | 67.6 |
| Lauren Achter | - | 29 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 30 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 37.5 | 10.0 | 51.4 | 0.08 | 42.7 | 38.4 |
| Ingrid Moraes | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Kayla Lee | - | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -11 | -1.8 | -7.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Nadia Snesarev | - | 1 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 44 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.41 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brooklyn Christianson | - | 1 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Jordyn Kahler | - | 1 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.52 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| Caroline Shimp | - | 11 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 51 | 6.4 | 14.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.61 | 60.8 | 50.0 |
| Emily Straughn | - | 29 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | -0.2 | -7 | -0.4 | -4.9 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.13 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
| Natalya Muchinsky | - | 26 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 22 | 2.4 | 13.8 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.02 | 21.8 | 8.3 |
| Katie Lawson | - | 26 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 11.3 | 0.0 |
| Abigail Rice | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | 120 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Gaby LoPresti | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -34 | -1.5 | -11.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.26 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Katie Lam | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -15 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caroline Donaldson | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mariah Cain | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 113 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 |
| Parker Childress | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Kiley Hylton | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Taya Jeffrey | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -69 | -8.6 | -7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Leah Lenz | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kaia Gack | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia Hanson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ellie Welch | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Genevieve Gruba | - | 1 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -45 | -9.0 | -7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG