Wartburg
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1080 (#93) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1139 (#66) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.7 (#27) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.939 (#209) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.957 (#39) | NetEff +23.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.973 (#148) | AdjNet +30.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.975 (#149) | AdjNet +30.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.841 (#153) | AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 51.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 60 - 46 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Greenville | W | 94 - 59 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Knox | W | 80 - 64 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Edgewood | W | 74 - 35 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Bethany Lutheran | W | 72 - 42 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Luther | W | 78 - 62 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Loras | W | 80 - 59 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 71 - 43 |
| 2024-12-17 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | East Tex. Baptist | L | 47 - 64 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | W | 62 - 55 |
| 2024-12-31 | vs | Wis.-Platteville | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Simpson | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Dubuque | W | 55 - 42 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 87 - 53 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Coe | W | 55 - 49 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 70 - 58 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Luther | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Simpson | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Loras | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 81 - 38 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Dubuque | W | 64 - 55 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 99 - 56 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Coe | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Luther | W | 77 - 56 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Coe | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | W | 57 - 56 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Gustavus Adolphus | L | 50 - 56 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon Murphy | - | 29 | 28.3 | 15.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 12.3 | 13.2 | 114 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 45.8 | 34.0 | 80.7 | 0.4 | 56.5 | 52.7 |
| Sara Faber | - | 29 | 28.1 | 14.9 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 12.7 | 10.6 | 130 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 37.5 | 29.7 | 78.8 | 0.68 | 50.7 | 44.6 |
| Lauren Woeste | - | 29 | 26.0 | 13.9 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 9.0 | 13.4 | 122 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 63.6 | 0.0 | 81.4 | 0.81 | 67.3 | 63.6 |
| Lauren Golinghorst | - | 29 | 17.8 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 46.2 | 32.3 | 74.6 | 0.22 | 55.0 | 49.7 |
| Britney Young | - | 26 | 28.4 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 6.7 | 5.2 | 109 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 32.4 | 30.3 | 50.0 | 0.5 | 45.8 | 45.7 |
| Grace Hennessy | - | 28 | 16.4 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 94 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 37.1 | 30.1 | 78.4 | 0.71 | 51.8 | 46.6 |
| Natalie Bearbower | - | 29 | 10.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 28.1 | 30.2 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 42.7 | 39.5 |
| Lauren Donlea | - | 23 | 16.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 25 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 0.43 | 49.4 | 50.0 |
| Jenna Saunders | - | 29 | 8.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 27.5 | 27.5 | 50.0 | -0.21 | 41.6 | 41.2 |
| Brylee Seaman | - | 29 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | -22 | -1.5 | -6.1 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.33 | 48.1 | 46.9 |
| Maggie Wilkins | - | 28 | 6.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 32 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 17.3 | 8.0 | 85.7 | 0.36 | 27.5 | 19.2 |
| Ava Trettin | - | 29 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 57.1 | 0 | 72.7 | -0.12 | 63.7 | 57.1 |
| Emma Townsley | - | 29 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 126 | 4.7 | 13.2 | 29.4 | 16.7 | 75.0 | 0.76 | 37.3 | 32.4 |
| Finley Fitzgerald | - | 29 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 15.4 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 0.03 | 23.7 | 19.2 |
| Faith Trelka | - | 28 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | -10 | -0.8 | -5.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.02 | 60.8 | 62.5 |
| Brooke Meeks | - | 29 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 63.0 | 66.7 |
| Tatum Grubbs | - | 23 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Sydney Lamkin | - | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brenna Bodensteiner | - | 20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Johnston | - | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG