Warner
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 986 (#208) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 964 (#245) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.006 (#665) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.057 (#658) | AdjNet -24.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.051 (#666) | AdjNet -24.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.160 (#662) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 81.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergey Grishaev | - | 1 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | 38.9 | 100.0 | 85.7 | 0.69 | 49.8 | 41.7 |
| Emilis Butkus | - | 1 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 91 | 3.2 | 8.3 | 55.6 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0.66 | 70.9 | 72.2 |
| Beau Frericks | - | 1 | 28.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 87.5 | 1.21 | 57.0 | 35.7 |
| John Latimer III | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 59.2 | 56.2 |
| Braxton Barnhizer | - | 1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5 | 1.0 | 14.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.66 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Ian Hart | - | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -67 | -3.0 | -16.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.44 | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| William Jobe | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -84 | -3.8 | -75.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.23 | 51.2 | 50.0 |
| Michael Niemann | - | 1 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -10 | -0.5 | -5.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Cheo James | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dylan Wolle | - | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.11 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Michael Kalina | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -20 | -1.0 | -13.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Caleb Samuel | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 68.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.79 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG