Walsh
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 973 (#341) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1001 (#282) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1003 (#356) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.7 (#109) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.3 (#259) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.240 (#474) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.620 (#240) | NetEff +3.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.541 (#391) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.561 (#384) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.532 (#377) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 63.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.585 (#187) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.605 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.604 (#263) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1052 (#191) | RD 99 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Kent St. | L | 55 - 79 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Davenport | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Grand Valley St. | L | 44 - 69 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Bry. & Strat. (OH) USCAA | W | 107 - 60 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | UIndy | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Roosevelt | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Slippery Rock | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Lake Erie | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 66 - 52 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Findlay | W | 49 - 42 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ursuline | W | 71 - 53 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Lake Superior St. | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Saginaw Valley | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Northwood | L | 62 - 76 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Ashland | L | 63 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 64 - 38 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Tiffin | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Malone | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Thomas More | L | 46 - 66 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 88 - 44 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Northwood | L | 77 - 95 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiley Dyrlund | - | 22 | 31.6 | 20.3 | 9.2 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 14.7 | 18.2 | 41 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 59.1 | 42.9 | 61.6 | 1.36 | 60.8 | 59.6 |
| Sydney Ludvigsen | - | 22 | 33.9 | 11.2 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 9.4 | 7.2 | -8 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 42.5 | 40.3 | 89.5 | 1.14 | 57.3 | 55.6 |
| Carlota Lopez | - | 22 | 30.4 | 10.6 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 11.6 | 4.8 | 14 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 35.5 | 13.6 | 70.8 | 0.79 | 41.1 | 36.7 |
| Emma Dretke | - | 22 | 28.9 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 8.3 | -30 | -1.3 | -6.3 | 42.8 | 29.6 | 80.0 | 1.4 | 52.8 | 50.4 |
| Sami Kim | - | 22 | 33.6 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 6.9 | 5.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 34.4 | 26.4 | 81.8 | -1.59 | 45.1 | 42.1 |
| Rory O'Hara | - | 22 | 15.8 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 2.1 | -30 | -1.3 | -11.6 | 35.6 | 30.9 | 84.6 | -0.97 | 48.6 | 46.6 |
| Mallory Oddo | - | 2 | 18.6 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 3.0 | -9 | -4.5 | -16.5 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.91 | 25.3 | 27.3 |
| Qaizden Stephano | - | 5 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | - | 48.6 | 50.0 |
| Kenzie Kramer | - | 19 | 13.0 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 | -14 | -0.7 | -9.8 | 28.6 | 20.7 | 25.0 | -1.58 | 33.6 | 33.9 |
| Maddie Cerovac | - | 15 | 10.2 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 | -54 | -3.6 | -34.7 | 20.5 | 16.7 | 69.2 | -4.27 | 31.3 | 24.4 |
| Jennica Berens | - | 6 | 8.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | -15 | -3.0 | -37.4 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.79 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Leah Major | - | 13 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 10 | 0.8 | 18.1 | 26.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.09 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Layla Marshall | - | 4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG