Walsh
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 987 (#291) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#238) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1003 (#356) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.3 (#133) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.3 (#259) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.240 (#474) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.620 (#240) | NetEff +3.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.541 (#391) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.561 (#384) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.532 (#377) | AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 63.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.585 (#187) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.606 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.605 (#263) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1042 (#209) | RD 98 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | @ | Kent St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Davenport | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Grand Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Bry. & Strat. (OH) USCAA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | UIndy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Roosevelt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Slippery Rock | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ursuline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Northwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Hillsdale | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Northwood | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiley Dyrlund | - | 21 | 31.9 | 20.5 | 9.4 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 14.9 | 18.7 | 41 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 59.3 | 42.9 | 62.4 | 3.18 | 61.1 | 59.8 |
| Sydney Ludvigsen | - | 21 | 34.0 | 11.4 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 9.5 | 7.5 | -8 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 42.7 | 41.1 | 89.5 | 2.12 | 57.9 | 56.0 |
| Carlota Lopez | - | 21 | 30.6 | 10.9 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 11.8 | 5.0 | 14 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 35.9 | 11.9 | 73.0 | -1.07 | 41.5 | 36.9 |
| Emma Dretke | - | 21 | 29.2 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 8.6 | -30 | -1.3 | -6.3 | 43.7 | 30.9 | 80.0 | -0.09 | 53.9 | 51.5 |
| Sami Kim | - | 21 | 33.7 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 6.8 | 5.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 33.6 | 25.9 | 81.8 | -0.25 | 44.2 | 40.9 |
| Rory O'Hara | - | 21 | 15.6 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | -30 | -1.3 | -11.6 | 34.6 | 29.2 | 84.6 | -0.6 | 47.1 | 44.9 |
| Qaizden Stephano | - | 5 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 33.3 | -2.46 | 48.6 | 50.0 |
| Kenzie Kramer | - | 18 | 13.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | -14 | -0.7 | -9.8 | 28.3 | 22.2 | 16.7 | -1.92 | 33.2 | 34.0 |
| Maddie Cerovac | - | 14 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | -54 | -3.6 | -34.7 | 21.1 | 16.7 | 69.2 | -1.91 | 32.0 | 25.0 |
| Jennica Berens | - | 5 | 9.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 0.6 | -15 | -3.0 | -37.4 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -1.0 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Leah Major | - | 12 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 10 | 0.8 | 18.1 | 26.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.2 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Layla Marshall | - | 4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mallory Oddo | - | 1 | 11.9 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -9 | -4.5 | -16.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.77 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG