🐻⬇️🏀

Walsh

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Walsh
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1113 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1246 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1197 (#12) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +16.5 (#35) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +18.6 (#68) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.786 (#166) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.0 More → 0.745 (#225) NetEff +10.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.4 More → 0.904 (#134) AdjNet +19.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.5 More → 0.907 (#131) AdjNet +19.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.793 (#128) AdjO 82.6 | AdjD 67.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.803 (#19) AdjO 82.0 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.878 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.871 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 21 More → 1333 (#6) RD 104 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ P.R.-Rio Piedras W 109 - 74
2025-11-15 @ P.R.-Bayamon W 77 - 75
2025-11-19 vs West Va. Wesleyan W 100 - 59
2025-11-21 vs Kent St.-Tuscarawas W 122 - 73
2025-11-24 vs Carnegie Mellon W 98 - 72
2025-12-04 @ Lake Erie W 93 - 88
2025-12-06 vs Ohio Dominican L 64 - 83
2025-12-11 vs Findlay W 103 - 98
2025-12-18 @ Findlay W 77 - 68
2025-12-30 vs Bry. & Strat. (OH) USCAA W 114 - 77
2026-01-03 @ Northwood L 75 - 80
2026-01-05 @ Hillsdale W 76 - 64
2026-01-08 @ Cedarville W 72 - 56
2026-01-10 vs Tiffin W 82 - 70
2026-01-17 vs Ky. Wesleyan W 102 - 66
2026-01-22 @ Tiffin W 76 - 58
2026-01-24 @ Malone W 68 - 44
2026-01-29 vs Thomas More W 80 - 76
2026-01-31 vs Hillsdale W 71 - 51
2026-02-05 vs Lake Erie L 89 - 97
2026-02-07 vs Northwood W 74 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Will Young II - 1 34.1 25.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 16.0 15.0 28 1.6 26.2 50.0 66.7 100.0 2.37 68.7 62.5
Joel Negron - 1 26.4 22.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 15.0 - - - 66.7 60.0 60.0 - 77.5 79.2
Mason Brandt - 1 27.9 19.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 12.0 54 2.3 14.2 63.6 66.7 50.0 1.39 80.0 81.8
Anthony Johnson - 1 30.1 18.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 15.0 22 1.0 4.8 54.5 60.0 100.0 -0.53 73.1 68.2
Matthew Biddell - 18 25.8 15.3 4.3 2.6 1.6 0.1 1.5 11.4 10.9 184 8.8 51.5 53.4 41.7 64.6 0.47 60.8 59.5
Quintero Barnett - 18 25.8 15.3 4.3 2.6 1.6 0.1 1.5 11.4 10.9 178 8.5 48.5 53.4 41.7 64.6 1.78 60.8 59.5
Parker Day - 1 32.3 14.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 12.0 -65 -3.0 -14.8 33.3 0.0 88.9 -1.45 54.0 33.3
Grady Schroeder - 18 23.0 13.7 6.6 1.6 0.9 0.2 1.8 9.3 11.8 - - - 58.1 12.5 68.0 - 61.5 58.4
Jamison Eklund - 1 28.3 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 11.0 -54 -2.6 -11.2 80.0 100.0 100.0 3.42 96.2 90.0
Francisco Morron - 1 19.8 13.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 7.0 - - - 55.6 60.0 0 - 72.2 72.2
Mekhi Elmore - 1 25.7 12.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 3.0 39 1.7 9.5 26.7 33.3 100.0 -1.09 37.8 33.3
Alex Kendall - 1 22.2 12.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 86 3.7 23.9 100.0 0 100.0 0.73 102.0 100.0
John Sweeney - 1 21.5 11.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 19.0 -55 -2.5 -22.9 66.7 0 87.5 1.33 84.4 66.7
Brayden Szamrej - 1 33.3 11.0 2.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 10.0 -73 -3.6 -21.3 40.0 60.0 0 -0.14 55.0 55.0
Luis Maya - 1 18.4 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 2.0 - - - 44.4 33.3 0 - 55.6 55.6
Zack Oddo - 18 25.9 9.3 6.5 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.8 7.1 10.6 171 8.1 46.9 50.0 35.3 68.3 1.33 57.5 54.7
Kaleb Schaffer - 18 15.4 9.2 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 6.9 3.9 26 1.2 11.0 44.0 36.8 71.9 -0.71 59.3 56.8
Jagger Landers - 1 22.8 9.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 15.0 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 100.0 100.0 -0.13 78.1 62.5
Kobe Mitchell - 18 26.1 8.8 2.2 2.2 1.4 0.2 1.1 7.8 5.9 114 5.4 30.9 38.6 30.8 76.0 -0.37 52.6 50.0
Darius Hernandez - 1 17.3 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 - - - 25.0 33.3 100.0 - 60.8 37.5
Jake Bishop - 1 18.1 6.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 38 1.7 13.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 -2.25 63.0 33.3
Ian Ioppolo - 1 19.6 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 -28 -1.6 -22.1 50.0 0.0 0 -1.54 50.0 50.0
Max Roth - 1 9.8 6.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 23 1.2 12.0 60.0 0.0 0 0.2 60.0 60.0
Yadiel Harrison - 1 28.4 6.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 12.0 - - - 40.0 0.0 66.7 - 47.5 40.0
Jaden Jefferson - 18 14.3 4.7 3.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.2 3.5 5.4 - - - 54.0 21.1 85.7 - 60.7 57.1
Nate Frascone - 16 12.7 4.1 2.1 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.6 2.9 5.5 - - - 52.2 10.0 66.7 - 57.5 53.3
Jamonte Smith - 1 6.7 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 98 4.9 25.3 50.0 0 0 4.05 50.0 50.0
Javonte Hill - 1 16.8 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 110 5.5 45.1 28.6 0.0 0.0 2.7 25.4 28.6
Steele Meister - 1 19.8 4.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 14 0.7 4.9 50.0 0.0 0 -1.75 50.0 50.0
Jean Dasilva - 1 23.2 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Aiden Satterfield - 18 13.8 3.6 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.3 2.7 5.0 - - - 42.9 34.5 92.3 - 58.5 53.1
Myers Gottfried - 11 6.9 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.4 - - - 60.9 25.0 50.0 - 61.7 63.0
Brandon Ford - 5 5.2 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 1.8 19 1.3 9.4 62.5 0 50.0 0.71 61.9 62.5
RJ Winegarner - 3 4.5 2.0 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.3 1.0 - - - 30.0 0.0 0.0 - 27.6 30.0
Julian Lewis - 1 26.6 2.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 -84 -4.0 -25.5 16.7 0.0 0 -3.37 16.7 16.7
Jayson Levis - 1 2.6 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -16 -1.1 -37.1 33.3 0.0 0 -1.76 33.3 33.3
Christian Martinez - 1 11.9 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Andras Lane - 5 5.1 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.8 -86 -4.1 -24.1 33.3 28.6 0 0.45 44.4 44.4
Brent Walker - 2 4.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ben Kim - 3 5.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.0 -0.3 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Miles Jackson - 1 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -40 -3.1 -37.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.58 0.0 0.0
Andrew Smith - 1 12.7 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 19 0.9 5.2 0.0 0.0 0 1.95 0.0 0.0
Alex Henry - 1 2.9 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Denbow - 1 5.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 31 1.8 83.2 0 0 0 -1.88 0 0
Josh Thorbahn - 1 4.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 62 2.7 33.7 0.0 0.0 0 4.42 0.0 0.0
Jeremy Figueroa - 1 16.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Victor Carillo - 1 16.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jeremy Matos - 1 13.7 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Edgardo Hernandez - 1 13.7 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -2.0 7 0.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0 3.36 0.0 0.0
Victor Carrasquillo - 1 13.7 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG