Wake Forest
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1566 (#66) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1478 (#71) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +32.1 (#84) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.693 (#25) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.817 (#23) | AdjNet +13.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.820 (#23) | AdjNet +13.1 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-13 | @ | - | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2003-11-22 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 97 - 55 |
| 2003-11-29 | @ | - | W | 86 - 61 |
| 2003-12-02 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 100 - 67 |
| 2003-12-06 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2003-12-20 | @ | - | L | 114 - 119 |
| 2003-12-30 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 91 - 67 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2004-01-06 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 86 - 47 |
| 2004-01-10 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2004-01-13 | @ | - | W | 94 - 81 |
| 2004-01-17 | @ | - | W | 84 - 72 |
| 2004-01-20 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 66 - 73 |
| 2004-01-25 | @ | - | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2004-01-29 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 93 - 85 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 91 - 78 |
| 2004-02-04 | @ | - | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2004-02-12 | @ | - | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2004-02-15 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 91 - 85 |
| 2004-02-18 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 90 - 84 |
| 2004-02-22 | @ | - | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2004-02-25 | vs | Wake Forest | W | 90 - 87 |
| 2004-02-28 | @ | - | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2004-03-02 | @ | - | W | 84 - 82 |
| 2004-03-06 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2004-03-12 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 86 - 87 |
| 2004-03-18 | vs | Virginia Commonwealth | W | 79 - 78 |
| 2004-03-20 | @ | - | W | 84 - 80 |
| 2004-03-25 | @ | - | L | 80 - 84 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gray | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chris Paul | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Eric Williams | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jamaal Levy | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Taron Downey | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Trent Strickland | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Vytas Danelius | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Kyle Visser | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Todd Hendley | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Richard Joyce | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Chris Ellis | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jeremy Ingram | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Scott Benken | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Alan Williams | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| John Buck | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Scott Feather | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG