🐻⬇️🏀

Wagner

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Wagner
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1149 (#87) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1024 (#270) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +27.7 (#80) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#65) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +54.4 More → 1.000 (#58) NetEff +54.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +46.5 More → 0.996 (#89) AdjNet +46.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +45.9 More → 0.997 (#88) AdjNet +45.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 51.2 More → 0.955 (#75) AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 51.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 54.4 More → 0.852 (#34) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 54.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.935 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.918 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 263 | GP 1 More → 1108 (#144) RD 263 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-05 vs SUNY New Paltz W 88 - 46
2025-12-30 vs New Jersey City W 86 - 39

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alivia Landy - 2 19.9 17.5 6.0 3.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 7.5 20.5 - - - 86.7 100.0 70.0 - 90.2 93.3
Irene Fernandez de Caleya - 1 34.9 12.0 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 10.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 0.0 - 41.6 42.9
Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor - 2 20.5 11.5 10.5 1.0 2.5 0.5 1.5 11.0 13.5 - - - 40.9 0 62.5 - 45.1 40.9
Hawa Balde-Camara - 1 14.2 10.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 15.0 - - - 66.7 0 50.0 - 64.4 66.7
Priscila Varela - 2 21.1 10.0 0.5 2.5 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.5 6.5 - - - 47.1 25.0 75.0 - 53.3 50.0
Saioa San Francisco - 1 19.6 10.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 -87 -5.8 -29.0 42.9 33.3 75.0 0.33 57.1 50.0
Klea Kaci - 2 23.2 9.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 3.0 10.5 1.5 - - - 33.3 21.4 100.0 - 43.4 40.5
Maria Doreste - 2 24.1 7.0 4.5 4.0 2.5 0.5 1.5 6.5 10.5 - - - 38.5 14.3 50.0 - 44.8 42.3
Raneem Elbarky - 1 10.9 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 60.0 0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Malia Mpondo - 2 18.7 5.5 3.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 56.4 50.0
Angelie Ricard - 2 26.9 5.0 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 5.0 6.5 - - - 40.0 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jada Johnson - 1 11.4 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 88 4.9 29.8 100.0 0 0 1.84 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG