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Wagner

Also known as: Wagner Seahawks
Program History

2010 Team Stats (30 games)

60.6
PPG
69.8
Opp
-9.2
Margin
40.4%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
61.6%
FT%
33.3
RPG
12.4
APG
16.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
57.4
Adj PPG
72.0
Adj Opp PPG
#327
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 656 (#327) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 653 (#341) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 862 (#329) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -15.8 (#329) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -15.5 (#332) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.165 (#318) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.1 More โ†’ 0.058 (#331) AdjNet -24.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.3 More โ†’ 0.057 (#330) AdjNet -24.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 72.0 More โ†’ 0.210 (#327) AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 72.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 69.6 More โ†’ 0.292 (#326) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.150 (#333) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.162 (#333) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 175 | GP 30 More โ†’ 702 (#329) RD 175 | GP 30

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-13 @ Lafayette Leopards L 72 - 81
2009-11-21 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 48 - 72
2009-11-24 @ NJIT Highlanders L 51 - 56
2009-11-28 vs Bucknell Bison L 61 - 85
2009-12-03 @ Saint Francis Red Wolves L 42 - 69
2009-12-05 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 70 - 73
2009-12-08 vs Columbia Lions L 91 - 102
2009-12-12 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 59 - 58
2009-12-17 @ BYU Cougars L 61 - 77
2009-12-19 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 61 - 74
2009-12-22 @ Jackson State Tigers W 71 - 62
2009-12-23 vs Chicago State Cougars L 63 - 78
2009-12-28 vs NJIT Highlanders L 56 - 65
2009-12-30 @ Princeton Tigers L 42 - 45
2010-01-04 @ Brown Bears L 71 - 72
2010-01-07 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 59 - 75
2010-01-09 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 66 - 78
2010-01-14 vs Long Island University Sharks L 64 - 79
2010-01-16 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 53 - 60
2010-01-21 @ Long Island University Sharks W 65 - 59
2010-01-23 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 54 - 57
2010-01-28 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats L 57 - 66
2010-01-30 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 74 - 73
2010-02-04 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 44 - 69
2010-02-06 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 50 - 66
2010-02-11 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 65 - 70
2010-02-13 @ Monmouth Hawks L 67 - 76
2010-02-18 vs Bryant Bulldogs L 51 - 53
2010-02-20 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 60 - 62
2010-02-25 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 55 - 76
2010-02-27 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 81 - 76

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.