Wagner
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
46.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
31.3%
FG%
30.2%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
28.8
RPG
7.0
APG
27.5
TO
71.8
Est. poss./game
43.5
Adj PPG
78.3
Adj Opp PPG
#363
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 661 (#347) | Preseason prior 669 (returning production + recruiting): last season 847, returning -89, transfers -89, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 760 (#352) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 764 (#352) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -36.0 (#362) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -35.9 (#362) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#361) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.024 (#363) | AdjNet -49.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.022 (#363) | AdjNet -49.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.067 (#363) | AdjO 43.5 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.068 (#363) | AdjO 43.5 | AdjD 78.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.058 (#363) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.058 (#363) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 730 (#352) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.058 (#362) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | SUNY Cortland Red Dragons | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Lafayette Leopards | L | 34 - 88 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | St. John's Red Storm | L | 33 - 102 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Rhode Island Rams | L | 38 - 88 |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Rider Broncs | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stella Sgro
|
G | 2 | 19.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | -8 | 2 | -4.0 | -8.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -2.44 | 50.7 | 43.3 |
Sophia Priestley
|
F | 4 | 28.2 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | -94 | 4 | -23.5 | -33.2 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -3.8 | 45.4 | 43.3 |
Alivia Landy
|
G | 4 | 27.8 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 9.8 | -86 | 4 | -21.5 | -31.3 | 40.9 | 50.0 | 78.6 | -3.08 | 55.0 | 45.5 |
Lana Beslic
|
G | 4 | 31.8 | 7.2 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -122 | 4 | -30.5 | -38.9 | 42.9 | 37.5 | 50.0 | -3.82 | 48.7 | 48.2 |
Avery Blue
|
G | 4 | 20.0 | 7.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 8.5 | 0.8 | -62 | 4 | -15.5 | -31.1 | 26.5 | 29.2 | 100.0 | -1.64 | 40.5 | 36.8 |
Ternadoo Agatha Agba
|
G | 4 | 21.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 0.8 | -88 | 4 | -22.0 | -41.3 | 19.2 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -5.5 | 24.8 | 19.2 |
Nahia Esnaola
|
F | 4 | 19.2 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 2.5 | -95 | 4 | -23.8 | -50.1 | 29.4 | 0 | 50.0 | -4.0 | 32.0 | 29.4 |
Jada Johnson
|
G | 3 | 13.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -62 | 3 | -20.7 | -64.1 | 33.3 | 20.0 | 0 | -5.41 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
Layla Mapp
|
G | 4 | 7.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | -0.2 | -44 | 4 | -11.0 | -63.6 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -3.21 | 38.1 | 28.6 |
Sylia Vigka
|
G | 4 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | -2.2 | -52 | 4 | -13.0 | -67.5 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -5.48 | 36.3 | 25.0 |
Janna Dauer
|
C | 4 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | -50 | 4 | -12.5 | -52.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -4.14 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
Fati Fall
|
F | 4 | 8.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | -32 | 4 | -8.0 | -40.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.53 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
Ama Ofori
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Shamique Cummings
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Saioa San Francisco
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
201 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Lana BeslicSophia PriestleyAvery BlueAlivia LandyStella SgroTernadoo Agatha Agba
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 18-38 | 47.4 | 36 | Sophia Priestley 33% (12 pts) | Lana Beslic 22% (8 pts) | Avery Blue 20% (4 misses) | Alivia Landy 15% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 19-69 | 27.5 | 38 | Sophia Priestley 21% (8 pts) | Nahia Esnaola 16% (6 pts) | Sophia Priestley 26% (13 misses) | Nahia Esnaola 16% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-11 | 9.1 | 2 | Lana Beslic 100% (2 pts) | - | Ternadoo Agatha Agba 50% (5 misses) | Sophia Priestley 20% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Alivia Landy 50% (2 pts) | Stella Sgro 50% (2 pts) | Ternadoo Agatha Agba 50% (2 misses) | Jada Johnson 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-15 | 26.7 | 8 | Lana Beslic 50% (4 pts) | Alivia Landy 25% (2 pts) | Lana Beslic 45% (5 misses) | Alivia Landy 18% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-5 | 80.0 | 12 | Lana Beslic 50% (6 pts) | Jada Johnson 25% (3 pts) | Stella Sgro 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 1-3 | 33.3 | 3 | Alivia Landy 100% (3 pts) | - | Alivia Landy 50% (1 misses) | Avery Blue 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-23 | 34.8 | 24 | Avery Blue 38% (9 pts) | Alivia Landy 12% (3 pts) | Avery Blue 53% (8 misses) | Lana Beslic 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-3 | 100.0 | 9 | Avery Blue 67% (6 pts) | Sophia Priestley 33% (3 pts) | - | - |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-28 | 10.7 | 9 | Avery Blue 67% (6 pts) | Stella Sgro 33% (3 pts) | Avery Blue 32% (8 misses) | Jada Johnson 16% (4 misses) |