Wagner
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 841 (#220) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 878 (#217) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 982 (#170) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.2 (#264) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.1 (#262) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.248 (#249) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.129 (#268) | AdjNet -16.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.127 (#268) | AdjNet -16.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.269 (#263) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 79.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.371 (#245) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 76.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.272 (#253) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.291 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 900 (#205) | RD 164 | GP 27 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-11-26 | @ | Siena | L | 73 - 81 |
| 1994-11-28 | @ | Manhattan | L | 64 - 103 |
| 1994-12-01 | @ | UC Santa Barbara | L | 74 - 77 |
| 1994-12-02 | N | Weber State | L | 57 - 83 |
| 1994-12-07 | vs | Delaware State | L | 69 - 78 |
| 1994-12-09 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 83 - 97 |
| 1994-12-17 | @ | Iona | W | 80 - 76 |
| 1994-12-30 | @ | Rutgers | L | 70 - 73 |
| 1995-01-03 | vs | Robert Morris | W | 72 - 69 |
| 1995-01-05 | vs | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 75 - 72 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn | L | 87 - 98 |
| 1995-01-09 | @ | Long Island University | W | 87 - 85 |
| 1995-01-14 | @ | Monmouth | L | 56 - 73 |
| 1995-01-19 | vs | Rider | L | 56 - 80 |
| 1995-01-21 | vs | Mount St. Mary's | L | 63 - 92 |
| 1995-01-26 | @ | FDU | L | 71 - 86 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Marist | L | 66 - 79 |
| 1995-02-02 | vs | Long Island University | W | 89 - 81 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn | W | 75 - 58 |
| 1995-02-11 | vs | Monmouth | L | 59 - 80 |
| 1995-02-14 | @ | Mount St. Mary's | W | 93 - 81 |
| 1995-02-16 | @ | Rider | L | 64 - 82 |
| 1995-02-18 | vs | Marist | W | 76 - 74 |
| 1995-02-20 | vs | FDU | W | 87 - 75 |
| 1995-02-23 | @ | Saint Francis (PA) | W | 80 - 76 |
| 1995-02-25 | @ | Robert Morris | L | 79 - 81 |
| 1995-02-27 | @ | Marist | L | 75 - 91 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.