Wabash
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1149 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1192 (#42) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1083 (#111) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.2 (#51) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.4 (#327) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.752 (#318) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.732 (#263) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.729 (#264) | AdjNet +8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.632 (#266) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.598 (#219) | AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.627 (#289) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.624 (#296) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1169 (#87) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Hanover | W | 90 - 61 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Rose-Hulman | W | 85 - 68 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Franklin | W | 92 - 74 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | WashU | L | 74 - 82 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | DePauw | L | 79 - 89 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Oberlin | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Kalamazoo | L | 84 - 85 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | John Carroll | W | 101 - 97 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Anderson (IN) | W | 96 - 88 |
| 2025-12-29 | vs | Berea | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Centre | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wooster | W | 89 - 80 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Ohio Wesleyan | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Kenyon | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Wittenberg | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | John Carroll | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | DePauw | W | 74 - 70 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Denison | L | 84 - 91 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Wooster | W | 72 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ellspermann | - | 19 | 30.8 | 16.5 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 12.4 | 11.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -5.3 | 46.8 | 37.3 | 79.5 | 0.44 | 58.1 | 53.4 |
| Rich Brooks | - | 19 | 22.9 | 12.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 8.1 | 6.1 | 29 | 1.5 | 7.9 | 53.9 | 44.6 | 78.9 | 0.5 | 68.2 | 65.9 |
| Josh Whack | - | 13 | 26.8 | 11.4 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 9.3 | -11 | -0.8 | -3.0 | 53.8 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 1.93 | 62.9 | 57.0 |
| Colton Stowers | - | 18 | 25.7 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 6.5 | -36 | -1.9 | -11.4 | 44.7 | 36.6 | 60.5 | -1.19 | 54.5 | 52.8 |
| Gavin Schippert | - | 19 | 29.4 | 10.7 | 8.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 12.9 | 39 | 1.9 | 9.1 | 56.2 | 27.3 | 54.4 | 1.86 | 60.8 | 60.6 |
| Nate Matelic | - | 19 | 20.4 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 5.1 | -15 | -0.8 | -4.9 | 49.0 | 34.9 | 82.5 | -0.65 | 57.9 | 53.9 |
| Deric Cannady | - | 19 | 21.5 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.6 | 34.8 | 58.3 | -0.7 | 53.3 | 52.0 |
| Keegan Manowitz | - | 19 | 19.6 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 5.5 | -28 | -1.4 | -9.9 | 38.8 | 36.8 | 72.2 | 0.48 | 54.6 | 51.9 |
| Tyler Horton | - | 16 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | -3 | -0.2 | -3.1 | 63.2 | 0 | 70.0 | -2.11 | 66.2 | 63.2 |
| Arlondo Hall | - | 8 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | -0.1 | -7 | -0.9 | -24.3 | 30.8 | 22.2 | 0.0 | -0.92 | 37.2 | 38.5 |
| Edward Thomas | - | 6 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | -3 | -3.0 | -109.1 | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -0.56 | 21.8 | 25.0 |
| Kadyn Ellery | - | 9 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | -17 | -1.7 | -77.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Isaac Rivas | - | 6 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -13 | -3.2 | -143.1 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.53 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Grant Brown | - | 5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | -5 | -1.7 | -70.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.94 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| AJ DeFur | - | 4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -2.5 | -65.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.92 | 0 | 0 |
| Drew Cook | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Randy Kelley | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG