Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1048 (#129) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1120 (#69) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.1 (#34) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.851 (#273) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.852 (#104) | NetEff +14.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.839 (#218) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.818 (#225) | AdjNet +12.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.685 (#237) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 62.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 | @ | Quinnipiac | L | 47 - 71 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Worcester St. | W | 99 - 55 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | W | 80 - 73 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Amherst | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Salem St. | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Fitchburg St. | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Tufts | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 86 - 65 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Babson | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Suffolk | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2024-12-31 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | W | 79 - 48 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Emerson | W | 88 - 65 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Clark (MA) | W | 58 - 49 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Springfield | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2025-01-21 | @ | MIT | W | 104 - 67 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Salve Regina | W | 58 - 56 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Babson | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Coast Guard | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Emerson | W | 72 - 46 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Clark (MA) | W | 67 - 64 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | MIT | W | 72 - 53 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Springfield | W | 58 - 52 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 92 - 56 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Emerson | W | 2 - 0 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Clark (MA) | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Husson | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Ithaca | W | 79 - 71 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 50 - 66 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Amado | - | 1 | 32.0 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 83.3 | 1.16 | 66.0 | 59.1 |
| Trevor Arico | - | 1 | 38.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | -96 | -5.3 | -11.1 | 43.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.18 | 53.1 | 53.1 |
| Alex Stoddard | - | 1 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 28 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 36.4 | 28.6 | 83.3 | 0.66 | 55.0 | 45.5 |
| Aidan Callahan | - | 29 | 33.8 | 14.9 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 10.9 | 11.8 | 107 | 5.1 | 8.4 | 46.0 | 37.1 | 83.3 | 2.78 | 59.0 | 53.3 |
| Timmy O'Toole | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 | 93 | 3.9 | 12.3 | 80.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.21 | 91.6 | 80.0 |
| Linus Helmhold | - | 1 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 56 | 4.3 | 10.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 1.28 | 55.4 | 55.0 |
| Tim Reidy | - | 29 | 29.1 | 13.7 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 7.9 | 101 | 4.0 | 8.4 | 41.8 | 42.4 | 90.0 | -0.13 | 62.6 | 57.6 |
| Jacob Armant | - | 1 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | -150 | -6.5 | -16.6 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 0.83 | 46.8 | 40.0 |
| Brett Marelli | - | 29 | 24.2 | 9.7 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 8.3 | 9.0 | 88 | 4.0 | 7.5 | 50.8 | 34.8 | 44.1 | 2.56 | 52.2 | 52.5 |
| Giulio Volonte | - | 1 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 26 | 1.9 | 10.9 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.62 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Guillermo Gasset Ruiz | - | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 46 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.83 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| J.R. Newman | - | 27 | 22.9 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 35 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 37.8 | 30.7 | 91.7 | 0.84 | 50.3 | 45.9 |
| Justin Molen | - | 29 | 23.1 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 9.2 | 75 | 10.7 | 76.8 | 41.6 | 25.9 | 67.7 | -0.1 | 51.6 | 47.8 |
| Nicholas Margetson | - | 29 | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 120 | 5.5 | 16.9 | 42.3 | 37.3 | 75.0 | 1.14 | 54.1 | 51.3 |
| Asher Gardiner | - | 1 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -150 | -6.5 | -22.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.53 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Lucas Brenner | - | 1 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -105 | -6.2 | -12.4 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.78 | 51.2 | 37.5 |
| Nathan Bledsoe | - | 28 | 11.6 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 17 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 35.3 | 33.7 | 82.6 | 0.34 | 53.9 | 50.4 |
| Jack Bleier | - | 29 | 13.8 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 118 | 6.2 | 28.7 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 1.0 | 51.7 | 49.1 |
| Hank Gramlich | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 8 | 0.6 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.53 | 31.5 | 0.0 |
| Adam Patterson | - | 29 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | -45 | -3.8 | -493.2 | 42.9 | 10.0 | 33.3 | -0.96 | 43.6 | 44.3 |
| Matt Morvillo | - | 28 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | -65 | -7.2 | -42.9 | 35.5 | 5.9 | 46.7 | -0.16 | 39.9 | 37.1 |
| Joe Pebley | - | 29 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.8 | -47 | -4.3 | -169.6 | 52.9 | 0 | 80.0 | -0.55 | 60.7 | 52.9 |
| Will Barton | - | 28 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -59 | -9.8 | -1115.0 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.18 | 62.6 | 63.3 |
| Jeremy Cai | - | 28 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -37 | -7.4 | -1032.6 | 75.0 | 75.0 | 66.7 | -1.33 | 97.9 | 112.5 |
| Vaughn Foster | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 37 | 2.2 | 15.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aidan Horan | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Lauder | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 74 | 3.9 | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Timmy Mulvey | - | 1 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -3.0 | 128 | 5.6 | 14.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ray Allen III | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -21 | -4.2 | -340.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.14 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Blake Bailey | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -23.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.97 | 0 | 0 |
| Kieran Durkin | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Roman Leraris | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 4.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Brendan McNamara | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Ndu | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| Yoav Rabbi | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -3.5 | -146.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Shay Roban | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 26 | 1.6 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jeff Tan | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Brendan Taylor | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.4 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Wilkins | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Caden Zurek | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG