WPI
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1105 (#118) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1161 (#71) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1057 (#124) | HCA +58 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.6 (#81) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.5 (#74) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.744 (#70) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.813 (#66) | AdjNet +12.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.816 (#65) | AdjNet +12.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.707 (#63) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 64.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#89) | AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.715 (#79) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.702 (#84) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1125 (#98) | RD 129 | GP 25 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | Legacy estimate | Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. |
2016-2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-15 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 76 - 62 |
| 2016-11-18 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 59 - 55 |
| 2016-11-19 | vs | DeSales | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2016-11-22 | @ | Worcester St. | W | 91 - 54 |
| 2016-11-29 | @ | Tufts | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2016-12-01 | @ | Framingham St. | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2016-12-03 | @ | Fitchburg St. | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2016-12-06 | vs | MCLA | W | 105 - 68 |
| 2016-12-10 | @ | Salem St. | W | 87 - 62 |
| 2016-12-28 | vs | Keene St. | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2016-12-30 | vs | Eastern Nazarene | W | 88 - 72 |
| 2017-01-04 | vs | Springfield | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2017-01-07 | @ | MIT | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2017-01-11 | @ | Babson | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2017-01-14 | vs | Emerson | W | 86 - 64 |
| 2017-01-18 | @ | Clark (MA) | W | 78 - 58 |
| 2017-01-21 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2017-01-25 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 84 - 70 |
| 2017-01-28 | @ | Springfield | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2017-02-01 | @ | Emerson | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2017-02-04 | vs | Babson | L | 45 - 62 |
| 2017-02-08 | vs | MIT | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2017-02-11 | @ | Coast Guard | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2017-02-15 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2017-02-18 | vs | Clark (MA) | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2017-02-25 | vs | MIT | L | 61 - 63 |
2016-2017 Roster
No roster data available for this season.