Virginia
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1780 (#21) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1621 (#16) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +37.3 (#29) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.413 (#68) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.666 (#43) | AdjNet +6.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.669 (#44) | AdjNet +6.1 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-23 | vs | Virginia | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2003-11-28 | vs | Virginia Tech | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2003-11-30 | vs | Virginia | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2003-12-03 | vs | Virginia | W | 86 - 78 |
| 2003-12-16 | vs | Virginia | W | 90 - 80 |
| 2003-12-19 | @ | - | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2003-12-22 | vs | Virginia | W | 89 - 74 |
| 2003-12-28 | @ | - | W | 86 - 69 |
| 2003-12-31 | vs | Virginia | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2004-01-03 | vs | Virginia | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2004-01-05 | vs | William & Mary | W | 84 - 71 |
| 2004-01-11 | vs | Virginia | L | 71 - 93 |
| 2004-01-15 | @ | - | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2004-01-18 | vs | Virginia | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2004-01-20 | vs | Virginia | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2004-01-24 | @ | - | W | 96 - 77 |
| 2004-02-04 | vs | Virginia | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Virginia | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2004-02-11 | @ | - | W | 93 - 75 |
| 2004-02-14 | vs | Virginia | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2004-02-17 | @ | - | W | 76 - 57 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | - | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2004-02-24 | vs | Virginia | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2004-03-02 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2004-03-07 | @ | - | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2004-03-11 | @ | - | W | 83 - 79 |
| 2004-03-12 | @ | - | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2004-03-17 | vs | Virginia | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2004-03-20 | @ | - | W | 73 - 63 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elton Brown | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Devin Smith | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Todd Billet | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gary Forbes | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Derrick Byars | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Donte Minter | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| T.J. Bannister | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jason Clark | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jason Cain | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Majestic Mapp | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Robert Lodge | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Billy Campbell | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Hank Nacey | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Vince Redd | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG