Virginia-Lynchburg
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 951 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 916 (#278) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -30.9 (#306) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.008 (#636) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.007 (#709) | AdjNet -43.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.006 (#709) | AdjNet -42.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.076 (#702) | AdjO 51.0 | AdjD 78.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Bluefield St. | L | 40 - 103 |
| 2025-01-05 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 53 - 82 |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | Bluefield St. | L | 64 - 91 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2025-01-19 | @ | Shaw | L | 23 - 76 |
| 2025-01-27 | @ | Winston-Salem | L | 44 - 71 |
| 2025-02-04 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 59 - 75 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalyssa Rogers | - | 7 | 32.7 | 14.3 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 5.3 | 11.3 | 5.7 | -45 | -5.6 | -5.7 | 39.2 | 29.6 | 55.6 | -0.7 | 48.7 | 44.3 |
| Macy Brackett | - | 5 | 25.4 | 14.2 | 4.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 10.2 | 5.8 | -55 | -3.9 | -6.9 | 51.0 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.87 | 56.5 | 52.0 |
| Karrin Purchas | - | 7 | 31.9 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0.1 | 5.3 | 10.1 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 33.8 | 25.8 | 53.8 | -0.39 | 41.1 | 39.4 |
| Sanaiya Edmond | - | 6 | 23.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | -0.8 | - | - | - | 24.2 | 0.0 | 61.1 | - | 33.0 | 24.2 |
| Sara Aumer | - | 5 | 22.2 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 2.8 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 32.9 | 30.4 |
| Joselyn Johnson | - | 5 | 17.6 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 5.0 | -2.2 | 34 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 58.3 | 0.28 | 28.1 | 20.0 |
| Shannen Hinchey | - | 6 | 24.3 | 3.2 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 5.8 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 22.9 | 0.0 | 37.5 | - | 24.7 | 22.9 |
| Zaria Simmons | - | 6 | 25.7 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 39.1 | 35.3 |
| Emily Bennett | - | 7 | 15.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -1.0 | -19 | -3.2 | -9.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.21 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Zyaire Hairston | - | 5 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jazmine Klausmeier | - | 5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isabella Gonzalez | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -0.7 | -1.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG