Virginia-Lynchburg
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 928 (#352) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 836 (#399) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -35.7 (#319) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.003 (#698) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.004 (#760) | AdjNet -46.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.004 (#758) | AdjNet -45.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.023 (#765) | AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 109.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-17 | @ | West Ala. | L | 55 - 93 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | L | 68 - 102 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Livingstone | L | 65 - 130 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Allen | L | 0 - 0 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Lemons | - | 1 | 23.0 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 79 | 3.3 | 13.6 | 53.3 | 53.3 | 75.0 | 0.95 | 80.5 | 80.0 |
| Jamal Cannady | - | 1 | 31.0 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | -94 | -4.7 | -13.2 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.32 | 68.5 | 57.1 |
| Asa White | - | 1 | 27.0 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | -105 | -4.0 | -10.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 77.8 | -0.28 | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Ashton Sherrell | - | 1 | 30.0 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | -150 | -5.6 | -13.0 | 58.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.38 | 58.1 | 58.3 |
| Ta'Jae Jenkins | - | 1 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 85.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.45 | 85.6 | 92.9 |
| Paul Tako | - | 1 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -94 | -4.9 | -23.8 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | 0.13 | 85.1 | 80.0 |
| Orlando Hudson | - | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -49 | -1.8 | -8.2 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.01 | 78.5 | 60.0 |
| Elliot Tulip | - | 1 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 79 | 3.6 | 26.3 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.3 | 72.0 | 50.0 |
| Chance Jamison | - | 1 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 29 | 3.6 | 437.7 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -1.4 | 93.5 | 90.0 |
| James Nipper | - | 1 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -200 | -6.7 | -26.4 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 75.1 | 66.7 |
| Thaddeus Williams | - | 1 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 71 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.36 | 43.0 | 33.3 |
| Christopher Ealy | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | -42 | -2.1 | -4.6 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.9 | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Rasean Frederick | - | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 86 | 3.9 | 27.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.23 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Caleb McGill | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -14 | -0.6 | -1.6 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.17 | 43.6 | 38.9 |
| Donovan Leak | - | 1 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 27 | 1.7 | 13.6 | 80.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.14 | 76.5 | 90.0 |
| Trey Minard | - | 1 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 35 | 2.5 | 15.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 0.35 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Hugh Hargett | - | 1 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 4 | 0.7 | 63.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -1.42 | 133.3 | 133.3 |
| Javon Anderson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | -76 | -3.2 | -6.8 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.41 | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Cameron McDonald | - | 1 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 116.7 | 116.7 |
| Andrae Shaw Jr | - | 1 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 121.5 | 125.0 |
| Jalil Robinson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 6 | 0.8 | 70.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.29 | 79.8 | 50.0 |
| Anthony Williams | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.4 | 69.4 | 66.7 |
| Kinglsey Ijeoma | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -63 | -3.1 | -7.4 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.81 | 55.1 | 60.0 |
| Michael Mcintosh | - | 1 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | -30 | -2.0 | -21.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.02 | 32.2 | 33.3 |
| Javian Cannady | - | 1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.2 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Jacob Hunkins | - | 1 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | -33 | -1.8 | -29.3 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.16 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Charles Fofanah | - | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -26 | -1.0 | -6.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.5 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Marcellious Lockett | - | 1 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 16.7 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.4 | 29.1 | 25.0 |
| Ford Cooper | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -18 | -0.9 | -4.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -1.41 | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Jemez Herd | - | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -78 | -8.7 | -78.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.17 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Wisdom Rogers | - | 1 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 12 | 1.2 | 63.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.94 | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Sila Tako | - | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 13 | 0.5 | 17.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.38 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Tyson Bates | - | 1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | - | 61.5 | 75.0 |
| Justin Bumbray | - | 1 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -17 | -1.0 | -9.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Chandler Collins-Johnson | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 41 | 4.6 | 41.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jeremiah Mobley | - | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -20 | -1.1 | -22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.29 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Jared Weakly | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 50 | 2.9 | 23.3 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.06 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Bryson Hall | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Travion McCray | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Dadrevius Weathers | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20 | 1.3 | 11.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Travon Gray | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -1.2 | -74.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaiden Jeffery | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -14 | -2.8 | -320.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.57 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG