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Virginia Tech

Also known as: Virginia Tech Hokies
Program History

2012 Team Stats (6 games)

47.5
PPG
65.8
Opp
-18.3
Margin
32.1%
FG%
25.3%
3P%
59.8%
FT%
27.3
RPG
9.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
53.2
Adj PPG
54.6
Adj Opp PPG
#179
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 875 (#231) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 884 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 871 (#312) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -0.7 (#169) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -1.6 (#177) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.097 (#315) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.4 More โ†’ 0.376 (#197) AdjNet -4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -4.3 More โ†’ 0.378 (#194) AdjNet -4.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 54.6 More โ†’ 0.468 (#179) AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 54.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 59.1 More โ†’ 0.381 (#252) AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 59.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.368 (#218) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.351 (#231) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 164 | GP 29 More โ†’ 868 (#257) RD 164 | GP 29

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 77 - 65
2011-11-16 vs Charlotte 49ers L 65 - 71
2011-11-19 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 55 - 48
2011-11-21 vs William & Mary Tribe L 59 - 78
2011-11-25 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 47 - 60
2011-11-30 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 47 - 58
2011-12-06 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 28 - 66
2011-12-11 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 70 - 52
2011-12-18 @ UCF Knights L 32 - 41
2011-12-21 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 41 - 69
2011-12-28 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 55 - 66
2011-12-29 vs UMBC Retrievers W 57 - 52
2012-01-02 @ Clemson Tigers W 55 - 33
2012-01-05 @ Boston College Eagles W 38 - 35
2012-01-08 vs Florida State Seminoles L 40 - 75
2012-01-12 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 39 - 52
2012-01-15 vs Duke Blue Devils L 34 - 61
2012-01-19 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 37 - 56
2012-01-23 @ Miami Hurricanes L 48 - 79
2012-01-26 @ Maryland Terrapins W 75 - 69
2012-01-29 vs NC State Wolfpack L 53 - 65
2012-02-03 vs Clemson Tigers L 51 - 55
2012-02-05 @ Florida State Seminoles L 60 - 78
2012-02-13 vs Boston College Eagles L 60 - 64
2012-02-15 @ Duke Blue Devils L 45 - 67
2012-02-19 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 40 - 66
2012-02-23 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 66 - 76
2012-02-26 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 39 - 68
2012-03-01 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 74 - 80

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Tellier M. Tellier G 5 0.0 13.2 4.0 1.6 1.2 0.4 4.6 13.2 2.6 -125 23 -5.4 -6.8 30.3 32.4 82.4 3.12 44.9 39.4
A. Wilson A. Wilson NA 6 0.0 12.3 1.5 2.2 1.5 0.2 2.5 16.7 -1.5 -181 23 -7.9 -9.4 31.0 24.0 50.0 -2.96 35.1 34.0
P. Hadley P. Hadley F 5 0.0 8.6 4.0 1.2 0.8 0.2 1.6 7.6 5.6 -161 23 -7.0 -11.6 44.7 0 69.2 -4.05 49.2 44.7
A. Fenyn A. Fenyn NA 6 0.0 6.5 4.5 3.0 1.8 0.5 2.7 6.8 6.8 -145 23 -6.3 -7.5 34.1 21.1 58.3 1.51 42.1 39.0
L. Hines-Allen L. Hines-Allen F 6 0.0 3.8 8.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 1.8 4.8 6.8 -85 23 -3.7 -5.9 31.0 0 50.0 2.25 34.4 31.0
B. Montgomery B. Montgomery F 1 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -2.0 -62 18 -3.4 -12.8 0.0 0 0 -2.9 0.0 0.0
L. Hall L. Hall NA 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -72 19 -3.8 -11.1 0 0 0 -2.3 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG