Virginia Tech
2012 Team Stats (6 games)
47.5
PPG
65.8
Opp
-18.3
Margin
32.1%
FG%
25.3%
3P%
59.8%
FT%
27.3
RPG
9.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
53.2
Adj PPG
54.6
Adj Opp PPG
#179
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 875 (#231) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 884 (#240) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 871 (#312) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.7 (#169) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -1.6 (#177) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.097 (#315) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.376 (#197) | AdjNet -4.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.378 (#194) | AdjNet -4.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.468 (#179) | AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 54.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.381 (#252) | AdjO 53.7 | AdjD 59.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.368 (#218) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.351 (#231) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 868 (#257) | RD 164 | GP 29 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-11 | @ | Old Dominion Monarchs | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2011-11-16 | vs | Charlotte 49ers | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2011-11-19 | @ | George Washington Revolutionaries | W | 55 - 48 |
| 2011-11-21 | vs | William & Mary Tribe | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2011-11-25 | @ | Saint Mary's Gaels | L | 47 - 60 |
| 2011-11-30 | @ | Iowa Hawkeyes | L | 47 - 58 |
| 2011-12-06 | @ | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 28 - 66 |
| 2011-12-11 | vs | North Carolina Central Eagles | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ | UCF Knights | L | 32 - 41 |
| 2011-12-21 | @ | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | L | 41 - 69 |
| 2011-12-28 | vs | Cincinnati Bearcats | L | 55 - 66 |
| 2011-12-29 | vs | UMBC Retrievers | W | 57 - 52 |
| 2012-01-02 | @ | Clemson Tigers | W | 55 - 33 |
| 2012-01-05 | @ | Boston College Eagles | W | 38 - 35 |
| 2012-01-08 | vs | Florida State Seminoles | L | 40 - 75 |
| 2012-01-12 | @ | Virginia Cavaliers | L | 39 - 52 |
| 2012-01-15 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | L | 34 - 61 |
| 2012-01-19 | vs | North Carolina Tar Heels | L | 37 - 56 |
| 2012-01-23 | @ | Miami Hurricanes | L | 48 - 79 |
| 2012-01-26 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2012-01-29 | vs | NC State Wolfpack | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2012-02-03 | vs | Clemson Tigers | L | 51 - 55 |
| 2012-02-05 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | L | 60 - 78 |
| 2012-02-13 | vs | Boston College Eagles | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2012-02-15 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 45 - 67 |
| 2012-02-19 | vs | Virginia Cavaliers | L | 40 - 66 |
| 2012-02-23 | vs | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L | 39 - 68 |
| 2012-03-01 | @ | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L | 74 - 80 |
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Tellier
|
G | 5 | 0.0 | 13.2 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 4.6 | 13.2 | 2.6 | -125 | 23 | -5.4 | -6.8 | 30.3 | 32.4 | 82.4 | 3.12 | 44.9 | 39.4 |
A. Wilson
|
NA | 6 | 0.0 | 12.3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 16.7 | -1.5 | -181 | 23 | -7.9 | -9.4 | 31.0 | 24.0 | 50.0 | -2.96 | 35.1 | 34.0 |
P. Hadley
|
F | 5 | 0.0 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.6 | 5.6 | -161 | 23 | -7.0 | -11.6 | 44.7 | 0 | 69.2 | -4.05 | 49.2 | 44.7 |
A. Fenyn
|
NA | 6 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 6.8 | 6.8 | -145 | 23 | -6.3 | -7.5 | 34.1 | 21.1 | 58.3 | 1.51 | 42.1 | 39.0 |
L. Hines-Allen
|
F | 6 | 0.0 | 3.8 | 8.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 6.8 | -85 | 23 | -3.7 | -5.9 | 31.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.25 | 34.4 | 31.0 |
B. Montgomery
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -62 | 18 | -3.4 | -12.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
L. Hall
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -72 | 19 | -3.8 | -11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG