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Virginia Tech

Also known as: Virginia Tech Hokies
Program History

2010 Team Stats (6 games)

56.7
PPG
66.8
Opp
-10.2
Margin
37.5%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
60.2%
FT%
28.8
RPG
14.2
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.0
Adj PPG
55.8
Adj Opp PPG
#95
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1027 (#141) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1070 (#122) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 973 (#197) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +7.8 (#95) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +7.1 (#93) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.598 (#119) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.6 More โ†’ 0.810 (#93) AdjNet +12.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.9 More โ†’ 0.818 (#91) AdjNet +12.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 55.8 More โ†’ 0.658 (#95) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 55.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 57.9 More โ†’ 0.559 (#116) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 57.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.657 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.638 (#109) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1075 (#120) RD 158 | GP 30

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-13 vs Longwood Lancers W 77 - 55
2009-11-16 @ VCU Rams L 58 - 72
2009-11-19 vs George Mason Patriots W 70 - 41
2009-11-22 @ James Madison Dukes L 59 - 66
2009-11-25 @ Radford Highlanders W 78 - 51
2009-11-28 vs Elon Phoenix W 82 - 46
2009-12-03 vs Michigan Wolverines L 51 - 71
2009-12-06 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 85 - 44
2009-12-09 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 44 - 42
2009-12-19 vs UAB Blazers W 68 - 66
2009-12-20 @ St. John's Red Storm L 62 - 75
2009-12-29 vs NJIT Highlanders W 67 - 51
2009-12-30 vs Charlotte 49ers W 56 - 54
2010-01-03 vs UMBC Retrievers W 74 - 44
2010-01-07 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 63 - 66
2010-01-14 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 79 - 64
2010-01-18 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 56 - 70
2010-01-21 @ Duke Blue Devils L 38 - 69
2010-01-24 @ Miami Hurricanes W 73 - 69
2010-01-28 vs Maryland Terrapins L 44 - 60
2010-01-31 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 47 - 61
2010-02-05 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 51 - 58
2010-02-07 @ NC State Wolfpack L 57 - 70
2010-02-11 vs Savannah State Tigers W 68 - 41
2010-02-14 vs Duke Blue Devils L 53 - 65
2010-02-18 @ Florida State Seminoles L 68 - 78
2010-02-21 vs Boston College Eagles W 69 - 64
2010-02-25 vs Clemson Tigers W 70 - 69
2010-02-28 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 46 - 55
2010-03-04 @ Boston College Eagles L 49 - 62

2010 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
U. Drye U. Drye F 7 0.0 11.0 6.9 3.4 0.9 0.1 3.4 10.1 8.7 -6 27 -0.2 -0.3 45.1 0 76.5 1.3 49.1 45.1
L. Biggs L. Biggs G 7 0.0 10.9 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.7 2.4 12.9 0.4 14 27 0.5 0.7 32.2 32.6 75.0 1.65 41.4 40.6
S. Harrison S. Harrison NA 4 0.0 9.2 7.0 1.2 0.5 0.8 2.5 8.5 7.8 38 27 1.4 2.9 38.2 40.0 64.3 2.18 46.1 41.2
B. Gordon B. Gordon C 7 0.0 7.9 4.9 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.4 5.3 7.1 3 27 0.1 0.2 51.4 0 77.3 -0.9 58.9 51.4
A. Fenyn A. Fenyn NA 4 0.0 5.5 3.0 2.5 1.2 0.0 1.0 8.5 2.8 20 27 0.7 1.3 23.5 0.0 66.7 0.71 29.0 23.5
N. Davis N. Davis NA 6 0.0 5.2 1.7 4.5 1.2 0.2 2.8 5.7 4.2 59 26 2.3 4.0 29.4 30.0 45.5 1.73 39.9 38.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG