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Virginia Tech

Also known as: Virginia Tech Hokies
Program History

2005 Team Stats (1 games)

78.0
PPG
79.0
Opp
-1.0
Margin
44.4%
FG%
16.7%
3P%
77.8%
FT%
24.0
RPG
0.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.5
Adj PPG
58.9
Adj Opp PPG
#28
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1115 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1214 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1012 (#142) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +17.9 (#30) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ +18.2 (#25) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.729 (#79) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.1 More โ†’ 0.958 (#32) AdjNet +27.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.8 More โ†’ 0.961 (#32) AdjNet +27.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 58.9 More โ†’ 0.819 (#28) AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 58.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 60.9 More โ†’ 0.736 (#29) AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 60.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.834 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.820 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 122 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1160 (#61) RD 122 | GP 29

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-19 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 64 - 57
2004-11-20 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 56 - 70
2004-11-23 @ James Madison Dukes W 80 - 67
2004-11-27 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 56 - 87
2004-12-04 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 72 - 59
2004-12-07 @ Liberty Flames W 66 - 55
2004-12-12 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 77 - 62
2004-12-18 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 72 - 57
2004-12-19 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders W 71 - 70
2004-12-28 vs Southern Miss Lady Eagles W 105 - 40
2004-12-30 vs Davidson Wildcats W 87 - 62
2005-01-02 vs Maryland Terrapins W 77 - 67
2005-01-06 vs Fordham Rams W 80 - 67
2005-01-09 @ Duke Blue Devils L 67 - 88
2005-01-17 vs NC State Wolfpack L 75 - 76
2005-01-20 @ Clemson Tigers W 81 - 66
2005-01-24 vs Florida State Seminoles L 78 - 81
2005-01-28 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 67 - 70
2005-01-31 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 74 - 64
2005-02-02 vs Richmond Spiders W 79 - 63
2005-02-06 @ Miami Hurricanes L 67 - 78
2005-02-11 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 67 - 93
2005-02-13 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 58 - 61
2005-02-16 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 73 - 48
2005-02-19 @ Florida State Seminoles L 83 - 94
2005-02-24 @ Maryland Terrapins W 87 - 79
2005-02-27 vs Miami Hurricanes W 90 - 45
2005-03-04 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 56 - 61
2005-03-20 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 78 - 79

2005 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Erazem Lorbek Erazem Lorbek - 2 0.0 15.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 7.5 - - - - 50.0 50.0 78.6 - 55.0 52.3
Blake Griffin Blake Griffin - 1 0.0 15.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 10.0 - - - - 40.0 0 70.0 - 52.1 40.0
Sean May Sean May - 2 0.0 13.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 - - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 68.9 66.7
E. Gibson E. Gibson NA 2 0.0 12.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 5.5 - - - - 52.4 0.0 60.0 - 53.9 52.4
B. Anderson B. Anderson NA 1 0.0 12.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 - - - - 83.3 0 100.0 - 87.2 83.3
C. Miles C. Miles - 2 0.0 11.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 7.0 - - - - 61.5 60.0 100.0 - 76.8 73.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG