Virginia Tech
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1017 (#153) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 949 (#206) | HCA +131 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 943 (#210) | HCA +129 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.0 (#151) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.6 (#144) | HCA +3.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.381 (#221) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.521 (#153) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.528 (#144) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 952 (#196) | RD 148 | GP 29 |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2002-2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | N | St. Bonaventure | L | 78 - 91 |
| 2002-11-24 | N | Michigan | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2002-11-25 | N | Toledo | W | 58 - 45 |
| 2002-11-29 | vs | American | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2002-12-02 | vs | Wofford | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2002-12-05 | vs | VMI | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | William & Mary | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2002-12-09 | @ | East Carolina | L | 60 - 76 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Morgan State | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2002-12-21 | @ | Western Michigan | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2002-12-30 | vs | Towson | W | 76 - 52 |
| 2003-01-04 | vs | Florida State | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2003-01-08 | @ | Villanova | L | 81 - 92 |
| 2003-01-14 | @ | Connecticut | L | 65 - 83 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Providence | W | 92 - 79 |
| 2003-01-21 | vs | Virginia | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | St. John's (NY) | L | 59 - 62 |
| 2003-01-29 | vs | Boston College | L | 71 - 95 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | Providence | L | 58 - 89 |
| 2003-02-05 | vs | Connecticut | W | 95 - 74 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | St. John's (NY) | W | 71 - 54 |
| 2003-02-11 | @ | Miami (FL) | L | 65 - 85 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Georgetown | L | 73 - 85 |
| 2003-02-19 | @ | Boston College | L | 69 - 87 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Notre Dame | L | 76 - 98 |
| 2003-02-26 | vs | Pittsburgh | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Villanova | W | 88 - 63 |
| 2003-03-05 | vs | Miami (FL) | L | 71 - 79 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | West Virginia | L | 67 - 71 |
2002-2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.