🐻⬇️🏀

Virginia St.

Also known as: Virginia St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1077 (#78) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1169 (#35) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +8.1 (#111) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.703 (#290) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.8 More → 0.822 (#106) NetEff +10.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.5 More → 0.654 (#335) AdjNet +5.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.2 More → 0.701 (#328) AdjNet +7.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 59.7 More → 0.609 (#320) AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 59.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 @ Bloomsburg W 54 - 50
2024-11-10 @ Indiana (PA) L 54 - 62
2024-11-16 vs Johnson C. Smith W 80 - 51
2024-11-17 vs Shaw W 82 - 49
2024-11-20 vs Charleston (WV) W 77 - 45
2024-11-24 vs Dist. Columbia W 85 - 71
2024-11-30 @ Seton Hill L 61 - 73
2024-12-02 @ California (PA) W 65 - 53
2024-12-09 @ Shaw W 50 - 41
2024-12-19 @ Fayetteville St. L 46 - 65
2024-12-21 @ Claflin W 63 - 56
2024-12-22 @ Old Dominion L 58 - 68
2025-01-04 vs Johnson C. Smith W 54 - 53
2025-01-09 vs Livingstone W 82 - 63
2025-01-13 @ West Virginia St. W 90 - 85
2025-01-16 vs Winston-Salem W 78 - 48
2025-01-18 vs Virginia Union W 67 - 60
2025-01-22 @ Bluefield St. W 70 - 53
2025-01-25 @ Lincoln (PA) W 71 - 66
2025-01-29 vs Bowie St. L 61 - 69
2025-02-01 @ Elizabeth City St. W 72 - 69
2025-02-08 vs Lincoln (PA) W 71 - 68
2025-02-12 vs Bluefield St. W 66 - 61
2025-02-15 vs Elizabeth City St. W 71 - 59
2025-02-18 @ Bowie St. W 75 - 52
2025-02-22 @ Virginia Union W 82 - 68
2025-02-26 vs Lincoln (PA) W 67 - 59
2025-02-28 vs Bowie St. W 63 - 59
2025-03-01 @ Fayetteville St. L 0 - 56
2025-03-14 @ Edinboro L 68 - 80

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anii Harris - 30 30.9 15.4 2.4 1.9 1.7 0.3 1.8 12.9 7.0 40 1.4 1.4 43.0 17.1 67.4 -0.17 49.5 43.9
Amesha Miller - 29 29.0 14.7 8.3 1.2 1.5 1.0 2.3 11.2 13.2 104 3.7 4.3 49.4 8.3 69.5 0.69 54.6 49.5
Tiyanna James - 30 23.9 8.7 2.6 1.6 1.4 0.0 2.2 8.6 3.5 63 2.2 2.8 36.4 28.0 73.5 0.25 47.6 45.5
Mihjae Hayes - 29 21.2 7.1 2.7 3.3 1.7 0.1 2.4 6.4 6.1 65 3.0 3.1 36.4 28.6 71.8 0.39 46.1 39.0
Carmen Kweti - 30 25.0 6.5 11.4 1.0 1.7 0.9 2.2 5.5 13.8 173 5.8 6.8 49.1 0.0 51.6 1.46 50.5 49.1
Kendahl Spearman - 29 14.4 5.4 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.2 4.3 2.8 74 1.9 3.9 44.0 27.5 81.0 0.73 55.1 49.6
Skylar White - 28 22.2 4.1 2.1 2.1 1.2 0.1 2.7 5.0 1.9 101 2.7 3.8 29.5 29.7 42.9 0.54 37.6 36.3
Tanayja London - 29 12.8 3.0 3.2 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.0 3.1 3.4 -15 -0.6 -1.1 39.6 0.0 62.5 -0.37 42.8 39.6
Alexis Blake - 29 10.2 2.4 2.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 1.2 1.9 2.4 32 1.0 2.3 41.8 0.0 55.8 0.05 47.3 41.8
Sydney Roberts - 23 4.7 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.9 0.2 35 1.4 2.9 25.0 0.0 75.0 0.28 37.6 25.0
Savana Goodson - 22 3.2 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.9 -7 -0.3 -1.4 30.0 0 80.0 -0.16 36.0 30.0
Caityln Rodriguez - 28 4.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.5 -0.2 -25 -1.2 -5.3 16.7 10.7 75.0 -0.45 22.9 20.2
Kiara Beal - 18 3.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.4 -0.3 -10 -0.9 -2.7 12.5 0.0 100.0 -0.24 22.5 12.5
Mekayla Furman - 16 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.35 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG