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Virginia St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Virginia St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 922 (#359) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1006 (#242) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1093 (#80) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.5 (#212) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.5 (#236) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.694 (#219) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +33.0 More → 0.983 (#112) NetEff +33.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.2 More → 0.696 (#300) AdjNet +7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.2 More → 0.700 (#300) AdjNet +7.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 70.6 More → 0.624 (#302) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 70.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.596 (#154) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.642 (#197) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.643 (#188) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 24 More → 1085 (#133) RD 97 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Shepherd L 62 - 64
2025-11-15 vs East Stroudsburg L 78 - 79
2025-11-19 @ Chowan W 74 - 63
2025-11-22 @ Dist. Columbia W 82 - 64
2025-11-26 @ Delaware St. W 62 - 58
2025-11-29 @ Gannon L 53 - 95
2025-11-30 vs Mansfield W 74 - 64
2025-12-03 @ Shaw L 78 - 79
2025-12-06 vs UNC Pembroke L 68 - 75
2025-12-11 vs Fayetteville St. W 79 - 77
2025-12-13 vs Claflin L 73 - 77
2025-12-16 vs Shaw L 83 - 87
2025-12-18 vs Chowan W 80 - 72
2025-12-20 vs Barton W 94 - 66
2026-01-05 vs Cheyney W 85 - 73
2026-01-08 @ Livingstone L 59 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Johnson C. Smith W 83 - 61
2026-01-13 @ Winston-Salem W 77 - 71
2026-01-17 @ Virginia Union L 37 - 65
2026-01-21 vs Bowie St. W 77 - 64
2026-01-24 @ Elizabeth City St. W 71 - 59
2026-01-28 vs Lincoln (PA) W 87 - 70
2026-01-31 vs Bluefield St. W 60 - 59
2026-02-07 @ Lincoln (PA) W 59 - 53

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Larry Howell - 1 36.6 26.0 7.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 19.0 20 1.1 5.4 46.7 33.3 91.7 2.04 64.1 50.0
Marcus Banks - 1 30.5 25.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 17.0 23.0 86 4.1 16.5 35.3 0.0 86.7 1.75 53.0 35.3
Masaun Moore-Bryant - 1 17.9 22.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 15.0 40 2.1 27.9 54.5 25.0 100.0 0.6 73.5 59.1
Anthony Davenport - 1 36.2 18.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 16.0 -32 -1.5 -7.5 44.4 50.0 72.7 0.27 65.0 55.6
Isaiah Buckley - 2 36.0 17.5 4.0 6.5 1.5 0.0 2.0 11.0 16.5 74 4.1 20.1 59.1 50.0 57.1 0.56 62.1 61.4
Nasir Brown - 1 21.2 17.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 9.0 -140 -6.4 -55.0 75.0 75.0 100.0 -0.3 95.7 93.8
Colby White - 1 37.6 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 12.0 4.0 51 2.3 11.1 50.0 33.3 75.0 -1.23 61.8 58.3
Tyre Boykin - 1 32.6 16.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 17.0 3.0 31 1.6 9.5 29.4 12.5 100.0 -0.44 41.7 32.4
Xavier Tubbs-Matthews - 1 16.7 16.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 7.0 -18 -1.3 -12.0 70.0 100.0 50.0 -0.28 73.5 75.0
Keni Williams - 1 17.4 16.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 8.0 80 3.5 27.5 55.6 50.0 100.0 1.16 71.4 61.1
Dreveon Scott - 2 32.8 15.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 2.0 9.0 8.0 89 4.5 24.5 55.6 50.0 83.3 1.64 72.7 69.4
Ellija Preddy - 1 40.0 15.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 16.0 6.0 2 0.1 0.4 43.8 0.0 50.0 -0.79 44.4 43.8
Ezekiel Cannedy - 1 35.2 15.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 0.0 77 4.1 21.7 31.2 25.0 100.0 1.61 44.4 40.6
Jacob Cooper - 11 30.4 14.4 3.6 6.3 1.8 0.0 2.8 10.0 13.3 39 2.2 12.6 45.5 33.3 81.2 -1.11 57.2 48.2
Sterling Scott - 1 33.1 14.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 11.0 -144 -6.3 -29.5 54.5 33.3 100.0 -0.1 61.2 59.1
Ethan Maynard - 1 25.6 14.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 0.0 7 0.3 3.3 28.6 30.0 75.0 -0.88 44.4 39.3
Ramere Draper - 1 29.5 13.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 -20 -1.1 -5.3 57.1 100.0 60.0 1.74 70.7 71.4
Khyelle Ingram - 1 32.0 12.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 11.0 9.0 16 0.8 4.8 27.3 0.0 100.0 -0.15 44.0 27.3
Romeo Aquino - 1 26.9 12.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 8.0 8.0 11 0.6 3.3 50.0 0.0 57.1 -1.23 54.2 50.0
Cristian Sanon - 1 25.6 12.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 5.0 -69 -3.6 -21.0 41.7 25.0 0 0.82 50.0 50.0
Darius Abraham - 2 24.0 11.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.5 7.0 35 1.8 19.2 53.8 50.0 75.0 1.36 77.9 76.9
Diarmid Stewart - 1 30.7 11.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 6.0 -86 -4.1 -29.7 18.2 0.0 70.0 0.13 35.7 18.2
Horaces Jacques Jr. - 1 24.0 11.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 5.0 22 1.7 6.9 30.8 0.0 100.0 -1.66 38.4 30.8
Ethan Millirons - 1 24.8 11.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 3.0 95 4.3 25.6 36.4 37.5 0 1.9 50.0 50.0
Juju Pagan - 1 30.4 10.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 8.0 -170 -8.1 -38.3 45.5 0 0 -1.46 45.5 45.5
Braylon Jackson - 1 9.8 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 2.0 -2 -0.1 -1.3 57.1 25.0 100.0 0.44 67.2 64.3
Adrian Brito - 1 14.5 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 123 5.3 41.3 80.0 0 40.0 -0.42 69.4 80.0
Warren Mouganda - 1 26.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 1.0 22 1.6 6.9 33.3 50.0 0 2.86 37.5 37.5
William Hopkins - 15 25.5 8.7 2.5 1.5 1.4 0.1 2.1 9.1 3.1 22 1.0 10.7 40.9 22.2 52.9 1.19 45.3 44.5
Tim Uzochuwku - 15 17.6 8.4 4.7 0.5 1.2 1.1 1.2 5.9 8.8 95 5.0 48.9 58.0 0.0 68.6 0.91 60.9 58.0
Isaiah Staton-Ray - 1 27.7 8.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 5.0 18 1.5 87.6 44.4 0.0 0 2.77 44.4 44.4
Daouda Traore - 1 23.6 8.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 65 3.2 18.7 66.7 0 0 1.17 66.7 66.7
Kevin Coleman - 1 12.7 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 20 5.0 23.0 60.0 0.0 66.7 0.57 63.3 60.0
Amare Wimbush - 13 16.4 7.2 4.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.9 5.6 6.5 34 1.8 19.0 41.1 50.0 71.7 -0.65 50.4 41.8
Shamon Jackson - 2 14.8 7.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 2.5 46 2.6 50.3 50.0 66.7 50.0 -0.33 59.5 60.0
LaQuan Byrd - 1 28.8 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 6.0 -52 -5.2 -47.7 37.5 25.0 0.0 2.58 41.5 43.8
Kenneth Brayboy - 1 22.6 7.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 3 0.2 1.7 100.0 0 60.0 -0.75 83.3 100.0
Terrell Williams - 1 24.7 7.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 2.0 42 3.2 14.5 22.2 0.0 75.0 3.23 32.5 22.2
Justin Mims - 1 26.1 7.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 -40 -2.1 -25.8 50.0 33.3 0 0.52 58.3 58.3
Brody Davis - 1 29.7 7.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 -4 -0.3 -5.0 40.0 50.0 50.0 -0.62 51.8 50.0
Nasir Griffin - 1 17.9 7.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 12.0 74 3.2 33.5 100.0 100.0 50.0 2.67 93.1 125.0
Jared Clawson - 13 22.2 6.8 2.8 1.2 0.8 0.0 1.3 5.1 5.2 -26 -1.2 -10.3 33.3 30.8 82.1 3.99 52.9 42.4
Alijah England - 2 17.9 6.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 6.0 3.0 56 2.9 32.7 41.7 0.0 42.9 2.24 43.1 41.7
Justin Harris - 2 12.7 6.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 48 2.4 24.3 66.7 50.0 60.0 -1.66 79.3 83.3
DeShawn Goodwyn - 13 16.9 6.3 2.7 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.7 5.9 4.7 -23 -2.6 -587.2 35.1 41.9 71.4 0.13 49.3 46.8
Tamari Rowland - 1 14.5 6.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 12 0.9 61.9 50.0 100.0 50.0 -0.3 61.5 62.5
Jaiden Thompson - 1 26.6 6.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 3.0 -16 -0.9 -8.0 33.3 40.0 0 0.18 50.0 50.0
Kyree Smith - 1 14.3 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 -14 -0.6 -5.0 75.0 0 0 -1.01 75.0 75.0
Sila Tako - 1 22.3 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 -63 -3.0 -32.2 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.73 52.1 50.0
Darius Boben - 1 19.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 7.0 28 1.5 9.6 66.7 0 100.0 -2.12 77.3 66.7
Marcus Jackson - 13 14.7 5.8 3.5 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 4.2 5.8 -36 -2.4 -26.7 59.3 40.0 43.5 -0.78 59.3 61.1
Jaedan Jefferson - 4 9.6 5.8 1.5 0.2 0.8 0.0 1.5 3.8 3.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 41.7 - 56.7 60.0
Jordan Lambert - 12 12.5 5.1 1.8 1.5 0.7 0.2 1.6 3.9 3.7 18 1.0 25.0 38.3 70.0 81.8 2.05 53.8 45.7
Avion Pinner - 2 15.5 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 3.0 4.0 6.0 -4 -0.2 -2.6 37.5 0 50.0 -0.0 43.4 37.5
Isaac Tatum - 1 8.1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Demetri Patterson - 1 18.8 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 17 0.9 15.5 50.0 33.3 0 -0.34 62.5 62.5
Kyan Bowman - 2 10.6 4.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.5 -22 -1.5 -285.4 50.0 50.0 100.0 -0.89 82.0 75.0
Alex Atkinson - 1 25.5 4.0 15.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 12.0 8.0 65 4.1 20.8 16.7 0 0.0 0.85 16.1 16.7
Favor Okigweh - 1 27.8 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 83 3.8 18.8 66.7 0.0 0.0 2.33 51.5 66.7
Carson Howard - 1 18.6 4.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 61 2.7 23.3 100.0 0 0.0 0.97 82.0 100.0
Davon Lee - 1 22.6 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 3 0.6 1.9 40.0 0.0 0 -0.73 40.0 40.0
Terrell Pitts - 1 20.1 4.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 4.0 63 2.7 18.3 25.0 0.0 0 -0.18 25.0 25.0
Jaylen Wynn - 8 9.8 3.8 2.6 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.6 3.1 3.8 -1 -0.1 -7.9 52.0 0.0 57.1 -0.84 53.4 52.0
Michael Cooper - 14 12.6 3.3 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.0 2.7 1.9 34 1.8 23.1 47.4 23.5 85.7 -0.34 56.0 52.6
Avery Huggins - 2 20.2 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 2.5 3.0 7.0 3.5 29 1.4 9.4 14.3 0.0 100.0 0.73 20.2 14.3
Devin Sims - 1 8.6 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 37 3.7 413.0 20.0 0.0 100.0 0.04 27.6 20.0
Myles Pierre - 1 20.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 -4.0 -41 -1.9 -7.9 10.0 0.0 50.0 -0.09 13.8 10.0
Ty Barrett - 1 9.7 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -44 -2.1 -20.9 50.0 100.0 0 -0.43 75.0 75.0
Michael Shuler - 1 19.3 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -1.0 16 1.0 7.4 14.3 20.0 0 -0.4 21.4 21.4
Elwyne Wordlaw - 1 19.6 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 -3.0 55 2.6 12.1 14.3 33.3 0 -0.87 21.4 21.4
Brandon Hilliard - 10 11.3 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 1.1 2.7 1.7 -63 -3.7 -60.4 25.9 28.6 75.0 -1.92 36.0 29.6
Abou Camara - 1 19.7 2.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 35 1.8 12.1 50.0 0 0 4.04 50.0 50.0
Anthony Latty - 1 36.7 2.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 -2 -0.1 -0.4 25.0 0 0.0 -0.36 20.5 25.0
Darrien Berrios Rivera - 1 18.8 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 -6.0 -120 -5.7 -31.9 11.1 0.0 0 0.61 11.1 11.1
Tyrek Williams - 4 4.4 1.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 2.5 3 0.6 5.8 100.0 0 57.1 -0.84 73.5 100.0
Lyonel Hodges - 1 13.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 23 1.2 27.6 0.0 0 33.3 -0.24 15.1 0.0
Jalen Pichardo - 1 25.8 1.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 -1 -0.0 -0.4 0.0 0.0 25.0 -1.1 10.5 0.0
John Uzochukwu - 9 4.6 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.1 -3 -0.3 -76.6 33.3 0.0 50.0 0.13 35.4 33.3
Jared White - 7 2.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 -0.7 -18 -1.1 -13.8 0.0 0.0 0 1.51 0.0 0.0
Davian Coleman - 7 3.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -7 -0.4 -5.5 0.0 0 0 1.53 0.0 0.0
Bryson Cowan - 1 3.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 38 2.7 600.0 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
Lance Gill - 1 12.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -2.0 -45 -2.2 -14.7 0.0 0.0 0 -3.98 0.0 0.0
Arrington Kee - 1 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 33 2.5 138.2 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
Samuel Newkirk - 1 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 33 3.0 665.5 0 0 0 0.36 0 0
Isaiah Sutherland - 1 4.2 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -18 -1.5 -57.1 0 0 0 -1.23 0 0
Kemar Benn - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -10 -0.6 -44.0 0 0 0 -2.25 0 0
Pharoah Lassiter - 1 3.6 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -2 -0.1 -1.3 0 0 0 -0.45 0 0
Joshua Franklin - 1 13.6 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -201 -9.1 -55.6 0.0 0.0 0 -3.42 0.0 0.0
Jackson Henry - 1 10.8 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 -53 -2.5 -19.7 0.0 0 0 0.02 0.0 0.0
David Hill - 1 2.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -36 -5.1 -51.2 0.0 0.0 0 1.83 0.0 0.0
Omari Byrd - 1 14.2 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 15 1.0 18.1 0.0 0 0 1.49 0.0 0.0
Ibrahim Kourouma - 1 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -10 -0.6 -5.7 0.0 0.0 0 -1.97 0.0 0.0
Grayson Kirk - 1 8.4 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -1.0 -53 -3.3 -50.4 0.0 0 0 -0.59 0.0 0.0
David Onyekonwu - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -56 -2.9 -32.3 0 0 0.0 -0.18 0.0 0
Colton Hartman - 1 17.3 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 32 1.5 14.8 0.0 0 0 1.65 0.0 0.0
Cole Hoffman - 1 14.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 -45 -3.5 -66.6 0.0 0 0 -1.59 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG