Villanova
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1278 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1212 (#33) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1160 (#14) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.3 (#42) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.9 (#39) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.562 (#128) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.865 (#41) | AdjNet +16.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.868 (#41) | AdjNet +16.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.725 (#43) | AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.679 (#39) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 67.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.800 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.793 (#28) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1271 (#19) | RD 85 | GP 32 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-01 | vs | American | W | 94 - 62 |
| 1993-12-04 | @ | Georgetown | W | 76 - 75 |
| 1993-12-07 | vs | Providence | L | 65 - 66 |
| 1993-12-11 | N | Temple | L | 49 - 54 |
| 1993-12-18 | vs | Saint Mary's | W | 89 - 78 |
| 1993-12-22 | vs | Florida | L | 77 - 85 |
| 1993-12-28 | N | Mississippi State | W | 90 - 82 |
| 1993-12-29 | @ | Arizona State | L | 62 - 73 |
| 1994-01-04 | @ | Boston College | L | 84 - 96 |
| 1994-01-08 | @ | St. John's (NY) | W | 69 - 68 |
| 1994-01-11 | @ | Richmond | W | 81 - 80 |
| 1994-01-15 | vs | Syracuse | L | 85 - 88 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Pittsburgh | L | 70 - 81 |
| 1994-01-25 | @ | Connecticut | L | 67 - 91 |
| 1994-01-29 | @ | Syracuse | L | 68 - 87 |
| 1994-02-02 | vs | St. John's (NY) | W | 59 - 56 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Boston College | W | 92 - 86 |
| 1994-02-08 | @ | Seton Hall | W | 65 - 60 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | Miami (FL) | W | 77 - 58 |
| 1994-02-15 | vs | Connecticut | W | 64 - 63 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Pittsburgh | W | 93 - 88 |
| 1994-02-22 | vs | Georgetown | W | 70 - 64 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Seton Hall | L | 59 - 70 |
| 1994-02-28 | N | La Salle | W | 55 - 54 |
| 1994-03-02 | @ | Providence | L | 67 - 77 |
| 1994-03-05 | vs | Miami (FL) | W | 83 - 63 |
| 1994-03-11 | N | Providence | L | 66 - 77 |
| 1994-03-17 | vs | Canisius | W | 103 - 79 |
| 1994-03-21 | @ | Duquesne | W | 82 - 66 |
| 1994-03-23 | vs | Xavier | W | 76 - 74 |
| 1994-03-28 | N | Siena | W | 66 - 58 |
| 1994-03-30 | N | Vanderbilt | W | 80 - 73 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.