🐻⬇️🏀

Vermont

Also known as: Vermont
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1061 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1126 (#97) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1008 (#381) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +12.9 (#192) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#83) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +37.6 More → 0.988 (#54) AdjNet +37.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +38.2 More → 0.991 (#49) AdjNet +38.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 90.4 | AdjD 60.9 More → 0.936 (#43) AdjO 90.4 | AdjD 60.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 73.6 More → 0.666 (#128) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 73.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.789 (#114) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.757 (#126) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#209) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Western New Eng. W 75 - 68
2025-11-05 vs Plattsburgh St. W 113 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
TJ Long - 2 27.3 18.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 13.0 10.0 - - - 50.0 44.4 66.7 - 65.9 65.4
TJ Hurley - 2 26.6 13.5 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 9.5 9.0 - - - 47.4 30.0 100.0 - 62.4 55.3
Ben Wesson - 1 6.4 13.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 50.0 - 110.5 120.0
Lucas Mari - 2 24.1 11.0 9.0 6.0 1.5 0.5 3.0 5.0 20.0 - - - 70.0 80.0 50.0 - 81.4 90.0
Noah Barnett - 2 22.4 8.0 4.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.0 4.0 11.5 - - - 75.0 0 57.1 - 72.2 75.0
Ben Johnson - 2 17.6 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.5 9.0 -14 -3.5 -124.0 55.6 62.5 50.0 -1.07 81.0 83.3
David Simon - 2 15.5 8.0 3.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 5.0 8.0 - - - 70.0 0.0 40.0 - 65.6 70.0
Sean Blake - 2 18.1 6.5 3.5 4.5 2.0 0.0 2.5 3.5 10.5 - - - 57.1 0.0 71.4 - 64.5 57.1
Jackson Skipper - 2 17.2 6.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 4.5 3.5 - - - 44.4 33.3 100.0 - 60.7 55.6
Momo Nkugwa - 2 9.9 4.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.5 6.5 - - - 57.1 33.3 0 - 64.3 64.3
Ben Michaels - 2 12.9 3.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 4.0 2.0 - - - 12.5 0.0 80.0 - 29.4 12.5
Drew Bessette - 1 4.9 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Sincere Clemons - 1 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG