Vassar
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 954 (#327) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 965 (#283) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.1 (#110) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.858 (#266) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.797 (#124) | NetEff +10.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.858 (#236) | AdjNet +15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.859 (#239) | AdjNet +15.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.677 (#253) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 58.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Misericordia | W | 67 - 40 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Wm. Paterson | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | SUNY New Paltz | W | 77 - 52 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Trinity (CT) | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | Ithaca | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | William Smith | W | 99 - 54 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Skidmore | W | 69 - 54 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Johns Hopkins | L | 48 - 64 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | Catholic | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Mt. St. Mary (NY) | W | 58 - 51 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | St. Lawrence | W | 66 - 60 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Clarkson | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | Rensselaer | W | 58 - 57 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | RIT | W | 85 - 76 |
| 2025-01-21 | vs | Skidmore | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2025-01-24 | vs | Union (NY) | L | 49 - 60 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Bard | W | 74 - 47 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Clarkson | W | 77 - 47 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | St. Lawrence | W | 77 - 58 |
| 2025-02-07 | @ | Bard | W | 68 - 30 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Union (NY) | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-02-14 | @ | RIT | W | 73 - 48 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Rensselaer | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-02-21 | vs | William Smith | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Ithaca | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | Skidmore | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2025-03-02 | @ | Ithaca | L | 31 - 31 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Amherst | L | 49 - 64 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Mcdermed | - | 1 | 35.0 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 93 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 57.9 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 0.48 | 70.8 | 65.8 |
| Tova Gelb | - | 26 | 34.9 | 18.1 | 10.3 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 13.7 | 19.3 | 110 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 47.9 | 26.5 | 77.9 | 0.87 | 56.5 | 51.0 |
| Anya Watkins | - | 2 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 18.5 | 87 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 66.7 | 0 | 80.0 | 0.54 | 69.0 | 66.7 |
| Julia Harvey | - | 21 | 28.9 | 15.2 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 13.1 | 8.0 | 70 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 35.9 | 31.2 | 86.5 | 0.53 | 50.3 | 42.9 |
| Zoraida Icabalceta | - | 2 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 96 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 60.0 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0.84 | 78.5 | 73.3 |
| Tori Drevna | - | 2 | 23.5 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 30.0 | 38.5 | 0 | -0.24 | 42.5 | 42.5 |
| Emma Waite | - | 2 | 26.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 100 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 26.3 | 16.7 | 100.0 | 0.72 | 35.2 | 31.6 |
| Maddie Ahearn | - | 26 | 27.2 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 86 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 32.2 | 32.8 | 81.8 | 0.87 | 46.5 | 40.9 |
| Caroline Siekman | - | 11 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 33 | 3.3 | 7.6 | 54.8 | 0 | 85.7 | 0.34 | 57.7 | 54.8 |
| Erin Lovett | - | 24 | 17.2 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 11 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 33.6 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.1 | 38.8 | 33.6 |
| Elizabeth Majka | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 79 | 3.2 | 5.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.61 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Junie Dickson | - | 2 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 9.5 | 2.5 | 45 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 21.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.44 | 21.1 | 21.1 |
| Maureen Regan | - | 26 | 15.9 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 14 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 36.8 | 31.2 | 66.7 | -0.17 | 46.4 | 44.7 |
| Sophia Ippolito | - | 24 | 12.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.8 | -53 | -1.8 | -2.6 | 33.8 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.79 | 49.5 | 44.6 |
| Madison Gill | - | 2 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 15 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.31 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Annabella Yorio | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | 67 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Bella Tawney | - | 11 | 11.4 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 35.7 | 0.31 | 35.0 | 33.3 |
| Tash Thompson | - | 26 | 17.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 47 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 25.0 | 17.2 | 42.9 | 0.22 | 32.2 | 29.5 |
| Emery Mullen | - | 26 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | -32 | -1.8 | -7.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.63 | 37.3 | 35.7 |
| Maddie Hooper | - | 18 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 43.6 | 33.3 |
| Kolby Davis | - | 12 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 76 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.57 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Sam Lederman | - | 11 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -61 | -5.1 | -13.8 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.98 | 113.6 | 0 |
| Margo Gramiak | - | 20 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 5.7 | 0.0 |
| Ava Gurley | - | 25 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -33 | -2.1 | -11.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.19 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kenzie Perluke | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27 | 2.1 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Mary Bernat | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Madalyn Barrows | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Avery McPeek | - | 2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.32 | 0 | 0 |
| Simone Pintinalli | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29 | 1.9 | 9.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia Stevens | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18 | 2.0 | 13.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Natalie Tucker | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Jillian Payne | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | -24 | -1.2 | -3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Isabella Mittelman | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Aila Dervisevic | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 30 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Grace McNamara | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashley Mostrom | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG