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Vanguard

Season: 2026 2025 2016
Also known as: Vanguard
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1059 (#91) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1134 (#58) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +15.8 (#48) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.904 (#183) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.8 More → 0.944 (#43) NetEff +21.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.1 More → 0.928 (#178) AdjNet +22.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.2 More → 0.933 (#185) AdjNet +22.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 55.0 More → 0.782 (#189) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 55.0

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Simon Fraser L 71 - 77
2024-11-09 vs Mont. St. Billings L 48 - 68
2024-11-15 vs Central Wash. L 66 - 70
2024-11-16 @ Northwest Nazarene L 53 - 56
2024-11-21 vs Westcliff W 70 - 59
2024-12-05 @ Academy of Art W 75 - 61
2024-12-07 @ Menlo W 68 - 60
2024-12-14 vs Biola W 54 - 39
2024-12-17 vs Cal St. San Marcos W 55 - 51
2024-12-21 vs Jessup W 60 - 41
2025-01-02 @ Hawaii Pacific L 54 - 57
2025-01-04 @ Chaminade W 67 - 59
2025-01-09 @ CUI W 75 - 57
2025-01-15 @ Azusa Pacific W 86 - 79
2025-01-18 vs Hawaii Pacific W 82 - 47
2025-01-20 vs Hawaii Hilo W 77 - 52
2025-01-23 vs Point Loma W 60 - 50
2025-01-25 @ Fresno Pacific L 54 - 59
2025-01-29 vs CUI W 69 - 44
2025-02-05 vs Westmont L 56 - 59
2025-02-08 vs Azusa Pacific W 67 - 52
2025-02-15 @ Biola W 62 - 54
2025-02-19 @ Westmont W 71 - 54
2025-02-22 @ Point Loma L 51 - 56
2025-02-27 vs Dominican (CA) W 56 - 55
2025-03-01 vs Menlo W 67 - 58

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chloe Williams - 1 31.0 15.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 17.0 -29 -1.3 -0.4 44.4 75.0 100.0 -0.58 69.7 61.1
Sarah Matossian - 26 36.0 13.0 9.6 2.8 1.7 0.4 2.5 10.8 14.1 93 3.6 3.0 46.5 40.2 72.9 0.4 55.8 53.7
Halle Si'i - 26 30.8 12.3 5.0 4.2 1.7 0.2 3.2 11.8 8.2 120 3.8 4.1 34.4 23.1 69.5 0.88 43.8 37.3
Kaitlin Grossman - 1 23.0 12.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 12.0 -7 -0.2 -0.2 42.9 0 100.0 -0.03 62.2 42.9
Emma Schaaf - 26 29.2 11.2 8.6 0.5 1.1 2.2 2.1 9.5 12.0 85 2.7 2.9 44.5 32.6 70.0 0.85 53.0 50.2
Aspen Giese - 1 30.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 7.0 91 2.8 2.3 44.4 50.0 0 0.94 61.1 61.1
Jaryn Madsen - 26 26.0 9.5 2.7 1.2 1.2 0.3 1.9 9.1 3.8 49 1.9 2.1 35.4 37.2 78.9 0.6 50.3 48.9
Dyauni Boyce - 1 23.0 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 5.0 34 1.0 0.9 42.9 50.0 100.0 0.24 57.1 50.0
Ashlin Crabtree - 25 25.0 7.8 2.8 1.3 0.8 0.0 0.8 6.2 5.7 80 3.0 4.1 44.5 41.8 55.6 0.55 61.0 61.0
Layla Baumann - 1 24.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 60 1.9 3.1 28.6 0.0 100.0 0.5 42.1 28.6
Aryanna Hudson - 26 22.1 6.5 2.2 1.3 0.9 0.0 2.3 6.5 2.2 22 0.7 0.8 36.1 24.4 80.6 0.17 46.0 41.7
Chenoa Louie - 1 18.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 68 2.1 6.2 75.0 0 0 0.75 75.0 75.0
Kortney Nelson - 1 32.0 4.0 11.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 12.0 68 2.1 1.7 16.7 0.0 100.0 0.71 29.1 16.7
Bailey Finn - 1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 6 0.3 2.4 25.0 25.0 0 0.14 37.5 37.5
Akilah Kubi - 26 9.9 1.4 2.7 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.3 22 0.8 1.5 32.1 0 25.0 0.25 31.8 32.1
Hunter Simon - 22 3.7 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.3 1.1 -13 -0.6 -3.0 37.9 0.0 50.0 -0.17 39.0 37.9
Brittney Tran - 22 3.4 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 3 0.3 0.9 39.1 30.0 50.0 0.05 46.4 45.7
Alli Ligocki - 1 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -13 -0.5 -3.4 0 0 50.0 0.4 56.8 0
Nyla Cabine - 20 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 -5 -0.3 -1.6 28.6 28.6 66.7 0.18 42.1 35.7
Alexa Silva - 26 7.6 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.2 -1 -0.0 -0.1 21.7 16.7 0.0 -0.07 27.7 28.3
Naomi Hotchkiss - 26 1.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 1 0.1 0.2 66.7 0 50.0 -0.99 63.0 66.7
Makena Daggett - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mia Taitano - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ella Murakami - 25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Paola Roa - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gwenny Hardersen - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Avery Burkhart - 1 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1 0.1 0.9 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
Katelyn Hamilton - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -3 -0.1 -1.2 0.0 0.0 0 0.16 0.0 0.0
Brooklynn Brennan - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -45 -4.1 -7.4 0 0 0 0.31 0 0
Indie Browning - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 30 1.0 4.5 0.0 0 0 0.32 0.0 0.0
Camryn Koester - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG