🐻⬇️🏀

Vanguard

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: Vanguard
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1041 (#119) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1084 (#99) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +7.2 (#125) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.578 (#297) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.2 More → 0.495 (#223) NetEff -0.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.5 More → 0.678 (#312) AdjNet +6.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.8 More → 0.688 (#312) AdjNet +6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 73.5 More → 0.630 (#297) AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 73.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-12 vs La Sierra W 87 - 71
2024-11-16 vs San Fran. St. W 84 - 60
2024-11-23 @ Cal State LA W 90 - 74
2024-11-29 vs Central Wash. W 85 - 76
2024-11-30 vs Seattle Pacific W 90 - 67
2024-12-05 @ Academy of Art L 67 - 79
2024-12-07 @ Menlo W 77 - 74
2024-12-14 vs Biola L 71 - 74
2024-12-17 vs Nobel W 111 - 62
2024-12-21 vs Jessup W 80 - 73
2025-01-02 @ Hawaii Pacific L 72 - 80
2025-01-04 @ Chaminade L 91 - 100
2025-01-09 @ CUI W 80 - 78
2025-01-15 @ Azusa Pacific W 80 - 77
2025-01-18 vs Hawaii Pacific W 91 - 89
2025-01-20 vs Hawaii Hilo L 68 - 72
2025-01-23 vs Point Loma L 55 - 86
2025-01-25 @ Fresno Pacific L 75 - 80
2025-01-29 vs CUI L 80 - 87
2025-02-05 vs Westmont L 75 - 78
2025-02-08 vs Azusa Pacific L 72 - 73
2025-02-15 @ Biola L 71 - 74
2025-02-19 @ Westmont L 65 - 68
2025-02-22 @ Point Loma L 77 - 86
2025-02-27 vs Dominican (CA) W 73 - 56
2025-03-01 vs Menlo L 63 - 74

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rodney Munson - 1 33.0 26.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 17.0 18.0 36 1.3 6.4 52.9 40.0 66.7 0.78 62.0 58.8
Owen Moriarty - 1 28.0 22.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 14.0 124 4.4 11.6 70.0 50.0 85.7 0.35 84.1 80.0
Zack Paulsen - 2 32.0 21.5 3.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 1.0 12.0 14.5 138 4.6 9.6 45.8 43.8 93.3 1.86 70.3 60.4
Erik Howlin - 2 34.5 20.5 4.0 0.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 11.0 15.5 -100 -4.0 -16.3 50.0 42.9 76.2 0.11 65.6 56.8
Shane Bell - 1 38.0 20.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 14.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 20.0 62.5 - 57.1 53.6
Garrett Anderson - 1 32.0 20.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 19.0 -82 -2.7 -8.6 41.7 40.0 80.0 1.13 61.0 50.0
Kaden Minter - 2 22.5 19.5 7.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 11.0 14.5 25 0.7 4.8 59.1 58.3 85.7 0.99 77.8 75.0
Davian Brown - 2 34.5 18.5 4.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 11.5 11.5 -83 -3.0 -11.4 43.5 45.5 100.0 0.08 65.4 54.3
Julio Montes II - 1 30.0 18.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 3.0 -64 -1.9 -11.2 42.9 0.0 85.7 0.65 52.7 42.9
Maverick Sanders - 1 35.0 17.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 15.0 -6 -0.2 -0.6 54.5 0.0 83.3 0.84 62.3 54.5
Nathan Medina - 1 34.0 17.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 15.0 5.0 -57 -3.6 -19.0 40.0 28.6 100.0 -0.02 52.1 46.7
Corey Cofield II - 1 35.0 16.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 13.0 - - - 46.2 0.0 66.7 - 51.2 46.2
Kris Krause - 1 35.0 16.0 11.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 13.0 13.0 - - - 46.2 0.0 66.7 - 51.2 46.2
Jaden Henderson - 2 34.5 16.0 3.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 10.5 8.0 27 1.0 4.5 52.4 50.0 87.5 1.07 65.3 59.5
Brody Davis - 1 32.0 16.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 11.0 13.0 12 0.2 3.4 63.6 100.0 0.0 0.55 69.9 72.7
Jake Kosakowski - 1 32.0 16.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 13.0 -94 -3.9 -18.8 55.6 57.1 50.0 0.68 74.3 77.8
Cavin Holden - 1 25.0 15.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 -32 -1.1 -2.9 50.0 40.0 100.0 1.22 66.3 60.0
Donovan Vickers - 1 37.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.0 6.0 -26 -0.7 -4.8 54.5 50.0 0 0.91 63.6 63.6
Jayce Catchings - 2 29.5 14.0 9.0 2.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 7.0 19.0 -23 -0.9 -4.4 50.0 50.0 81.2 1.01 66.5 53.6
Coby Barnes - 2 27.5 13.0 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 7.0 9.5 54 1.6 3.8 57.1 83.3 50.0 0.71 70.7 75.0
Luke Haupt - 2 32.5 13.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 15.0 133 4.2 9.1 56.2 20.0 77.8 2.01 65.1 59.4
Dominic Escobar - 1 33.0 12.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 15.0 - - - 36.4 0.0 100.0 - 47.0 36.4
Isaiah Williams - 1 32.0 12.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 12.0 -54 -2.0 -10.1 30.0 0.0 66.7 0.92 43.0 30.0
Wynton Brown - 1 18.0 12.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 7.0 13.0 29 1.2 2.4 71.4 0 50.0 0.78 68.5 71.4
Mason Landdeck - 1 31.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 0.0 -44 -1.1 -4.0 21.4 14.3 100.0 0.93 34.9 25.0
Andrew Hommes - 2 16.0 10.5 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 6.0 8.0 77 2.6 17.1 66.7 50.0 100.0 0.61 81.5 79.2
Kyjuan Cannady - 1 34.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 11.0 4.0 - - - 36.4 50.0 0 - 45.5 45.5
Connor Scales - 1 20.0 10.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Casey Cappo - 2 29.0 10.0 11.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.5 9.0 13.0 -89 -3.3 -12.6 22.2 0.0 66.7 0.6 38.6 22.2
Daniel Esparza - 1 33.0 10.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 5.0 -87 -3.1 -11.8 44.4 0.0 100.0 0.34 50.6 44.4
Connor Gleason - 2 29.5 10.0 4.5 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.5 8.0 -5 -0.2 -1.2 42.1 44.4 0 0.51 52.6 52.6
Joseph Locandro - 2 22.5 10.0 4.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 9.0 6.5 -9 -1.8 -4.2 44.4 33.3 33.3 0.07 51.8 52.8
Tyce Paulsen - 2 28.0 9.0 3.5 2.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 8.0 9.0 90 2.1 7.3 37.5 36.4 100.0 1.14 53.3 50.0
Quintin Metcalf - 1 21.0 9.0 9.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 4.0 16.0 -8 -0.3 -1.7 75.0 0 60.0 0.58 72.6 75.0
Jarin Edwards - 1 22.0 9.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 -11 -0.4 -2.7 50.0 100.0 100.0 0.09 65.4 58.3
Pierce Davis - 2 22.0 8.5 4.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 3.5 4.0 8.5 90 5.3 26.5 87.5 0 75.0 0.58 87.1 87.5
Jordan Clark - 1 23.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 1.0 6 0.2 0.6 25.0 33.3 100.0 0.34 45.0 37.5
Eli Williams - 1 23.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 109 3.4 25.4 66.7 50.0 75.0 0.24 84.0 83.3
Trace Evans - 1 21.0 8.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 5.0 112 3.0 11.8 40.0 0 0 -0.27 40.0 40.0
Jonas La Tour - 1 15.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 33 0.8 3.5 40.0 0.0 80.0 0.33 55.6 40.0
Robbie Armbrester - 1 17.0 8.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 20 1.0 7.0 60.0 0 50.0 0.38 59.2 60.0
Julien Franklin - 1 25.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 32 2.1 19.4 50.0 33.3 100.0 -0.04 71.7 62.5
Jaden Lazo - 1 26.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 4.0 - - - 40.0 40.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Henry Sandberg - 1 35.0 6.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 69 2.2 10.7 50.0 0.0 100.0 -0.01 61.5 50.0
Treylon Payne - 1 34.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 3.0 11 0.5 4.2 37.5 0.0 0 0.24 37.5 37.5
Kevin Haupt - 2 12.0 5.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 1 0.0 1.1 80.0 50.0 50.0 -0.38 81.4 90.0
Jessiya Villa - 1 8.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 -43 -1.8 -20.8 40.0 50.0 0 -0.01 50.0 50.0
Mitch Brizee - 1 29.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 -24 -0.9 -2.6 66.7 0 0.0 1.06 58.1 66.7
Peter-Kaci Gwananji - 1 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -1 -1.0 -3.7 100.0 0 0 -0.79 100.0 100.0
Nadjrick Peat - 1 20.0 4.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 -25 -0.9 -4.9 16.7 0 100.0 0.62 29.1 16.7
Grant Coleman - 1 15.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 22 0.8 4.8 20.0 20.0 0 1.12 30.0 30.0
Julian Mora - 1 14.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 101 5.9 37.1 33.3 33.3 0 0.32 50.0 50.0
Jackson Harding - 2 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.5 2.0 -8 -0.6 -10.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 -0.41 82.4 0.0
Matur Dhal - 2 4.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 -27 -2.5 -75.1 66.7 0 0 -0.7 66.7 66.7
Jaden Matingou - 2 23.0 2.0 5.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 8.0 147 5.4 37.7 16.7 0.0 66.7 0.54 27.3 16.7
Kobe Parlin - 1 16.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.0 -14 -1.8 -861.5 20.0 0.0 0 -1.8 20.0 20.0
Calvin Sisk - 1 9.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 100 3.6 62.4 25.0 0 0 -0.14 25.0 25.0
Jaxon Nap - 1 17.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 72 2.2 5.5 25.0 0.0 0 1.11 25.0 25.0
Nikias Schoenerstedt - 1 14.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2 -0.1 -1.3 100.0 0 0 -0.22 100.0 100.0
David Zachman - 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -5 -0.8 -32.5 50.0 0.0 0 -1.03 50.0 50.0
Facundo Aranda - 2 9.5 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 0.0 -27 -1.2 -9.5 14.3 0.0 100.0 0.54 25.4 14.3
Chris Harris - 2 15.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.5 -175 -3.4 -24.3 40.0 0.0 0 -0.13 40.0 40.0
Hunter Ruck - 2 8.0 2.0 4.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.5 23 1.9 49.4 25.0 0 100.0 -0.57 41.0 25.0
Garrison Sherman - 2 12.5 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.5 5.0 -30 -1.5 -24.1 20.0 33.3 50.0 -0.16 34.0 30.0
John Davis III - 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -38 -2.4 -101.8 50.0 0 0 -0.67 50.0 50.0
Isaiah Hinds - 1 25.0 2.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 -14 -0.5 -2.8 14.3 0.0 0 0.49 14.3 14.3
Logan Cremonesi - 2 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 4 0.2 7.0 100.0 0 50.0 -0.54 79.8 100.0
Charlie Dalton - 2 21.5 1.5 3.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.5 0.0 52 1.3 10.5 0.0 0 75.0 0.91 13.9 0.0
Jackson Tucker - 2 6.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 -17 -1.3 -55.0 50.0 50.0 0 -0.8 75.0 75.0
Nick Watkins - 2 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.5 -34.2 0 0 50.0 -1.17 56.8 0
Raphael Gay - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Damarion Pouncil - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Rosales - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chasen Stewart - 1 9.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Martin Zarzuela - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jamari Harris - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6 0.2 3.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.06 0.0 0.0
Xavier Kamalu-Vargas - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.5 -20.9 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
Noah Pepper - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 42 5.2 291.3 0.0 0.0 0 -1.09 0.0 0.0
Logan Kinloch - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13 0.9 10.4 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
KJ Dunn - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Mason Hudnall - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryce Moore - 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -2.0 15 0.4 5.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.27 0.0 0.0
Damarcies Moore - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.4 -7.6 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Scott McDowell - 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.24 0 0
Tyus Parrish-Tillman - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jet Pokossy - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryan Baptiste - 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -16 -1.8 -32.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.56 0.0 0.0
Mikhail Mikhailov - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.5 11.4 0 0 0 -0.99 0 0
Roman Rose - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alexander Stein - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Karsten Zahrt - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Luke Farrington - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.9 -50.2 0 0 0 -1.15 0 0
Charles Higby Jr. - 1 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 33 1.4 96.6 0.0 0 0 -0.7 0.0 0.0
Andre Norris - 1 11.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -27 -1.0 -15.8 0.0 0 0 -0.08 0.0 0.0
Julian Roberts - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -65 -3.8 -64.3 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0
Telryn Villa - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -27 -1.3 -92.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.78 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG