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Vanderbilt

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Vanderbilt Commodores, Vanderbilt
Program History
Coach: Bryce Drew

2019 Team Stats (4 games)

78.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
48.9%
FG%
43.2%
3P%
64.2%
FT%
36.0
RPG
12.3
APG
14.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.7
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#142
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 916 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 831 (#346) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +2.8 (#138) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -1.8 (#196) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.334 (#267) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.0 More → 0.586 (#138) AdjNet +3.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.0 More → 0.587 (#138) AdjNet +3.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.545 (#142) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.373 (#299) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.412 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.379 (#239) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 32 More → 882 (#257) RD 138 | GP 32

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Winthrop Eagles W 92 - 79
2018-11-11 @ USC Trojans W 82 - 78
2018-11-16 vs Alcorn State Braves W 79 - 54
2018-11-19 vs Liberty Flames W 79 - 70
2018-11-23 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 75 - 77
2018-11-27 vs Savannah State Tigers W 120 - 85
2018-12-01 @ NC State Wolfpack L 65 - 80
2018-12-05 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 79 - 51
2018-12-17 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 81 - 65
2018-12-22 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 58 - 69
2018-12-29 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 95 - 76
2018-12-31 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 90 - 59
2019-01-05 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 71 - 81
2019-01-09 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 63 - 82
2019-01-12 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 47 - 56
2019-01-16 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 71 - 74
2019-01-19 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs L 55 - 71
2019-01-23 vs Tennessee Volunteers L 83 - 88
2019-01-26 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 55 - 86
2019-01-29 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 52 - 87
2019-02-02 @ Missouri Tigers L 67 - 77
2019-02-05 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 66 - 69
2019-02-09 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 67 - 77
2019-02-13 @ Florida Gators L 57 - 66
2019-02-16 vs Auburn Tigers L 53 - 64
2019-02-19 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 46 - 58
2019-02-23 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 61 - 68
2019-02-27 vs Florida Gators L 55 - 71
2019-03-02 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 57 - 64
2019-03-06 vs Arkansas Razorbacks L 48 - 84
2019-03-09 @ LSU Tigers L 59 - 80
2019-03-13 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 52 - 69

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Saben Lee Saben Lee - 25 32.9 12.1 3.2 4.0 1.0 0.1 2.6 3.6 14.2 -184 28 -6.6 -8.8 47.8 44.4 63.8 -2.54 125.9 54.4
Darius Garland Darius Garland - 4 25.5 12.0 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.5 2.8 0.0 16.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.05 0 0
Simisola Shittu Simisola Shittu - 25 26.9 11.4 6.6 2.0 0.7 0.6 2.8 0.8 17.6 -124 28 -4.4 -7.0 57.1 0 56.0 0.36 443.8 57.1
Aaron Nesmith Aaron Nesmith - 25 29.4 11.3 5.4 1.4 0.7 0.6 1.6 4.4 13.5 -182 28 -6.5 -9.8 42.7 38.3 81.8 -0.33 117.8 53.2
Matt Ryan Matt Ryan - 22 25.2 7.9 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.1 3.3 7.2 -33 25 -1.3 -2.4 30.1 31.7 73.3 3.57 108.7 43.8
Joe Toye Joe Toye G 25 23.9 6.6 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.1 2.2 7.6 -108 28 -3.9 -7.0 41.8 37.5 60.0 -0.65 138.0 52.7
Yanni Wetzell Yanni Wetzell - 25 18.7 6.1 4.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.5 0.6 9.7 - - - - 64.3 0.0 60.0 - 469.1 64.3
Maxwell Evans Maxwell Evans NA 25 13.6 4.0 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 1.0 1.0 4.8 -47 27 -1.7 -5.6 42.3 37.5 75.0 -0.62 178.3 53.8
Matthew Moyer Matthew Moyer F 23 13.7 3.9 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.5 6.0 -116 27 -4.3 -14.2 28.6 26.3 53.8 -2.73 110.5 35.7
Clevon Brown Clevon Brown F 25 16.3 3.4 2.7 0.6 0.2 1.2 0.8 1.0 6.2 -58 28 -2.1 -5.6 48.0 20.0 60.0 1.01 134.5 50.0
Mac Hunt Mac Hunt NA 3 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -0.85 150.0 150.0
Isaiah Rice Isaiah Rice NA 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.85 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG