Valley Forge
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 868 (#441) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 775 (#460) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -52.7 (#428) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.004 (#727) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.014 (#407) | NetEff -28.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.000 (#754) | AdjNet -86.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.000 (#753) | AdjNet -90.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.008 (#753) | AdjO 32.9 | AdjD 85.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Goucher | L | 54 - 131 |
| 2024-11-11 | vs | Penn St.-Hazleton | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Rutgers-Camden | L | 54 - 89 |
| 2024-11-18 | vs | Penn St.-Schuylkill | L | 48 - 68 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Montclair St. | L | 50 - 80 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Mount Aloysius | L | 43 - 78 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Cairn | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 47 - 70 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Rosemont | W | 55 - 39 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 44 - 74 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Cedar Crest | L | 52 - 64 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Bryn Athyn | L | 39 - 60 |
| 2025-01-12 | @ | Wilson | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 47 - 96 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 46 - 64 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | L | 56 - 78 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Cairn | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Rosemont | L | 50 - 59 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Penn St.-Lehigh Val. | L | 39 - 47 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Cedar Crest | L | 31 - 53 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Bryn Athyn | L | 42 - 74 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Wilson | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 53 - 77 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | L | 55 - 83 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Barnes | - | 24 | 38.9 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 14.1 | 11.5 | -135 | -5.6 | -4.6 | 38.5 | 37.7 | 76.1 | -0.07 | 50.2 | 46.9 |
| Saniya Green | - | 24 | 38.6 | 13.1 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 7.3 | 15.2 | 2.5 | -162 | -6.8 | -5.5 | 30.2 | 18.5 | 63.5 | -0.45 | 37.6 | 32.3 |
| Olivia Rochkind | - | 24 | 33.2 | 11.5 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 11.3 | 7.8 | -103 | -4.3 | -4.1 | 42.1 | 100.0 | 60.0 | -0.07 | 45.2 | 42.3 |
| Lucy Mauerman | - | 24 | 34.2 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 4.9 | 9.0 | 2.8 | -173 | -6.2 | -5.6 | 29.3 | 20.5 | 56.4 | -1.48 | 38.0 | 33.0 |
| Telia Robinson | - | 24 | 32.2 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.3 | -176 | -6.5 | -6.1 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -1.49 | 29.5 | 26.7 |
| Keegan Thompson | - | 22 | 20.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | -0.1 | -92 | -4.2 | -7.2 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 8.3 | -0.64 | 11.6 | 11.8 |
| Emmalee Rodriguez | - | 22 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -11 | -1.1 | -4.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Leah Lakits | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG