Valley Forge
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 868 (#441) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 775 (#460) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -57.8 (#436) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | vs | Lancaster Bible | L | 38 - 90 |
| 2023-11-09 | vs | Bryn Mawr | L | 53 - 84 |
| 2023-11-16 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | L | 52 - 67 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | L | 45 - 77 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Cairn | L | 41 - 86 |
| 2023-11-30 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 49 - 83 |
| 2023-12-02 | vs | Rosemont | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2023-12-05 | @ | Keystone | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 29 - 91 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Cedar Crest | L | 44 - 80 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | Saint Elizabeth | L | 37 - 69 |
| 2024-01-09 | @ | Wilson | L | 50 - 78 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Bryn Athyn | L | 28 - 74 |
| 2024-01-17 | vs | Clarks Summit | L | 43 - 50 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Cairn | L | 52 - 84 |
| 2024-01-22 | vs | Penn St.-Schuylkill | L | 37 - 68 |
| 2024-01-24 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 23 - 79 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Bryn Athyn | L | 36 - 85 |
| 2024-01-30 | vs | Saint Elizabeth | L | 45 - 77 |
| 2024-02-01 | vs | Wilson | L | 51 - 79 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Cedar Crest | L | 46 - 73 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Clarks Summit | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Rosemont | W | 60 - 49 |
| 2024-02-12 | vs | Keystone | L | 47 - 57 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariah Matthews | - | 20 | 34.2 | 10.8 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 6.2 | 12.4 | -1.4 | -34 | -6.8 | -7.6 | 25.8 | 33.3 | 65.4 | -0.01 | 36.6 | 29.4 |
| Kaionna Hanna | - | 20 | 35.9 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 10.9 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 23.7 | 20.9 | 61.7 | - | 31.7 | 28.1 |
| Lucy Mauerman | - | 20 | 34.4 | 6.4 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 6.3 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 27.0 | 12.5 | 72.5 | -1.0 | 39.7 | 27.8 |
| Olivia Rochkind | - | 20 | 28.4 | 6.2 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 7.0 | 6.2 | - | - | - | 38.6 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 38.5 | 38.6 |
| Elizabeth Davis | - | 20 | 19.4 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.6 | -0.8 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 24.0 | 46.2 | - | 34.5 | 33.7 |
| Dominique Barnes | - | 20 | 8.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 19 | 2.1 | 7.6 | 37.1 | 33.3 | 84.6 | 0.18 | 47.5 | 43.6 |
| Leah Lakits | - | 19 | 15.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 28.4 | 20.0 | 66.7 | - | 35.2 | 33.6 |
| Gina Melendez | - | 20 | 17.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 3.3 | -1.2 | -41 | -8.2 | -8.2 | 13.6 | 12.5 | 54.5 | -0.67 | 21.2 | 18.2 |
| Hannah Rousey | - | 16 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 33.3 | 56.2 | - | 49.9 | 42.3 |
| Jessi Manning | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -1.0 | -6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG