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Valley Forge

Also known as: Valley Forge
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 954 (#348) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 872 (#412) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -24.1 (#400) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.221 (#652) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.0 More → 0.326 (#378) NetEff -6.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -32.5 More → 0.023 (#745) AdjNet -32.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -33.0 More → 0.021 (#745) AdjNet -33.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 87.5 More → 0.100 (#742) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 87.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Patrick Henry W 98 - 69
2024-11-09 @ Christendom W 44 - 42
2024-11-11 @ UMBC L 61 - 120
2024-11-12 vs Penn St.-Lehigh Val. W 90 - 61
2024-11-14 @ Washington Col. L 58 - 67
2024-11-16 vs Medgar Evers W 79 - 66
2024-11-19 vs Neumann L 70 - 84
2024-11-20 @ Lehigh L 53 - 100
2024-11-21 vs Manor L 86 - 94
2024-11-23 vs Pratt W 67 - 59
2024-11-26 @ Cairn L 82 - 95
2024-12-02 @ Rosemont W 63 - 54
2024-12-07 @ St. Mary's (MD) L 65 - 77
2025-01-04 vs Penn St.-Berks L 78 - 86
2025-01-08 @ Bryn Athyn L 79 - 80
2025-01-12 @ Wilson L 106 - 116
2025-01-13 @ Gwynedd Mercy L 48 - 94
2025-01-18 @ Penn St.-Abington W 77 - 73
2025-01-20 @ Keystone L 78 - 86
2025-01-22 vs Cairn L 65 - 84
2025-01-25 vs St. Mary's (MD) L 82 - 85
2025-01-28 vs Rosemont W 69 - 67
2025-01-30 vs Keystone W 75 - 72
2025-02-01 @ Penn St.-Berks W 90 - 85
2025-02-05 vs Bryn Athyn L 66 - 83
2025-02-08 vs Wilson L 74 - 84
2025-02-15 vs Penn St.-Abington W 79 - 67
2025-02-19 @ Cairn L 62 - 81

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bryce Johnson - 1 19.0 23.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 18.0 - - - 64.3 42.9 66.7 - 75.1 75.0
Louie Jordan - 1 20.0 22.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 20.0 - - - 70.0 75.0 100.0 - 101.1 100.0
Gary Francis - 1 28.0 22.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 12.0 16.0 0 0.0 0.0 83.3 0 66.7 -1.43 82.6 83.3
Dylan Harris - 1 27.0 21.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 18.0 10 3.3 15.0 88.9 83.3 0 -0.16 116.7 116.7
Keith Higgins Jr. - 1 26.0 20.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 14.0 19.0 193 12.1 14.9 50.0 45.5 50.0 -1.07 67.2 67.9
TJ Lewis - 1 36.0 20.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 13.0 6.0 -1 -1.0 -1.8 61.5 0.0 100.0 -0.27 67.8 61.5
Bryan Etienne - 1 35.0 19.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 18.0 41 8.2 74.5 75.0 100.0 0 -0.27 79.2 79.2
Aquil Stewart - 1 21.0 17.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 8.0 -28 -5.6 -13.2 38.5 27.3 100.0 0.18 57.6 50.0
Will Little - 2 33.5 15.5 4.0 0.5 2.0 2.5 1.5 10.0 13.0 -103 -8.6 -16.4 45.0 22.2 73.3 -1.17 58.3 50.0
Jakir Hampton - 2 30.0 14.0 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.5 10.5 -75 -6.2 -14.9 52.9 50.0 66.7 -0.19 71.3 70.6
Shawn Summers Jr. - 1 22.0 14.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 9.0 -8 -1.6 -2.9 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.31 59.5 50.0
Keith Bullock Jr. - 2 34.5 13.5 3.0 6.5 2.0 1.0 2.5 9.5 14.0 -137 -13.7 -27.9 57.9 0.0 62.5 -0.98 59.9 57.9
Ben Knostman - 1 18.0 13.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 17.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 130.0 130.0
Jake Pike - 1 6.0 13.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 11.0 - - - 83.3 100.0 50.0 - 94.5 100.0
Justin Savage - 1 14.0 13.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 16.0 -11 -5.5 -123.9 71.4 100.0 100.0 -0.97 87.4 85.7
Marcel Gardner - 1 12.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 - - - 83.3 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
JC Harris - 1 12.0 12.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 26 2.4 4.1 83.3 66.7 0 1.03 100.0 100.0
Josh Odunowo - 1 20.0 12.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 10.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Edouard Benoit - 1 18.0 12.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 15.0 - - - 71.4 0.0 50.0 - 68.5 71.4
Joshua Ingram - 1 16.0 12.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 -47 -2.6 -19.3 71.4 50.0 0 0.14 85.7 85.7
Tyler Whitney-Sidney - 1 24.0 12.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 57.1 50.0 100.0 - 76.1 71.4
Isaac Marshall - 2 27.0 11.5 10.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 10.5 11.5 -77 -5.9 -17.8 42.9 14.3 66.7 -0.17 48.6 45.2
Jalen Parker - 2 30.0 11.5 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 13.0 7.5 -96 -7.4 -22.2 38.5 0 21.4 0.24 35.8 38.5
Devan Sapp - 1 13.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 57.1 50.0 0 - 78.6 78.6
Jalen Jackson - 2 38.0 11.0 8.5 4.5 1.0 0.0 4.5 11.5 9.0 9 0.8 2.9 34.8 25.0 83.3 0.37 42.9 37.0
Daylon Dickerson - 1 13.0 9.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 8.0 - - - 60.0 33.3 100.0 - 76.5 70.0
Cam Gillus - 1 19.0 9.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 57.1 33.3 0 - 64.3 64.3
Mike Smith, III - 1 26.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 40.0 50.0 100.0 - 66.6 50.0
Marlon Short - 1 19.0 8.0 4.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 57.1 0 0.0 - 45.7 57.1
Nigel Burch - 1 17.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 60.0 0.0 50.0 - 59.2 60.0
Tim Eze - 1 16.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 - - - 42.9 0.0 0 - 42.9 42.9
Ace Valentine - 1 12.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 123.0 125.0
Travon Mack - 1 20.0 6.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 6.0 10.0 -5 -1.2 -4.8 50.0 0.0 0 -0.07 50.0 50.0
Dom Thomas - 1 22.0 6.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 -42 -6.0 -18.4 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.17 46.6 50.0
Marcus Banks - 1 21.0 4.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 15.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Bube Momah - 1 14.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
D.J. Johnson - 1 25.0 4.0 6.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 -4 -1.0 -2.2 25.0 0.0 0 0.21 25.0 25.0
Cam Lane - 1 9.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jalen Snead - 1 14.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 2.0 21 2.6 16.7 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.03 31.1 33.3
Chaydon Stone - 1 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -3 -3.0 -19.0 50.0 50.0 0 -0.76 75.0 75.0
Nasir Whitlock - 1 15.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 16.7 20.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
K'Mari Smith - 2 9.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 16 3.2 29.8 50.0 0 0 -0.23 50.0 50.0
Mazen Sayed - 1 19.0 3.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 4 1.3 7.1 16.7 33.3 0.0 -0.27 23.3 25.0
Alpha Chibambe - 1 6.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ashton Reese - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Alfredo Addesa - 1 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Jarell Keel - 1 32.0 2.0 15.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 19.0 7 1.8 17.6 0.0 0 100.0 -0.39 53.2 0.0
Zaiyin Keys - 1 10.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kian Nixon - 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Pat Bean - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 20.5 0.0
Jalen Cary - 2 4.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -45 -15.0 -31.9 100.0 100.0 0 -0.14 150.0 150.0
Torin Bosch - 1 7.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jake Stout - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Isaac Varghese - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tommy Conniff - 1 17.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Peter Kramer - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Brendan Reed - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -10 -1.7 -7.1 0.0 0 0 0.08 0.0 0.0
DJ Earl - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 42 6.0 76.4 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0
Dan Grover, III - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 0.2 5.6 0 0 0 -1.47 0 0
Tahir Howell - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -42 -2.3 -4.9 0 0 0 -0.46 0 0
Miles Johnson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -9 -3.0 -17.3 0 0 0 -0.33 0 0
Kory Jones - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43 3.3 14.5 0 0 0 0.57 0 0
Uche Unegbu - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Bryan Warren - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -2.0 -31 -4.4 -278.7 0.0 0 0.0 -0.89 0.0 0.0
Warren Wideman III - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 1.0 37.1 0 0 0 -0.48 0 0
Jamze Johnson - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15 3.8 367.3 0 0 0 -1.29 0 0
Aaron Jones - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -8 -4.0 -123.1 0 0 0 -1.11 0 0
Aamir Terry - 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -7.0 -54.5 0 0 0 -0.86 0 0
Francesco Boniciolli - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -25 -12.5 -25.2 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
Maseo Carson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Malik Carson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Quin Gilyard Jr. - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -25 -12.5 -25.2 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
Noah Riley - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -1.3 -76.2 0 0 0 -1.19 0 0
Bryce Spriggs - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG