Valley Forge
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 954 (#348) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 872 (#412) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -24.1 (#400) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.221 (#652) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.326 (#378) | NetEff -6.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.023 (#745) | AdjNet -32.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.021 (#745) | AdjNet -33.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.100 (#742) | AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 87.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Patrick Henry | W | 98 - 69 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Christendom | W | 44 - 42 |
| 2024-11-11 | @ | UMBC | L | 61 - 120 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Penn St.-Lehigh Val. | W | 90 - 61 |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Washington Col. | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Medgar Evers | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Neumann | L | 70 - 84 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Lehigh | L | 53 - 100 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | Manor | L | 86 - 94 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Pratt | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Cairn | L | 82 - 95 |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | Rosemont | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Penn St.-Berks | L | 78 - 86 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Bryn Athyn | L | 79 - 80 |
| 2025-01-12 | @ | Wilson | L | 106 - 116 |
| 2025-01-13 | @ | Gwynedd Mercy | L | 48 - 94 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Penn St.-Abington | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Keystone | L | 78 - 86 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Cairn | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Rosemont | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Keystone | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Penn St.-Berks | W | 90 - 85 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Bryn Athyn | L | 66 - 83 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Wilson | L | 74 - 84 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Penn St.-Abington | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Cairn | L | 62 - 81 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Johnson | - | 1 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | - | - | - | 64.3 | 42.9 | 66.7 | - | 75.1 | 75.0 |
| Louie Jordan | - | 1 | 20.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 70.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | - | 101.1 | 100.0 |
| Gary Francis | - | 1 | 28.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.43 | 82.6 | 83.3 |
| Dylan Harris | - | 1 | 27.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 10 | 3.3 | 15.0 | 88.9 | 83.3 | 0 | -0.16 | 116.7 | 116.7 |
| Keith Higgins Jr. | - | 1 | 26.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 193 | 12.1 | 14.9 | 50.0 | 45.5 | 50.0 | -1.07 | 67.2 | 67.9 |
| TJ Lewis | - | 1 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -1.8 | 61.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.27 | 67.8 | 61.5 |
| Bryan Etienne | - | 1 | 35.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 41 | 8.2 | 74.5 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.27 | 79.2 | 79.2 |
| Aquil Stewart | - | 1 | 21.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | -28 | -5.6 | -13.2 | 38.5 | 27.3 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 57.6 | 50.0 |
| Will Little | - | 2 | 33.5 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 13.0 | -103 | -8.6 | -16.4 | 45.0 | 22.2 | 73.3 | -1.17 | 58.3 | 50.0 |
| Jakir Hampton | - | 2 | 30.0 | 14.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 10.5 | -75 | -6.2 | -14.9 | 52.9 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.19 | 71.3 | 70.6 |
| Shawn Summers Jr. | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -8 | -1.6 | -2.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.31 | 59.5 | 50.0 |
| Keith Bullock Jr. | - | 2 | 34.5 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 14.0 | -137 | -13.7 | -27.9 | 57.9 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.98 | 59.9 | 57.9 |
| Ben Knostman | - | 1 | 18.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 130.0 | 130.0 |
| Jake Pike | - | 1 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 94.5 | 100.0 |
| Justin Savage | - | 1 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | -11 | -5.5 | -123.9 | 71.4 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -0.97 | 87.4 | 85.7 |
| Marcel Gardner | - | 1 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| JC Harris | - | 1 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 26 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 83.3 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.03 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Josh Odunowo | - | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Edouard Benoit | - | 1 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 68.5 | 71.4 |
| Joshua Ingram | - | 1 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -47 | -2.6 | -19.3 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 85.7 | 85.7 |
| Tyler Whitney-Sidney | - | 1 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Isaac Marshall | - | 2 | 27.0 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 11.5 | -77 | -5.9 | -17.8 | 42.9 | 14.3 | 66.7 | -0.17 | 48.6 | 45.2 |
| Jalen Parker | - | 2 | 30.0 | 11.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 7.5 | -96 | -7.4 | -22.2 | 38.5 | 0 | 21.4 | 0.24 | 35.8 | 38.5 |
| Devan Sapp | - | 1 | 13.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 78.6 | 78.6 |
| Jalen Jackson | - | 2 | 38.0 | 11.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 11.5 | 9.0 | 9 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 34.8 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 0.37 | 42.9 | 37.0 |
| Daylon Dickerson | - | 1 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 76.5 | 70.0 |
| Cam Gillus | - | 1 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Mike Smith, III | - | 1 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 66.6 | 50.0 |
| Marlon Short | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 45.7 | 57.1 |
| Nigel Burch | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 59.2 | 60.0 |
| Tim Eze | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Ace Valentine | - | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 123.0 | 125.0 |
| Travon Mack | - | 1 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -5 | -1.2 | -4.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dom Thomas | - | 1 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -42 | -6.0 | -18.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.17 | 46.6 | 50.0 |
| Marcus Banks | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bube Momah | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| D.J. Johnson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | -4 | -1.0 | -2.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.21 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Cam Lane | - | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Jalen Snead | - | 1 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 21 | 2.6 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.03 | 31.1 | 33.3 |
| Chaydon Stone | - | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -3 | -3.0 | -19.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.76 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Nasir Whitlock | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| K'Mari Smith | - | 2 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 16 | 3.2 | 29.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.23 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Mazen Sayed | - | 1 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4 | 1.3 | 7.1 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -0.27 | 23.3 | 25.0 |
| Alpha Chibambe | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ashton Reese | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alfredo Addesa | - | 1 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Jarell Keel | - | 1 | 32.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 7 | 1.8 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Zaiyin Keys | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kian Nixon | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Pat Bean | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Jalen Cary | - | 2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -45 | -15.0 | -31.9 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.14 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Torin Bosch | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jake Stout | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Isaac Varghese | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tommy Conniff | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Peter Kramer | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brendan Reed | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -10 | -1.7 | -7.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| DJ Earl | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42 | 6.0 | 76.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Grover, III | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Tahir Howell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -42 | -2.3 | -4.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Miles Johnson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -3.0 | -17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Kory Jones | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43 | 3.3 | 14.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Uche Unegbu | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Bryan Warren | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -31 | -4.4 | -278.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Warren Wideman III | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 1.0 | 37.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamze Johnson | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15 | 3.8 | 367.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Jones | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -4.0 | -123.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.11 | 0 | 0 |
| Aamir Terry | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -7.0 | -54.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Francesco Boniciolli | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -25 | -12.5 | -25.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Maseo Carson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Carson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Quin Gilyard Jr. | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -25 | -12.5 | -25.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Riley | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -1.3 | -76.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.19 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryce Spriggs | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG