Valdosta St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 979 (#211) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1035 (#143) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.9 (#88) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.856 (#208) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.741 (#150) | NetEff +8.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.943 (#162) | AdjNet +24.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.948 (#164) | AdjNet +24.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.817 (#152) | AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 56.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Eckerd | L | 55 - 61 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Brewton-Parker | W | 89 - 47 |
| 2024-11-18 | vs | Lynn | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 87 - 60 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | West Ala. | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | UAH | L | 53 - 73 |
| 2024-12-15 | vs | West Florida | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 64 - 50 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Lee | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Mississippi Col. | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Delta St. | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Union (TN) | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 97 - 62 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Montevallo | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | AUM | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | West Ala. | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2025-01-27 | vs | UAH | L | 47 - 68 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | West Florida | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Lee | L | 44 - 59 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 49 - 40 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Delta St. | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 71 - 50 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Union (TN) | L | 61 - 90 |
| 2025-02-24 | @ | Christian Brothers | L | 48 - 53 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | AUM | W | 78 - 45 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Montevallo | W | 54 - 44 |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | West Florida | L | 52 - 66 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiersten Nelson | - | 28 | 24.2 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 10.5 | 8.8 | 49 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 54.3 | 40.0 | 60.7 | 0.42 | 56.6 | 54.6 |
| Erin Whalen | - | 29 | 30.3 | 10.7 | 8.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 11.1 | 9.6 | 182 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 41.1 | 30.1 | 58.6 | 1.07 | 46.3 | 45.5 |
| Aryana Hicks | - | 29 | 29.3 | 9.9 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.7 | 8.6 | 71 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 52.9 | 32.1 | 71.7 | -0.33 | 57.7 | 54.9 |
| Mary Mcmorris | - | 2 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 32 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 41.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.13 | 50.3 | 47.1 |
| India Jordan | - | 29 | 21.7 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 52 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 33.5 | 31.6 | 69.6 | 0.52 | 46.1 | 44.1 |
| Jillian Schenk | - | 29 | 17.8 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 14 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 36.2 | 34.3 | 70.8 | 0.06 | 52.6 | 50.4 |
| Victoria Ikenasio | - | 29 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 43 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 48.1 | 0 | 68.8 | 0.39 | 51.6 | 48.1 |
| Jacey Justice | - | 29 | 24.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 33.9 | 26.1 | 58.6 | -0.29 | 44.8 | 42.2 |
| Amaya Broadus | - | 29 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | -17 | -0.8 | -3.5 | 57.1 | 0 | 44.0 | -0.45 | 55.7 | 57.1 |
| Kenya Edelhart | - | 29 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.5 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.0 | 58.3 | 57.6 |
| Courtney Stothard | - | 27 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 24.2 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0.18 | 28.4 | 28.8 |
| Zahariah Jones | - | 27 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 92.2 | 100.0 |
| Bella Hopkins | - | 29 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 41.7 | 41.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG