Valdosta St.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 946 (#320) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1003 (#187) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.9 (#50) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.575 (#299) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.745 (#99) | NetEff +10.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.745 (#273) | AdjNet +9.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.749 (#273) | AdjNet +9.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.670 (#260) | AdjO 92.4 | AdjD 84.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Fort Valley St. | W | 106 - 88 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Clark Atlanta | W | 119 - 87 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Morehouse | L | 80 - 84 |
| 2024-11-18 | vs | Middle Ga. St. | W | 94 - 75 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Morehouse | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Thomas (GA) | W | 107 - 62 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | West Ala. | W | 92 - 82 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | UAH | L | 87 - 108 |
| 2024-12-15 | vs | West Florida | W | 90 - 88 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 90 - 84 |
| 2024-12-21 | vs | Lee | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 96 - 74 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Delta St. | W | 100 - 92 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Union (TN) | W | 102 - 79 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 90 - 75 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Montevallo | W | 90 - 76 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | AUM | W | 97 - 87 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | West Ala. | W | 87 - 64 |
| 2025-01-27 | vs | UAH | L | 95 - 97 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | West Florida | W | 104 - 96 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Lee | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | W | 96 - 84 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Delta St. | L | 92 - 96 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Union (TN) | W | 106 - 100 |
| 2025-02-24 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 93 - 82 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | AUM | W | 114 - 94 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Montevallo | L | 92 - 101 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | Union (TN) | W | 100 - 80 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Montevallo | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2025-03-09 | @ | UAH | L | 95 - 101 |
| 2025-03-15 | vs | Lynn | L | 74 - 86 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hart | - | 32 | 26.9 | 19.2 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 12.7 | 18.3 | 146 | 4.6 | 13.6 | 50.4 | 24.2 | 78.3 | 2.06 | 60.0 | 52.3 |
| Drew Mills | - | 32 | 24.5 | 14.2 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 96 | 2.3 | 9.1 | 52.2 | 41.5 | 73.5 | 1.6 | 58.3 | 56.8 |
| Braxton Williams | - | 32 | 24.4 | 14.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 11.6 | 8.4 | 137 | 4.7 | 12.9 | 41.1 | 34.0 | 78.0 | 1.97 | 54.2 | 49.7 |
| Maalik Leitch | - | 31 | 17.0 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 4.8 | 35 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 45.9 | 35.1 | 77.3 | 0.1 | 55.7 | 53.4 |
| MJ Jones | - | 32 | 25.1 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 133 | 3.4 | 12.5 | 46.5 | 31.5 | 71.4 | 1.01 | 56.5 | 53.8 |
| Lucas Brown | - | 31 | 14.1 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 3.9 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.9 | 41.5 | 35.0 | 81.6 | -0.18 | 54.2 | 50.8 |
| Cobey Harraway | - | 30 | 20.7 | 6.6 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 149 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 50.0 | 24.4 | 65.6 | 0.81 | 56.6 | 53.4 |
| Peter McKey | - | 31 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 3.4 | -18 | -0.7 | -7.6 | 43.0 | 40.0 | 76.2 | 0.13 | 56.8 | 54.2 |
| Antonio Green | - | 32 | 13.2 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 5.3 | -56 | -2.1 | -19.9 | 51.0 | 30.0 | 85.0 | 0.21 | 59.0 | 55.6 |
| JC Clausi | - | 32 | 7.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 55 | 2.8 | 22.9 | 47.5 | 41.7 | 90.0 | 0.12 | 63.1 | 60.2 |
| Ethan Pires | - | 32 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.5 | 24.0 | 53.8 | -0.25 | 42.9 | 41.7 |
| LaDarrius Chigano | - | 30 | 8.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 58 | 3.9 | 56.3 | 67.7 | 0 | 87.5 | -0.27 | 73.6 | 67.7 |
| Ian Jordan | - | 26 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -4 | -2.0 | -36.1 | 16.7 | 0 | 0 | -1.18 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Andrew Haynes | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Sadler | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG