Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2015 2013

Also known as: VU of Lynchburg Dragons

Program History

2026 Team Stats (9 games)

57.3

PPG

124.6

Opp

-67.3

Margin

28.8%

FG%

23.3%

3P%

67.5%

FT%

24.7

RPG

10.3

APG

14.8

90.2

Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More →	971 (#568)	HCA +109 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More →	-58.1 (#704)	HCA +2.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 \| AdjD 90.6 More →	0.101 (#704)	AdjO 66.5 \| AdjD 90.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.016 (#704)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.027 (#704)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 \| GP 9 More →	675 (#703)	RD 350 \| GP 9

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-07	@	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	L	44 - 121
2025-11-10	@	Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles	L	58 - 118
2025-11-12	@	VMI Keydets	L	54 - 106
2025-11-14	@	Alabama State Hornets	L	68 - 124
2025-11-25	@	Norfolk State Spartans	L	79 - 136
2025-12-02	@	Western Carolina Catamounts	L	62 - 124
2025-12-03	@	App State Mountaineers	L	45 - 133
2025-12-21	@	UNC Greensboro Spartans	L	53 - 131
2026-01-20	@	Morgan State Bears	L	53 - 128

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Naquan Lyon	G	1	29.0	12.0	3.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	9.0	8.0	-16	-16.0	-57.1	44.4	0	57.1	-0.17	49.7	44.4
J. Newman	-	5	33.0	10.2	1.4	2.6	1.0	0.0	2.6	8.8	3.8	-255	-31.9	-100.0	25.0	0.0	72.5	-1.86	41.4	25.0
F. Paythress	-	9	25.3	9.8	2.9	2.0	0.8	0.1	3.0	12.6	0.0	-295	-29.5	-57.4	30.1	18.9	54.2	-2.92	35.6	33.2
Matthew Thomas	F	1	16.0	9.0	3.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.0	8.0	198	9.0	14.5	80.0	100.0	0	2.1	90.0	90.0
J. Sasser	-	5	25.0	8.2	4.0	3.4	1.4	0.0	3.6	9.6	3.8	-188	-31.3	-62.1	25.0	22.2	81.2	-1.61	37.2	29.2
D. Todd Jr.	-	8	19.0	8.0	4.0	1.0	0.8	0.1	1.9	11.6	0.4	-43	-3.1	-11.8	23.7	22.2	82.4	1.14	31.8	26.9
B. Smith	-	7	22.9	7.7	2.1	1.3	0.9	0.1	1.7	9.1	1.3	268	11.2	20.3	31.2	25.0	50.0	1.13	40.5	39.8
Z. Williams	-	9	23.2	6.7	2.7	0.3	0.3	0.0	1.0	8.8	0.2	158	6.1	14.4	29.1	19.2	50.0	0.74	34.5	32.3
Z. Baker	-	8	26.2	6.6	2.8	1.8	0.5	0.0	1.0	7.5	3.1	-267	-29.7	-60.7	26.7	25.5	90.0	-2.23	41.1	36.7
D. Creedland	-	7	16.3	4.3	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.4	4.0	0.9	-134	-16.8	-49.0	35.7	29.4	100.0	-1.32	49.7	44.6
A. Tolbert	-	9	20.4	3.7	1.9	0.2	0.9	0.1	0.9	3.6	2.3	-16	-16.0	-29.6	34.4	26.3	54.5	-0.07	44.8	42.2
C. Lawrence	-	4	8.8	1.8	1.8	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	2.0	1.5	-	-	-	37.5	33.3	0	-0.35	43.8	43.8
M. Hogan	-	4	17.0	1.8	2.0	1.5	0.2	0.0	2.0	3.0	0.5	-46	-11.5	-26.7	16.7	16.7	50.0	-0.42	25.4	20.8
E. Brima	-	9	10.9	0.8	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.0	0.2	1.4	-0.1	-98	-9.8	-53.2	23.1	0.0	50.0	-1.09	25.2	23.1
Z. Joppy	-	2	3.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-22	-7.3	-60.7	0	0	0	-0.18	0	0
Montrell Wright	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG