VTSU-Johnson
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 788 (#492) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 717 (#491) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -28.1 (#416) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.114 (#731) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.310 (#386) | NetEff -7.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.017 (#759) | AdjNet -34.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.019 (#751) | AdjNet -34.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.085 (#756) | AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 90.8 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Framingham St. | L | 94 - 96 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2024-11-11 | @ | Central Conn. St. | L | 68 - 117 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Plymouth St. | L | 49 - 94 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Hartford | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Norwich | L | 70 - 85 |
| 2024-11-24 | vs | Paul Smiths | W | 92 - 82 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | L | 78 - 82 |
| 2024-12-08 | @ | Bryant | L | 63 - 122 |
| 2024-12-10 | @ | New England Col. | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2024-12-13 | vs | Me.-Augusta | W | 94 - 82 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | L | 72 - 97 |
| 2025-01-06 | @ | Maine Maritime | L | 68 - 85 |
| 2025-01-07 | @ | Husson | L | 80 - 91 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Me.-Farmington | L | 83 - 103 |
| 2025-01-12 | vs | Thomas (ME) | L | 105 - 110 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Lesley | W | 93 - 85 |
| 2025-01-20 | @ | Me.-Presque Isle | L | 74 - 78 |
| 2025-01-24 | vs | SUNY Delhi | L | 80 - 81 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 90 - 69 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Lesley | W | 89 - 79 |
| 2025-02-04 | vs | Middlebury | L | 70 - 97 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | W | 82 - 60 |
| 2025-02-14 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | SUNY Delhi | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2025-02-21 | vs | VTSU Lyndon | W | 95 - 72 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | SUNY Delhi | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Husson | L | 0 - 59 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Baker | - | 15 | 37.9 | 20.1 | 7.9 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 17.4 | 11.4 | -46 | -3.1 | -23.5 | 39.1 | 25.0 | 71.8 | 0.32 | 49.3 | 43.7 |
| Raymond Baka | - | 26 | 33.7 | 20.0 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 17.4 | -143 | -7.9 | -50.5 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 71.2 | 0.42 | 57.0 | 54.0 |
| Matthew Carter | - | 28 | 34.1 | 17.1 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 14.4 | 8.5 | -30 | -2.0 | -15.7 | 45.8 | 32.7 | 75.5 | 0.25 | 53.5 | 49.9 |
| Mohammed Semega | - | 27 | 27.0 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 11.8 | -86 | -4.8 | -31.0 | 46.8 | 22.2 | 62.5 | 0.35 | 52.1 | 47.4 |
| Lukas Sward | - | 24 | 27.3 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.8 | 5.8 | -125 | -7.8 | -46.8 | 39.3 | 25.5 | 84.6 | 0.43 | 49.6 | 43.9 |
| David Greer | - | 16 | 12.3 | 6.3 | 4.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 7.2 | 3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 58.2 | 100.0 | 53.7 | -0.04 | 59.4 | 59.0 |
| Dashawn Hall | - | 16 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 45.6 | 33.3 | 76.5 | - | 53.5 | 49.1 |
| Sabree Glover | - | 17 | 12.4 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 28 | 3.5 | 201.8 | 56.1 | 0 | 51.6 | -0.75 | 56.7 | 56.1 |
| Jamar Callum | - | 22 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 36.1 | 0.0 | 62.5 | - | 47.6 | 36.1 |
| Eli Wilson | - | 26 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 | -18 | -4.5 | -15.8 | 35.9 | 14.3 | 59.1 | 0.03 | 40.7 | 36.7 |
| Darone Frierson | - | 28 | 10.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 40 | 5.7 | 104.6 | 27.0 | 25.8 | 100.0 | -0.38 | 43.6 | 39.7 |
| Greg Fitzgerald | - | 25 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 16 | 5.3 | 206.5 | 58.8 | 53.8 | 50.0 | -0.99 | 78.3 | 79.4 |
| Joshua Barthelemy | - | 26 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 10 | 2.5 | 222.2 | 17.6 | 0 | 37.5 | -1.23 | 21.9 | 17.6 |
| Malik Rivers | - | 17 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Gerald Pitt | - | 12 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Michael Loynds | - | 15 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Abdulaziz Sesay | - | 22 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 3 | 1.5 | 66.7 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.23 | 14.8 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG