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VTSU Lyndon

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: VTSU Lyndon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 992 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 967 (#371) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 977 (#524) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -22.6 (#370) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -24.7 (#645) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.435 (#480) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.2 More → 0.896 (#163) NetEff +14.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -40.2 More → 0.009 (#667) AdjNet -40.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -42.5 More → 0.007 (#668) AdjNet -42.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 49.4 | AdjD 74.3 More → 0.094 (#663) AdjO 49.4 | AdjD 74.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 68.2 More → 0.264 (#629) AdjO 57.0 | AdjD 68.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.183 (#608) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.191 (#609) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 102 | GP 22 More → 972 (#355) RD 102 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ VTSU Randolph W 88 - 38
2025-11-08 vs Bry. & Strat. (Alb.) W 80 - 41
2025-11-15 vs MCLA W 105 - 44
2025-11-18 @ Plymouth St. L 63 - 69
2025-11-22 vs Wentworth W 66 - 47
2025-12-02 vs Lesley W 73 - 40
2025-12-09 @ New England Col. L 46 - 82
2025-12-13 @ VTSU-Johnson W 76 - 66
2026-01-10 vs Me.-Presque Isle W 78 - 57
2026-01-11 vs Husson L 60 - 69
2026-01-17 vs VTSU-Johnson W 72 - 50
2026-01-24 @ Lesley W 67 - 46
2026-01-27 @ Thomas (ME) W 60 - 53
2026-01-30 vs SUNY Delhi W 55 - 47
2026-01-31 vs SUNY Cobleskill L 59 - 69
2026-02-06 vs Maine Maritime L 49 - 90
2026-02-07 vs Me.-Farmington L 74 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Skylar Begay - 16 26.7 15.1 5.4 2.8 1.9 0.6 2.3 13.3 10.2 -9 -0.5 -2.9 42.7 44.8 56.8 0.23 52.8 51.9
WHITCOMB, Kadienne - 1 27.0 15.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 12.0 4.0 - - - 41.7 41.7 0 - 62.5 62.5
Kiara Mack - 16 22.9 14.3 8.3 1.9 0.7 2.2 1.9 10.6 14.9 -62 -3.4 -21.0 52.1 0.0 58.9 0.27 54.9 52.1
BEGAY, Skylar - 1 31.0 14.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 13.0 11.0 - - - 38.5 0.0 100.0 - 47.4 38.5
Kerisa Van Oldt - 1 21.0 10.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 2.0 - - - 33.3 28.6 0 - 41.7 41.7
Shae Clegg - 1 22.0 9.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 33.3 - 54.1 57.1
Ella Huntington - 14 28.0 8.8 4.7 4.7 1.4 0.3 3.6 7.9 8.4 -58 -3.2 -16.6 37.8 20.0 67.3 -1.41 46.4 40.5
MACK, Kiara - 1 21.0 8.0 13.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 15.0 - - - 80.0 0 0.0 - 68.0 80.0
Kerisa Van Olst - 7 15.9 7.4 2.1 1.1 1.4 0.1 0.9 7.3 4.1 - - - 27.5 20.0 88.9 - 44.1 35.3
QUINTAL, Keira - 1 18.0 7.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 50.9 50.0
Nei'Shae Clegg - 15 26.1 6.9 5.7 0.7 1.5 0.0 1.5 6.5 6.7 -21 -1.2 -7.2 39.8 18.2 54.3 -0.22 45.4 42.9
Kadienne Whitcomb - 16 30.2 6.4 4.6 1.9 0.7 0.2 1.2 7.5 5.2 -46 -2.6 -12.0 29.2 26.0 75.0 0.5 41.7 40.4
Taliyah Carter - 6 19.0 6.3 2.5 4.7 2.3 0.0 3.0 6.7 6.2 - - - 30.0 25.0 71.4 - 41.2 35.0
CLEGG, Nei'Shae - 1 24.0 6.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 11.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 66.7 - 39.3 20.0
MUBARAK, Hawa - 1 20.0 6.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 6.0 - - - 25.0 28.6 0.0 - 33.8 37.5
MURPHY, Chloe - 1 31.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Keira Quintal - 14 14.2 4.1 5.6 0.4 0.5 1.9 1.6 5.1 5.9 -9 -0.5 -5.1 33.8 0 50.0 0.68 36.1 33.8
Kaitlyn Freelund - 1 15.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Hawa Mubarak - 15 13.3 3.5 2.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 1.3 4.5 1.9 -73 -4.1 -46.8 25.4 25.0 80.0 -2.57 37.1 33.6
Kiera Quintal - 2 20.9 3.5 10.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 3.5 5.0 7.5 -9 -0.5 -5.1 20.0 0 50.0 0.68 27.7 20.0
WALKER, Haylee - 1 15.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Chloe Murphy - 16 16.2 2.4 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.1 1.1 3.4 1.4 -11 -0.6 -4.6 25.5 24.1 37.5 -0.58 32.5 31.8
Kaitlyn Frydenlund - 8 7.3 2.2 3.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2.6 2.5 -32 -2.9 -35.3 38.1 25.0 50.0 -3.33 41.1 40.5
Haylee Walker - 8 10.5 2.2 2.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 3.6 0.6 -47 -5.2 -135.4 27.6 0.0 66.7 -0.58 29.7 27.6
FRYDENLUND, Kaitlyn - 1 12.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Za'Khia Germany - 1 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 -4.0 -8 -8.0 -28.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.38 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG