VTSU Castleton
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#354) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 902 (#371) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.6 (#306) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.297 (#540) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.131 (#348) | NetEff -13.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.151 (#513) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.152 (#508) | AdjNet -14.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.287 (#513) | AdjO 59.3 | AdjD 69.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Norwich | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | L | 45 - 52 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | L | 45 - 59 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | SUNY Cobleskill | L | 59 - 78 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Me.-Farmington | W | 76 - 67 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Hartwick | W | 77 - 41 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Middlebury | L | 47 - 75 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | WestConn | L | 50 - 60 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | L | 37 - 90 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Rensselaer | L | 46 - 71 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Clarkson | W | 44 - 35 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Keene St. | L | 73 - 83 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 74 - 93 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Plymouth St. | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | UMass Boston | W | 83 - 70 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 66 - 91 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | WestConn | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2025-02-04 | vs | Keene St. | L | 49 - 54 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Plymouth St. | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | UMass Boston | L | 54 - 83 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 55 - 78 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stasia Epler | - | 25 | 37.0 | 13.8 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 4.4 | 14.9 | 3.0 | -220 | -7.3 | -6.9 | 31.6 | 27.6 | 79.7 | -0.24 | 42.5 | 38.3 |
| Emily Adams | - | 25 | 31.9 | 13.1 | 6.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 14.1 | 5.8 | -21 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 34.8 | 27.3 | 66.4 | -1.38 | 40.5 | 35.3 |
| Emily Dingmon | - | 19 | 33.3 | 12.1 | 9.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 12.4 | 10.8 | - | - | - | 32.6 | 0.0 | 72.8 | - | 40.7 | 32.6 |
| Arianna Coombs | - | 25 | 19.6 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 4.7 | -158 | -4.9 | -6.3 | 43.2 | 33.3 | 65.9 | -0.65 | 46.5 | 43.5 |
| Maggie Parker | - | 9 | 15.7 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 3.9 | - | - | - | 47.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 46.4 | 47.7 |
| Schuylar Nolan | - | 25 | 28.2 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 5.4 | 3.3 | -151 | -4.9 | -5.6 | 28.7 | 25.0 | 61.0 | -0.4 | 37.4 | 31.2 |
| Maggie McKearin | - | 12 | 23.6 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 3.8 | -115 | -3.6 | -4.0 | 24.2 | 27.3 | 47.6 | 0.06 | 31.9 | 28.8 |
| Luna Perry-St. Peter | - | 11 | 14.7 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 32.7 | 50.0 | 46.2 | - | 36.5 | 34.7 |
| Luna perry-st Peter | - | 13 | 12.5 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 32.6 | 0 | 65.2 | - | 40.5 | 32.6 |
| Natalie Royer | - | 22 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -72 | -4.2 | -10.4 | 23.3 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.47 | 33.5 | 32.6 |
| Sadie Young | - | 22 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | -76 | -4.8 | -14.5 | 18.2 | 0.0 | 41.7 | -0.41 | 27.6 | 18.2 |
| Emily Trepanier | - | 16 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alexis Coutermarsh | - | 7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -9 | -0.7 | -3.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG