VTSU Castleton
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#354) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 902 (#371) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.3 (#282) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-10 | vs | Me.-Farmington | W | 59 - 42 |
| 2023-11-11 | vs | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2023-11-14 | @ | Norwich | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2023-11-17 | @ | SUNY Potsdam | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Plattsburgh St. | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2023-11-21 | vs | Middlebury | L | 57 - 75 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | W | 73 - 44 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Rhode Island Col. | L | 50 - 77 |
| 2023-12-06 | @ | VTSU Lyndon | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | WestConn | W | 68 - 52 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Rensselaer | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Keene St. | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2024-01-06 | @ | UMass Dartmouth | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2024-01-09 | vs | Plymouth St. | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2024-01-11 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | W | 65 - 39 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Southern Me. | L | 56 - 58 |
| 2024-01-17 | @ | UMass Boston | L | 47 - 54 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Rhode Island Col. | L | 42 - 92 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | WestConn | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2024-01-31 | @ | Keene St. | L | 46 - 55 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | UMass Dartmouth | L | 56 - 66 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Plymouth St. | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2024-02-14 | vs | UMass Boston | L | 55 - 57 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | Southern Me. | L | 53 - 69 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Magro | - | 10 | 33.9 | 21.7 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 19.6 | 11.7 | - | - | - | 39.8 | 30.0 | 88.1 | -0.07 | 48.9 | 42.1 |
| Liz Bailey | - | 10 | 27.5 | 12.1 | 8.3 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 12.8 | 10.4 | - | - | - | 42.2 | 50.0 | 52.4 | 0.04 | 44.1 | 43.0 |
| Stasia Epler | - | 10 | 32.9 | 10.1 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 10.6 | 5.2 | -26 | -1.9 | -1.8 | 34.0 | 30.8 | 61.9 | 0.09 | 43.8 | 41.5 |
| LUNA PERRY-ST PETER | - | 2 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 62.2 | 42.9 |
| Emily Adams | - | 10 | 24.6 | 5.6 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 32.3 | 25.0 | 76.5 | -0.0 | 38.6 | 33.1 |
| Arianna Coombs | - | 10 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 5.8 | -18 | -1.3 | -1.6 | 43.9 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.12 | 48.2 | 43.9 |
| Kathryn Moore | - | 9 | 25.0 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 84 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 23.6 | 27.8 | 50.0 | -0.3 | 30.7 | 28.2 |
| Schuylar Nolan | - | 3 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | -23 | -1.6 | -1.8 | 62.5 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.06 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Maggie McKearin | - | 10 | 19.9 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 5.2 | -63 | -4.5 | -4.8 | 34.5 | 30.0 | 66.7 | -0.6 | 44.0 | 39.7 |
| Luna Perry-St. Peter | - | 5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| SCHUYLER NOLAN | - | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -6.0 | -23 | -1.6 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shelby Wells | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 1.3 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG