🐻⬇️🏀

VMI

Also known as: VMI
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#320) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1016 (#364) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1001 (#448) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +35.0 (#38) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.999 (#55) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.5 More → 0.968 (#117) AdjNet +29.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +29.4 More → 0.972 (#111) AdjNet +29.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 97.2 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.923 (#59) AdjO 97.2 | AdjD 70.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.9 | AdjD 73.9 More → 0.714 (#92) AdjO 83.9 | AdjD 73.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.879 (#39) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.836 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1079 (#235) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs JWU Charlotte W 122 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mario Tatum, Jr. - 1 26.0 23.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 17.0 2 1.0 4.1 66.7 71.4 66.7 -0.0 86.3 87.5
Walker Andrews - 1 24.0 22.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 9.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 66.9 65.6
TJ Johnson - 1 24.9 19.0 10.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 24.0 38 2.1 22.9 45.5 50.0 100.0 0.21 72.0 63.6
Jaylen Pazon - 1 18.4 12.0 6.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 25.0 - 55.8 61.1
AJ Clark - 1 20.2 10.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 15.0 - - - 57.1 100.0 0 - 71.4 71.4
Tan Yildizoglu - 1 24.0 10.0 3.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 17.0 - - - 55.6 0.0 0 - 55.6 55.6
Linus Holmstrom - 1 21.6 9.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 7.0 - - - 42.9 42.9 0 - 64.3 64.3
Cal Liston - 1 24.7 9.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 - - - 66.7 50.0 80.0 - 86.5 83.3
Branford Edmonds III - 1 4.2 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 19 2.7 38.9 100.0 0 0 -1.22 100.0 100.0
Kaden Stuckey - 1 11.9 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG