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VMI

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: VMI Keydets, VMI
Program History
Coach: Dan Earl

2017 Team Stats (1 games)

55.0
PPG
90.0
Opp
-35.0
Margin
35.2%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
56.3%
FT%
29.0
RPG
14.0
APG
22.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.1
Adj PPG
78.1
Adj Opp PPG
#324
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 695 (#327) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 735 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 845 (#340) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → -12.6 (#321) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -13.1 (#329) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.132 (#339) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.0 More → 0.111 (#323) AdjNet -18.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.2 More → 0.109 (#323) AdjNet -18.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 78.1 More → 0.251 (#324) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 78.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 76.1 More → 0.284 (#339) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 76.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.190 (#331) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.195 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 28 More → 728 (#331) RD 157 | GP 28

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Richmond Spiders L 69 - 72
2016-11-15 vs Southern Virginia Knights W 78 - 47
2016-11-19 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 72 - 88
2016-11-22 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 67 - 77
2016-11-26 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 53 - 67
2016-11-30 @ Radford Highlanders L 67 - 74
2016-12-03 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 68 - 86
2016-12-10 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 55 - 90
2016-12-13 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 88 - 83
2016-12-20 vs Frostburg State Bobcats W 72 - 53
2016-12-23 @ Dayton Flyers L 56 - 92
2016-12-31 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 75 - 102
2017-01-05 @ Mercer Bears L 50 - 68
2017-01-07 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 74 - 79
2017-01-12 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 79 - 78
2017-01-14 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 82 - 91
2017-01-19 @ Wofford Terriers L 70 - 88
2017-01-21 @ Furman Paladins L 72 - 89
2017-01-25 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 80 - 64
2017-01-28 vs Samford Bulldogs L 67 - 69
2017-02-02 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 71 - 81
2017-02-09 vs Mercer Bears L 51 - 81
2017-02-11 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 101 - 78
2017-02-13 vs Furman Paladins L 52 - 80
2017-02-15 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 68 - 74
2017-02-18 @ Samford Bulldogs L 61 - 80
2017-02-22 vs Wofford Terriers L 63 - 81
2017-02-25 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 67 - 74
2017-02-27 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 68 - 81
2017-03-03 @ Samford Bulldogs L 61 - 79

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
QJ Peterson QJ Peterson G 11 32.4 20.5 6.5 2.8 2.0 0.1 2.5 4.5 24.9 -143 26 -5.5 -7.9 59.2 59.1 68.2 1.19 191.7 72.4
Julian Eleby Julian Eleby G 11 32.5 13.4 4.1 1.6 0.9 0.3 1.9 1.9 16.5 -195 26 -7.5 -10.7 42.9 31.2 58.3 -3.77 279.7 54.8
Trey Chapman Trey Chapman F 11 28.1 9.7 6.1 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.5 2.6 14.2 -126 26 -4.8 -8.5 37.9 0.0 33.3 0.34 176.5 37.9
Armani Branch Armani Branch F 10 15.0 6.6 3.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 8.8 -57 23 -2.5 -6.4 54.5 20.0 0 1.16 300.0 59.1
Adrian Rich Adrian Rich G 11 26.3 6.1 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.0 1.6 1.5 6.7 -166 26 -6.4 -11.0 35.3 25.0 100.0 -1.8 178.6 41.2
Keith Smith Keith Smith G 11 20.0 5.0 0.6 2.1 0.7 0.4 1.2 0.7 6.9 -112 26 -4.3 -9.9 25.0 40.0 75.0 -1.66 281.8 37.5
Garrett Gilkeson Garrett Gilkeson G 11 10.9 2.1 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.6 3.1 -71 25 -2.8 -11.0 28.6 40.0 100.0 -1.53 154.6 42.9
Fred Iruafemi Fred Iruafemi F 11 12.2 1.9 2.1 0.7 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.7 5.0 -47 25 -1.9 -7.8 62.5 0 0 0.14 131.2 62.5
Will Miller Will Miller F 11 11.3 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 3.0 -78 26 -3.0 -13.7 40.0 0 50.0 -4.09 178.6 40.0
Chuchu Enechionyia Chuchu Enechionyia G 3 4.3 1.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -0.78 170.5 0
Tyler Creammer Tyler Creammer C 11 5.8 0.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 1.3 -74 21 -3.5 -23.4 50.0 0 0 -3.59 200.0 50.0
Austin Vereen Austin Vereen G 9 6.4 0.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.4 -88 23 -3.8 -24.6 25.0 25.0 0 -5.95 62.5 37.5
Will Weethee Will Weethee - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Mahaffey D. Mahaffey F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Marcus Larsson Marcus Larsson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG